Tue, Jan 6, 2026·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, San Jose Sharks 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 012 | 16 | 118 | 236 |
| SJS | 110 | 117 | 39 | 536 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:11SJSPavol RegendaAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Tyler Toffoli · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–1
- P2 4:14SJSAlexander WennbergPPAssists: William Eklund, Dmitry Orlov · Backhand, 0.14 xG0–2
- P2 19:15CBJZach WerenskiAssists: Dmitri Voronkov, Kirill Marchenko · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–2
- P3 15:16SJSZack OstapchukGWGUnassisted · Backhand, 0.13 xG1–3
- P3 16:05CBJSean MonahanAssists: Ivan Provorov · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–3
- P3 17:46SJSMario FerraroENAssists: Alexander Wennberg · Wrist, 0.32 xG2–4
- P3 18:31SJSMacklin CelebriniENAssists: Collin Graf, Mario Ferraro · Wrist, 0.57 xG2–5
Penalties (10)
- P1 7:43CBJDamon Severson: Interference2 min
- P1 15:20SJSTy Dellandrea: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:18CBJZachary Aston-Reese: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 5:45SJSIgor Chernyshov: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:57CBJDante Fabbro: Interference2 min
- P2 15:15CBJDenton Mateychuk: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:41CBJBoone Jenner: High sticking2 min
- P2 19:16SJSRyan Reaves: Fighting5 min
- P2 19:16CBJMathieu Olivier: Fighting5 min
- P3 2:20SJSBarclay Goodrow: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Coyle won the faceoff against Dellandrea
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestMarchenko – Voronkov – Fantilli7:10
xG 0.50–0.16 (76%)attempts 14–2goals 1–0
- Monahan – Voronkov – Johnson5:02
xG 0.30–0.14 (68%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Jenner – Marchenko – Fantilli4:45
xG 0.53–0.46 (54%)attempts 7–5goals 0–1
- Jenner – Monahan – Johnson4:55
xG 0.53–0.59 (47%)attempts 12–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Severson – Provorov15:19
xG 0.58–0.66 (47%)attempts 21–14goals 0–0
- Provorov – Fabbro2:29
xG 0.00–0.12 (0%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Fabbro – Christiansen6:48
xG 0.47–0.62 (43%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestEklund – Celebrini – Chernyshov11:07
xG 0.82–0.36 (70%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Reaves – Goodrow – Ostapchuk6:54
xG 0.65–0.28 (70%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Skinner – Dellandrea – Graf6:09
xG 0.18–0.09 (67%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Toffoli – Wennberg – Regenda7:26
xG 0.56–0.66 (46%)attempts 9–12goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestLeddy – Orlov3:00
xG 0.36–0.05 (89%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Ferraro – Iorio11:42
xG 0.77–0.47 (62%)attempts 14–12goals 1–1
- Liljegren – Dickinson2:34
xG 0.22–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).