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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 27, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont

New York Rangers 0, New York Islanders 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 68% of the time.

NYI winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:56Shot by Barzal, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 0:58Goal by Lee, unassisted+11 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pelech, DeAngelo, Barzal, Holmstrom · NYR Trocheck, Soucy, Brodzinski, Borgen, Perreault

  4. P1 2:50Shot by Heineman, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 3:48Shot by Lee, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 3:51Gavrikov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pelech, DeAngelo, Barzal, Holmstrom · NYR Trocheck, Brodzinski, Gavrikov, Schneider, Perreault

  7. P1 7:08Shot by Pageau, saved by Shesterkin
  8. P1 11:07Shot by Pelech, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 11:25Shot by Cuylle, saved by Rittich
  10. P1 11:26Shot by Cuylle, saved by Rittich
  11. P1 12:38Shot by Borgen, saved by Rittich
  12. P1 13:38Shot by Cizikas, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 14:11Shot by Warren, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 14:17Shot by Perreault, saved by Rittich
  15. P1 15:08Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Shesterkin
  16. P1 15:14Shot by Shabanov, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 16:28Shot by Soucy, saved by Rittich
  18. P1 18:20Shot by Borgen, saved by Rittich
  19. P1 19:57Shot by Trocheck, saved by Rittich
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 2:06Shot by Barzal, saved by Shesterkin
  23. P2 2:23Shot by Warren, saved by Shesterkin
  24. P2 2:25Shot by Shabanov, saved by Shesterkin
  25. P2 3:41Shot by Rempe, saved by Rittich
  26. P2 3:42Shot by Carrick, saved by Rittich
  27. P2 3:43Shot by Carrick, saved by Rittich
  28. P2 4:56Lafrenière: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Drouin, Horvat, Pulock, Heineman, Schaefer · NYR Zibanejad, Soucy, Panarin, Lafrenière, Morrow

  29. P2 5:58Shot by Horvat, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  30. P2 7:39Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Shesterkin
  31. P2 7:59Shot by Panarin, saved by Rittich
  32. P2 10:55Shot by Trocheck, saved by Rittich
  33. P2 11:09Schneider: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pulock, DeAngelo, Ritchie, Schaefer, Shabanov · NYR Trocheck, Brodzinski, Schneider, Morrow, Perreault

  34. P2 11:35Shot by Barzal, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  35. P2 11:57Shot by Drouin, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  36. P2 12:28Shot by Soucy, saved by Rittich5v4
  37. P2 13:56Pelech: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pelech, Horvat, MacLean, Gatcomb, Schaefer · NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Gavrikov, Morrow, Perreault

  38. P2 16:02Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Rittich
  39. P2 16:54Shot by Othmann, saved by Rittich
  40. P2 17:15Shot by Soucy, saved by Rittich
  41. P2 19:42Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Rittich
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:27Shot by Panarin, saved by Rittich
  45. P3 0:43Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Rittich
  46. P3 1:10Shot by Drouin, saved by Shesterkin
  47. P3 1:49DeAngelo: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pelech, DeAngelo, Barzal, Holmstrom · NYR Borgen, Raddysh, Robertson, Laba, Perreault

  48. P3 1:49Laba: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pelech, DeAngelo, Barzal, Holmstrom · NYR Borgen, Raddysh, Robertson, Laba, Perreault

  49. P3 2:38Shot by Schaefer, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  50. P3 3:28Shot by Schaefer, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  51. P3 3:30Shot by Horvat, saved by Shesterkin4v4
  52. P3 3:50Shot by Barzal, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P3 4:42Shot by MacLean, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P3 6:38Shot by Cuylle, saved by Rittich
  55. P3 7:58Cuylle: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pulock, MacLean, Gatcomb, Schaefer · NYR Raddysh, Robertson, Cuylle, Morrow, Laba

  56. P3 9:18Ritchie: Penalty shot slash on breakaway (0 min)5v4

    On ice: NYI Lee, Barzal, Holmstrom, Ritchie, Schaefer · NYR Zibanejad, Soucy, Borgen, Raddysh

  57. P3 9:18Shot by Soucy, saved by Rittichother
  58. P3 10:46Shot by Morrow, saved by Rittich
  59. P3 11:43Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Rittich
  60. P3 12:35Trocheck: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Pelech, Drouin, Horvat, Pulock · NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Robertson, Schneider, Lafrenière

  61. P3 14:41Ritchie: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pelech, Horvat, DeAngelo, Barzal, Ritchie · NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Gavrikov, Raddysh, Schneider

  62. P3 16:15Shot by Cuylle, saved by Rittich4v5
  63. P3 16:54Shot by Horvat, saved by Shesterkin
  64. P3 16:55Shot by Horvat, saved by Shesterkin
  65. P3 16:59Horvat: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Horvat, DeAngelo, Ritchie, Schaefer · NYR Brodzinski, Gavrikov, Lafrenière, Laba, Perreault

  66. P3 17:33Shot by Trocheck, saved by Rittich4v5
  67. P3 18:24Shot by Panarin, saved by Rittich4v6
  68. P3 18:48Shot by Panarin, saved by Rittich4v6
  69. P3 19:43Goal by Holmstrom, unassisted5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock, Holmstrom · NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Lafrenière, Cuylle, Morrow

  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final