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Ice Lab

Centre · #93

Fraser Minten

Toronto Maple Leafs Boston Bruins(traded during the season)
Age
22
Shoots
Left
Height
188 cm
Weight
94 kg
Born
Vancouver, CAN
Draft
2022, round 2, #38 (TOR)

Career · 2023–24 to 2026–27

Games
111
Goals
21
Points
42
TOI per game
14:56
xGF% (5v5)
48.5%
Goals above expected
+1.1
ShowAll teamsToronto Maple LeafsBoston Bruins

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2023–24TOR4000011:2630.0%00.651.0%
2024–25TOR15224−412:141612.5%12.540.9%
2024–25BOS6101−115:01812.5%01.021.2%
2024–25All teams21325−513:012412.5%13.538.7%
2025–26BOS82171835+2115:3311614.7%315.050.0%
2026–27BOS4112015:36812.5%00.747.2%
Total2 teams111212142+1614:5615113.9%419.948.5%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.8120406080100
10m12m14m16m18m20m20406080100Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2023–24 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

3rd line

50th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

3rd line
  • Goals /600.7654th pct
  • Assists /600.7633rd pct
  • ixG /600.7243rd pct
  • Goals above expected+1.168th pct

Play-driving

3rd line
  • xGF% (5v5)48.5%43rd pct
  • CF% (5v5)48.4%42nd pct
  • Relative xGF%−0.156th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.0750th pct

Usage

3rd line
  • TOI per game14:5661st pct
  • PP time share21.6%50th pct
  • Offensive zone starts56.4%54th pct
  • Quality of competition24.4%50th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Nikita GrebenkinTOR/PHI0.68
  2. Paul CotterNJD0.67
  3. Cole ReinhardtVGK0.67
  4. Joseph VelenoDET/CHI/MTL/NYR0.66
  5. Conor GeekieTBL0.64
  6. Justin HryckowianDAL0.63

Faceoffs

How often Minten wins the draw over 2023–24 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 624+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

48.4%

524–558 · #118 of 189 regulars, 38th percentile

Against an average centre

48.3%

Opponents won 49.9% of their draws; an average centre would have won 50.1% against them.

Wins above average

−18

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

9.7

1,082 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

49%250 · +1.154%250 · +1.838%91 · +0.546%39 · +0.148%40 · −0.552%44 · +1.738%45 · +0.353%166 · +1.743%157 · +0.2Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone49.6% 169–172
  • Neutral zone47.8% 200–218
  • Defensive zone48.0% 155–168

By strength

  • Even strength48.9% 469–490
  • Power play50.0% 33–33
  • Shorthanded38.6% 22–35

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +13 after a win, −13 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.1 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2023–243748.6%48.6%
2024–2516845.8%45.1%
2025–2683949.3%49.3%
2026–273839.5%39.7%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

+1.1 goals above expected

0510152020406080100Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−30−20−100+10+20+30+40+50

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed32.8 km/h16th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph669th pct
  • Hardest shot136.2 km/h85th pct
  • Distance skated16 km83rd pct
  • Offensive-zone time43.6%66th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

36.6 km/h66th pct

▲ +0.3 km/h since 2024–25

3535.53636.53737.523–2424–2525–262023–24: 35.9 km/h, 46th percentile (4 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 36.3 km/h, 55th percentile (21 games)2025–26: 36.6 km/h, 66th percentile (82 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

5.552nd pct

▼ −0.2 since 2024–25

24681023–2424–2525–262023–24: 9.2, 84th percentile (4 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 5.7, 54th percentile (21 games)2025–26: 5.5, 52nd percentile (82 games)

Distance skated per 60

15.7 km64th pct

▼ −0.2 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.51723–2424–2525–262023–24: 16.7 km, 94th percentile (4 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 15.9 km, 69th percentile (21 games)2025–26: 15.7 km, 64th percentile (82 games)

Hardest shot

137.1 km/h42nd pct

▲ +5.2 km/h since 2024–25

12513013514014515023–2424–2525–262023–24: 131.0 km/h, 9th percentile (4 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 131.9 km/h, 15th percentile (21 games)2025–26: 137.1 km/h, 42nd percentile (82 games)

Offensive-zone time

40.8%35th pct

▲ +0.3 points since 2024–25

38%40%42%44%46%23–2424–2525–262023–24: 40.9%, 39th percentile (4 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 40.5%, 29th percentile (21 games)2025–26: 40.8%, 35th percentile (82 games)