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Ice Lab

Centre · #63

Zack Ostapchuk

Ottawa Senators San Jose Sharks(traded during the season)
Age
23
Shoots
Left
Height
193 cm
Weight
98 kg
Born
St. Albert, CAN
Draft
2021, round 2, #39 (OTT)

Career · 2023–24 to 2026–27

Games
126
Goals
5
Points
11
TOI per game
9:52
xGF% (5v5)
42.5%
Goals above expected
−3.8

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2023–24OTT7000−110:3050.0%00.437.9%
2024–25OTT43134−79:20205.0%02.442.2%
2024–25SJS13000−19:4360.0%00.645.0%
2024–25All teams56134−89:25263.8%03.042.7%
2025–26SJS59437−1110:06449.1%04.843.3%
2026–27SJS4000+111:2750.0%00.639.5%
Total2 teams1265611−199:52806.3%08.842.5%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.10.20.320406080100120
8m9m10m11m12m20406080100120Game

Player card

How 2023–24 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

Extra / AHL

4th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

Extra / AHL
  • Goals /600.246th pct
  • Assists /600.294th pct
  • ixG /600.433rd pct
  • Goals above expected−3.827th pct

Play-driving

4th line
  • xGF% (5v5)42.5%11th pct
  • CF% (5v5)44.5%12th pct
  • Relative xGF%−6.711th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.2470th pct

Usage

Extra / AHL
  • TOI per game9:5210th pct
  • PP time share1.0%12th pct
  • Offensive zone starts40.0%21st pct
  • Quality of competition23.0%6th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Faceoffs

How often Ostapchuk wins the draw over 2023–24 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 624+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

48.8%

395–414 · #114 of 189 regulars, 40th percentile

Against an average centre

49.1%

Opponents won 50.3% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.7% against them.

Wins above average

−7

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

6.5

809 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

47%217 · +0.755%133 · +0.427%48 · +0.649%43 · +1.154%26 · −0.564%39 · +0.839%18 · +1.156%147 · +0.341%138 · −0.1Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone47.5% 86–95
  • Neutral zone49.3% 169–174
  • Defensive zone49.1% 140–145

By strength

  • Even strength49.7% 355–360
  • Power play37.5% 3–5
  • Shorthanded43.0% 37–49

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +3 after a win, −17 after a loss. Each win was worth 0.4 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2023–244126.8%27.3%
2024–2528248.6%48.3%
2025–2645751.6%52.2%
2026–272937.9%39.7%

Finishing

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−3.8 goals above expected

024681020406080100120Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−30−20−100+10+20+30+40+50

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed34.6 km/h63rd pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph777th pct
  • Hardest shot124.8 km/h54th pct
  • Distance skated9 km27th pct
  • Offensive-zone time35.1%6th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

37.5 km/h89th pct

▼ −0.0 km/h since 2024–25

3536373823–2424–2525–262023–24: 36.9 km/h, 82nd percentile (7 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 37.5 km/h, 92nd percentile (56 games)2025–26: 37.5 km/h, 89th percentile (59 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

15.397th pct

▲ +3.5 since 2024–25

0510152023–2424–2525–262023–24: 13.9, 96th percentile (7 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 11.8, 93rd percentile (56 games)2025–26: 15.3, 97th percentile (59 games)

Distance skated per 60

16.1 km83rd pct

▼ −0.2 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.51723–2424–2525–262023–24: 16.5 km, 92nd percentile (7 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 16.3 km, 88th percentile (56 games)2025–26: 16.1 km, 83rd percentile (59 games)

Hardest shot

132.3 km/h19th pct

▼ −6.9 km/h since 2024–25

13013514014515023–2424–2525–262023–24: 135.9 km/h, 22nd percentile (7 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 139.2 km/h, 44th percentile (56 games)2025–26: 132.3 km/h, 19th percentile (59 games)

Offensive-zone time

38.6%11th pct

▼ −1.3 points since 2024–25

36%38%40%42%44%46%23–2424–2525–262023–24: 37.6%, 8th percentile (7 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 39.9%, 23rd percentile (56 games)2025–26: 38.6%, 11th percentile (59 games)