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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 3, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh

Colorado Avalanche 5, Carolina Hurricanes 3

Away

Colorado Avalanche

5

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 69% of the time.

CAR winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:40Shot by Nelson, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 1:41Shot by Nelson, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 2:27Shot by Colton, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 3:04Shot by Hall, saved by Wedgewood
  6. P1 3:09Shot by Aho, saved by Wedgewood
  7. P1 3:35Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Wedgewood
  8. P1 3:36Toews: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Ehlers, Aho, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov · COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar

  9. P1 6:44Shot by Landeskog, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 9:03Shot by Nelson, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 9:31Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Wedgewood
  12. P1 9:41Shot by Toews, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 9:53Shot by Aho, saved by Wedgewood
  14. P1 10:33Shot by Aho, saved by Wedgewood
  15. P1 11:02Shot by Manson, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 11:11Shot by Olofsson, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 11:58Manson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Gostisbehere, Martinook, Miller, Stankoven · COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Lehkonen, Nichushkin

  18. P1 12:58Shot by Aho, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  19. P1 12:59Shot by Blake, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  20. P1 14:12Shot by Walker, saved by Wedgewood
  21. P1 16:30Shot by Olofsson, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 16:33Carrier: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Carrier, Aho, Walker, Robinson, Miller · COL Burns, Manson, Olofsson, Colton, Drury

  23. P1 16:59Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Andersen4v5
  24. P1 17:25Shot by Nelson, saved by Andersen4v5
  25. P1 17:34Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Andersen4v5
  26. P1 17:36Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Andersen4v5
  27. P1 18:09Goal by Aho (Robinson)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Aho, Chatfield, Robinson, Miller · COL Nelson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar

  28. P1 18:55Shot by Burns, saved by Andersen
  29. P1 18:59Shot by Burns, saved by Andersen
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:17Shot by Manson, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 1:47Goal by Landeskog (MacKinnon, Necas)+21 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Chatfield, Miller, Stankoven · COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Girard, Necas, Malinski

  34. P2 2:55Bardakov: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hall, Jankowski, Nikishin, Blake, Nystrom · COL Burns, Manson, Kelly, Bardakov, Makar

  35. P2 3:21Shot by Blake, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  36. P2 4:32Shot by Walker, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  37. P2 4:47Goal by Ehlers (Hall, Stankoven)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hall, Ehlers, Walker, Nikishin, Stankoven · COL Burns, Manson, Kelly, Drury

  38. P2 5:36Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Wedgewood
  39. P2 5:57Shot by Martinook, saved by Wedgewood
  40. P2 6:01Shot by Walker, saved by Wedgewood
  41. P2 6:54Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 7:29Shot by Colton, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 7:50Goal by Svechnikov (Aho, Miller)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Ehlers, Aho, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov · COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar

  44. P2 8:58Shot by Girard, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 9:52Miller: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Ehlers, Aho, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov · COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar

  46. P2 9:57Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Andersen4v5
  47. P2 9:58Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Andersen4v5
  48. P2 13:56Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Andersen
  49. P2 15:17Shot by Carrier, saved by Wedgewood
  50. P2 15:47Blake: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hall, Jankowski, Nikishin, Blake, Nystrom · COL Burns, Manson, Olofsson, Colton, Drury

  51. P2 19:12Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Andersen
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:11Svechnikov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Ehlers, Aho, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov · COL Burns, Manson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Necas

  55. P3 0:37Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Andersen4v5
  56. P3 0:38Shot by Nelson, saved by Andersen4v5
  57. P3 1:09Goal by Nelson (MacKinnon, Makar)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Walker, Miller · COL Nelson, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Necas, Makar

  58. P3 1:42Goal by Drury (Colton)+31 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Carrier, Robinson, Kotkaniemi, Nikishin, Nystrom · COL Toews, Olofsson, Colton, Drury, Malinski

  59. P3 3:04Shot by Martinook, saved by Wedgewood
  60. P3 3:37Shot by Aho, saved by Wedgewood
  61. P3 6:11Ehlers: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gostisbehere, Ehlers, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov · COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar

  62. P3 6:45Shot by Makar, saved by Andersen4v5
  63. P3 7:30Goal by Nelson (MacKinnon, Makar)4v5+24 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Aho, Chatfield, Robinson, Nikishin · COL Nelson, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Necas, Makar

  64. P3 9:09Shot by Manson, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 9:20Shot by Martinook, saved by Wedgewood
  66. P3 9:39Shot by Makar, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 10:01Shot by Martinook, saved by Wedgewood
  68. P3 10:39Shot by Chatfield, saved by Wedgewood
  69. P3 11:02Shot by Colton, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 12:16Shot by Chatfield, saved by Wedgewood
  71. P3 14:27Shot by Aho, saved by Wedgewood
  72. P3 15:35Shot by Carrier, saved by Wedgewood
  73. P3 15:45Shot by Colton, saved by Andersen
  74. P3 16:35Shot by Martinook, saved by Wedgewood
  75. P3 16:44Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Wedgewood
  76. P3 19:42Goal by MacKinnon (Necas, Lehkonen)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hall, Jankowski, Gostisbehere, Aho, Walker, Blake · COL Burns, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar

  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final