Mon, Dec 29, 2025·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Buffalo Sabres 4, St. Louis Blues 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 83% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 2:19Goal by Ostlund (Norris)+15 pts WP
On ice: STL Schenn, Fowler, Kyrou, Mailloux, Stenberg · BUF Tuch, Norris, Byram, Ostlund, Metsa
- P1 2:23Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Hofer
- P1 2:28Shot by Benson, saved by Hofer
- P1 4:17Shot by Doan, saved by Hofer
- P1 4:45Shot by Broberg, saved by Lyon
- P1 5:08Goal by Schenn (Stenberg, Kyrou)+15 pts WP
On ice: STL Schenn, Faulk, Kyrou, Tucker, Stenberg · BUF Tuch, Norris, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Ostlund
- P1 5:46Shot by Snuggerud, saved by Lyon
- P1 6:01Shot by Toropchenko, saved by Lyon
- P1 6:50Shot by Thompson, saved by Hofer
- P1 8:07Shot by Fabbri, saved by Lyon
- P1 8:09Goal by Snuggerud (Fabbri, Parayko)+15 pts WP
On ice: STL Parayko, Fabbri, Broberg, Snuggerud, Dvorsky · BUF Tuch, McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Ostlund
- P1 8:43Shot by Quinn, saved by Hofer
- P1 10:28Shot by Faulk, saved by Lyon
- P1 10:31Metsa: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: STL Faulk, Fabbri, Tucker, Snuggerud, Dvorsky · BUF Tuch, Greenway, Byram, Dunne, Metsa
- P1 11:20Shot by Faulk, saved by Lyon5v4
- P1 12:09Shot by Schenn, saved by Lyon5v4
- P1 18:39Shot by Greenway, saved by Hofer
- P1 18:48Shot by Kesselring, saved by Hofer
- P1 0:00Fowler: Hooking (2 min)5v6
On ice: STL Schenn, Faulk, Fowler, Kyrou, Stenberg · BUF Malenstyn, Norris, McLeod, Dahlin, Dunne, Power
- P1 0:00Period end4v6
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:34Shot by Dahlin, saved by Hofer4v5
- P2 0:47Shot by Doan, saved by Hofer4v5
- P2 1:58Shot by Benson, saved by Hofer4v5
- P2 3:52Shot by Power, saved by Hofer
- P2 5:04Shot by Thomas, saved by Lyon
- P2 7:57Shot by Benson, saved by Hofer
- P2 8:20Shot by Benson, saved by Hofer
- P2 8:25Shot by McLeod, saved by Hofer
- P2 9:22Shot by Doan, saved by Hofer
- P2 9:36Shot by Fowler, saved by Lyon
- P2 11:46Shot by McLeod, saved by Hofer
- P2 12:49Shot by Tuch, saved by Hofer
- P2 14:45Shot by Fabbri, saved by Lyon
- P2 15:05Shot by Toropchenko, saved by Lyon
- P2 15:17Goal by Tuch (Samuelsson)+28 pts WP
On ice: STL Fowler, Buchnevich, Thomas, Neighbours, Mailloux · BUF Tuch, Norris, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Ostlund
- P2 16:13Shot by Faulk, saved by Lyon
- P2 16:50Shot by Neighbours, saved by Lyon
- P2 16:53Shot by Snuggerud, saved by Lyon
- P2 18:41Shot by Quinn, saved by Hofer
- P2 18:48Shot by Dahlin, saved by Hofer
- P2 18:52Shot by Quinn, saved by Hofer
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:30Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Hofer
- P3 1:46Goal by Benson (Quinn, McLeod)+21 pts WP
On ice: STL Fowler, Fabbri, Kyrou, Mailloux, Dvorsky · BUF McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Benson, Metsa
- P3 3:57Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Lyon
- P3 4:38Shot by Krebs, saved by Hofer
- P3 4:45Shot by Dahlin, saved by Hofer
- P3 5:40Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Hofer
- P3 7:06Shot by Faulk, saved by Lyon
- P3 8:19Shot by Quinn, saved by Hofer
- P3 9:38Faulk: Interference (2 min)
On ice: STL Faulk, Buchnevich, Thomas, Tucker, Neighbours · BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Krebs, Doan, Metsa
- P3 10:24Shot by Thompson, saved by Hofer4v5
- P3 11:33Shot by McLeod, saved by Hofer4v5
- P3 13:51Shot by Dahlin, saved by Hofer
- P3 15:55Buchnevich: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: STL Faulk, Fowler, Buchnevich, Thomas, Neighbours · BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, Byram, Dunne, Metsa
- P3 16:15Shot by Thompson, saved by Hofer4v5
- P3 16:31Shot by Dahlin, saved by Hofer4v5
- P3 18:44Goal by Krebs (Malenstyn)6v5+7 pts WP
On ice: STL Faulk, Fowler, Buchnevich, Thomas, Neighbours, Snuggerud · BUF Malenstyn, Kesselring, Krebs, Power, Ostlund
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final