Mon, Dec 29, 2025·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Buffalo Sabres 4, St. Louis Blues 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 83% of the time.
11%
77%
STL winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
STL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Thompson–Krebs–Doan | Greenway–Malenstyn–Dunne | McLeod–Quinn–Benson | Tuch–Norris–Ostlund | Thompson–Norris–Benson | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Kesselring–Power | Byram–Metsa | Samuelsson–Byram | Byram–Power | Dahlin–Power | Samuelsson–Power | Dahlin–Byram | Kesselring–Byram | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buchnevich–Thomas–Neighbours | 8:590.32–0.59 | 0:500.01–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.04 | 2:410.00–0.08 | 4:130.14–0.36 | 1:480.06–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.08 | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Sundqvist–Joseph–Toropchenko | 2:500.00–0.00 | 3:280.16–0.32 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 2:500.16–0.00 | 2:240.00–0.04 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.26 | 1:040.02–0.13 | ||||||
| Schenn–Kyrou–Stenberg | 1:190.00–0.02 | 2:110.09–0.19 | 2:350.09–0.24 | 2:450.24–0.08 | 2:100.01–0.12 | 1:150.00–0.14 | 0:300.00–0.11 | |||||||
| Fabbri–Snuggerud–Dvorsky | 2:170.09–0.00 | 2:170.02–0.18 | 1:290.21–0.13 | 1:130.11–0.02 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Schenn–Snuggerud–Stenberg | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:260.02–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.03 | |||||||||||
| Fabbri–Joseph–Dvorsky | 0:390.00–0.04 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.04 | 0:550.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Schenn–Kyrou–Snuggerud | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Parayko–Broberg | 9:170.24–0.48 | 1:300.05–0.00 | 2:420.00–0.32 | 1:070.00–0.01 | 4:020.21–0.08 | 5:070.10–0.39 | 2:240.10–0.02 | 1:290.00–0.34 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.01 | 0:580.00–0.00 | |||
| Faulk–Tucker | 2:520.04–0.00 | 1:410.00–0.13 | 3:130.09–0.00 | 3:370.09–0.16 | 1:400.04–0.00 | 0:480.04–0.00 | 2:070.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Faulk–Fowler | 0:500.09–0.11 | 2:190.00–0.02 | 2:020.00–0.09 | 1:360.02–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.04 | 1:440.00–0.07 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.13 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:440.02–0.00 | |||
| Fowler–Mailloux | 2:150.00–0.00 | 1:370.04–0.13 | 2:010.00–0.27 | 1:260.04–0.04 | 1:070.01–0.10 | 2:080.00–0.27 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Fowler–Parayko | 0:430.00–0.10 | 0:570.14–0.12 | 0:510.12–0.12 | 1:010.00–0.17 | ||||||||||
| Faulk–Broberg | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:400.09–0.18 | 0:440.09–0.08 | |||||||||||
| Fowler–Tucker | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:310.13–0.08 |
Every shift, one row per player.
STLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Philip BrobergSTL | 26 | 25:26 | 0:59 | 2:33 | 4 | 5 |
 Colton ParaykoSTL | 25 | 24:58 | 1:00 | 2:31 | 3 | 5 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 26 | 23:42 | 0:55 | 1:45 | 6 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 25 | 23:40 | 0:57 | 2:30 | 2 | 4 |
 Justin FaulkSTL | 28 | 23:27 | 0:50 | 2:14 | 2 | 4 |
 Cam FowlerSTL | 27 | 22:25 | 0:50 | 1:55 | 4 | 4 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 25 | 22:21 | 0:54 | 1:19 | 2 | 5 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 25 | 22:14 | 0:53 | 1:33 | 3 | 6 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 20 | 19:12 | 0:58 | 2:30 | 4 | 2 |
 Robert ThomasSTL | 25 | 18:28 | 0:44 | 1:48 | 4 | 4 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 19 | 17:09 | 0:54 | 1:27 | 2 | 1 |
 Pavel BuchnevichSTL | 24 | 17:01 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 5 | 3 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 19 | 17:01 | 0:54 | 2:03 | 4 | 4 |
 Josh NorrisBUF | 23 | 16:26 | 0:43 | 2:28 | 6 | 5 |
 Alexey ToropchenkoSTL | 20 | 15:58 | 0:48 | 1:54 | 0 | 6 |
 Brayden SchennSTL | 22 | 15:51 | 0:43 | 1:56 | 3 | 3 |
 Oskar SundqvistSTL | 19 | 15:41 | 0:50 | 2:01 | 0 | 6 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 16 | 15:39 | 0:59 | 2:23 | 4 | 0 |
 Jake NeighboursSTL | 23 | 15:33 | 0:41 | 1:02 | 4 | 3 |
 Michael KesselringBUF | 20 | 15:33 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 5 | 1 |
 Mathieu JosephSTL | 18 | 14:39 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 0 | 3 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 18 | 14:35 | 0:49 | 1:59 | 1 | 2 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 19 | 14:12 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 3 | 3 |
 Otto StenbergSTL | 21 | 14:02 | 0:40 | 1:52 | 3 | 1 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 16 | 14:02 | 0:53 | 1:23 | 3 | 0 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 22 | 13:54 | 0:38 | 1:13 | 4 | 5 |
 Tyler TuckerSTL | 20 | 13:30 | 0:41 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Jimmy SnuggerudSTL | 18 | 13:24 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 4 | 3 |
 Jordan KyrouSTL | 18 | 13:12 | 0:44 | 1:50 | 3 | 2 |
 Josh DunneBUF | 16 | 13:08 | 0:49 | 1:52 | 1 | 2 |
 Noah OstlundBUF | 21 | 12:57 | 0:37 | 1:01 | 4 | 4 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 17 | 12:32 | 0:44 | 1:36 | 1 | 2 |
 Robby FabbriSTL | 17 | 11:52 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 4 | 3 |
 Zach MetsaBUF | 18 | 10:18 | 0:34 | 1:17 | 1 | 4 |
 Dalibor DvorskySTL | 15 | 10:12 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 4 | 3 |
 Logan MaillouxSTL | 13 | 8:52 | 0:41 | 1:03 | 3 | 0 |