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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 1, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont

Utah Mammoth 7, New York Islanders 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 55% of the time.

NYI winsUTA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:01Shot by Pulock, saved by Vejmelka
  3. P1 2:01Shot by Pulock, saved by Vejmelka
  4. P1 2:16Shot by Schaefer, saved by Vejmelka
  5. P1 2:56Shot by Lee, saved by Vejmelka
  6. P1 3:18Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Vejmelka
  7. P1 3:27Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Vejmelka
  8. P1 4:09Shot by Drouin, saved by Vejmelka
  9. P1 4:15Shot by Heineman, saved by Vejmelka
  10. P1 7:18Shot by MacLean, saved by Vejmelka
  11. P1 9:17McBain: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Mayfield, Barzal, Holmstrom, Ritchie, Shabanov · UTA Marino, Carcone, Durzi, McBain, But

  12. P1 9:34Shot by Drouin, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  13. P1 10:30Shot by Lee, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  14. P1 13:50Pelech: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pelech, DeAngelo, Holmstrom, Ritchie, Shabanov · UTA Cole, Marino, Carcone, McBain, But

  15. P1 14:00Shot by Keller, saved by Rittich4v5
  16. P1 14:04Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Rittich4v5
  17. P1 15:03Shot by Durzi, saved by Rittich4v5
  18. P1 15:30Shot by Hayton, saved by Rittich4v5
  19. P1 15:50Shot by Durzi, saved by Rittich4v5
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:36Goal by Guenther (Hayton, Sergachev)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Pelech, DeAngelo, Barzal · UTA Crouse, Marino, Durzi, Hayton, Guenther

  23. P2 1:21Shot by Keller, saved by Rittich
  24. P2 2:35Goal by Ritchie (Shabanov, Warren)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Warren, Holmstrom, Ritchie, Schaefer, Shabanov · UTA Kerfoot, O'Brien, Stenlund, Sergachev, Durzi

  25. P2 4:59Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Rittich
  26. P2 5:34Keller: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYI Drouin, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal, Heineman, Schaefer · UTA Schmaltz, Sergachev, Carcone, Durzi, Peterka

  27. P2 7:24Shot by Horvat, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  28. P2 10:20Goal by Guenther (Crouse, Hayton)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Barzal, Warren · UTA Crouse, Sergachev, Durzi, Hayton, Guenther

  29. P2 12:39Schaefer: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pulock, Holmstrom, Ritchie, Schaefer, Shabanov · UTA Cole, Carcone, DeSimone, McBain, But

  30. P2 15:26Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Rittich
  31. P2 16:19Goal by Schmaltz, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Pelech, Horvat, DeAngelo, Heineman · UTA Schmidt, Schmaltz, Marino, Keller, Peterka

  32. P2 16:51Shot by Tsyplakov, saved by Vejmelka
  33. P2 16:53Shot by Cizikas, saved by Vejmelka
  34. P2 17:11Shot by Cizikas, saved by Vejmelka
  35. P2 17:26Kerfoot: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: NYI Pulock, Holmstrom, Ritchie, Schaefer, Shabanov · UTA Cole, Kerfoot, O'Brien, Stenlund, DeSimone

  36. P2 18:21Shot by Barzal, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  37. P2 18:59Shot by Barzal, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  38. P2 19:10Shot by Horvat, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  39. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 1:17Lee: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pelech, DeAngelo, Holmstrom, Ritchie · UTA Cole, Crouse, Stenlund, Sergachev

  42. P3 2:52Goal by Sergachev (Keller, Guenther)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock · UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Peterka, Guenther

  43. P3 5:02Barzal: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Drouin, Horvat, DeAngelo, Schaefer · UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Durzi, Peterka

  44. P3 5:28Shot by Sergachev, saved by Rittich4v5
  45. P3 5:41Goal by Keller (Schmaltz, Sergachev)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock · UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Peterka, Guenther

  46. P3 10:41Cole: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYI Drouin, DeAngelo, Barzal, Tsyplakov, Schaefer, Shabanov · UTA Cole, O'Brien, DeSimone, McBain, But

  47. P3 11:20Shot by Schaefer, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  48. P3 11:48Goal by Schaefer (Drouin, Shabanov)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Drouin, Barzal, Heineman, Schaefer, Shabanov · UTA Kerfoot, Marino, Durzi, McBain

  49. P3 12:02Shot by Cole, saved by Hogberg
  50. P3 13:54Goal by Guenther (Crouse, Durzi)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pelech, Barzal, Tsyplakov, Schaefer, Shabanov · UTA Schmidt, Crouse, Marino, Hayton, Guenther

  51. P3 14:36Shot by Cole, saved by Hogberg
  52. P3 14:54Shot by Ritchie, saved by Vejmelka
  53. P3 16:55Goal by Schmaltz (Peterka, Keller)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Drouin, DeAngelo, Heineman, Ritchie, Schaefer · UTA Cole, Schmaltz, Keller, DeSimone, Peterka

  54. P3 17:23Tsyplakov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Mayfield, Warren, Ritchie, Tsyplakov, Shabanov · UTA Cole, Carcone, DeSimone, McBain, But

  55. P3 17:49Shot by Carcone, saved by Hogberg4v5
  56. P3 19:02Shot by O'Brien, saved by Hogberg4v5
  57. P3 19:04Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Hogberg4v5
  58. P3 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Final