Sat, Jan 3, 2026·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Boston Bruins 3, Vancouver Canucks 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 16 | 18 | 06 | 12 | 322 |
| VAN | 06 | 216 | 011 | 01 | 234 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:24BOSFraser MintenPPAssists: Alex Steeves, Hampus Lindholm · Snap, 0.17 xG1–0
- P2 0:48VANElias PetterssonAssists: Filip Hronek, Linus Karlsson · Deflected, 0.11 xG1–1
- P2 7:25BOSElias LindholmPPAssists: David Pastrnak, Charlie McAvoy · Tip-in, 0.12 xG2–1
- P2 18:44VANFilip HronekPPAssists: Zeev Buium, Evander Kane · Deflected, 0.02 xG2–2
- OT 4:41BOSFraser MintenGWGAssists: David Pastrnak, Mason Lohrei · Backhand, 0.13 xG3–2
Penalties (9)
- P1 14:46VANMarcus Pettersson: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 14:46VANMarcus Pettersson: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:31BOSViktor Arvidsson: Slashing2 min
- P2 3:15BOSNikita Zadorov: Cross checking2 min
- P2 6:39VANMax Sasson: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 9:45BOSNikita Zadorov: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 14:54BOSMark Kastelic: High sticking2 min
- P2 18:36BOSHampus Lindholm: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 0:21BOSPavel Zacha: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Minten won the faceoff against Pettersson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestLindholm – Geekie – Steeves7:54
xG 0.56–0.15 (79%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Eyssimont – Kastelic4:37
xG 0.16–0.10 (62%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Pastrnak – Geekie – Minten2:08
xG 0.05–0.07 (41%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Arvidsson – Zacha – Mittelstadt10:26
xG 0.21–0.38 (36%)attempts 6–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Aspirot13:21
xG 0.51–0.23 (69%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Zadorov – Peeke2:27
xG 0.13–0.06 (71%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- McAvoy – Lohrei2:09
xG 0.04–0.10 (31%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestDeBrusk – Pettersson – Karlsson6:57
xG 1.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 16–0goals 1–0
- Kampf – Sherwood – O'Connor9:07
xG 0.08–0.25 (25%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Hoglander – Räty – Ohgren6:44
xG 0.05–0.23 (19%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Kane – Boeser – Sasson6:26
xG 0.05–0.70 (6%)attempts 2–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Buium11:38
xG 1.06–0.42 (72%)attempts 19–7goals 1–0
- Pettersson – Willander11:34
xG 0.32–0.29 (53%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
- Pettersson – Hronek2:31
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).