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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 7, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington

Dallas Stars 4, Washington Capitals 1

Away

Dallas Stars

4

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 91% of the time.

WSH winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:54Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Thompson
  3. P1 2:21Shot by Bastian, saved by Thompson
  4. P1 2:44Lyubushkin: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Roy, Chychrun, McMichael, Sourdif, Leonard · DAL Rantanen, Steel, Lyubushkin, Harley, Johnston

  5. P1 3:03Shot by Faksa, saved by Thompson5v4
  6. P1 3:06Goal by Faksa (Lindell)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Chychrun, Leonard · DAL Blackwell, Faksa, Lindell, Heiskanen

  7. P1 3:14Shot by Blackwell, saved by Thompson5v4
  8. P1 3:16McMichael: Abuse of officials (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Sandin, McMichael, Sourdif, Frank · DAL Blackwell, Lindell, Steel, Heiskanen

  9. P1 5:05Shot by Duchene, saved by Thompson4v5
  10. P1 5:59Shot by Strome, saved by DeSmith
  11. P1 6:07Shot by Beauvillier, saved by DeSmith
  12. P1 7:19Shot by Hintz, saved by Thompson
  13. P1 8:47Shot by Milano, saved by DeSmith
  14. P1 10:27Shot by Ovechkin, saved by DeSmith
  15. P1 11:30Shot by Rantanen, saved by Thompson
  16. P1 11:48Shot by Sandin, saved by DeSmith
  17. P1 13:30Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Thompson
  18. P1 14:19Shot by Johnston, saved by Thompson
  19. P1 19:25Shot by Chychrun, saved by DeSmith
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 1:10Shot by Chychrun, saved by DeSmith
  23. P2 1:12Lyubushkin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Dowd, Roy, Chychrun, Duhaime, Frank · DAL Hintz, Robertson, Lyubushkin, Harley, Bourque

  24. P2 1:12Duhaime: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Dowd, Roy, Chychrun, Duhaime, Frank · DAL Hintz, Robertson, Lyubushkin, Harley, Bourque

  25. P2 1:18Shot by Beauvillier, saved by DeSmith4v4
  26. P2 1:55Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Thompson4v4
  27. P2 2:37Goal by Steel (Harley, Duchene)4v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Sandin, McMichael, Sourdif · DAL Duchene, Steel, Lundkvist, Harley

  28. P2 6:31Shot by Hintz, saved by Thompson
  29. P2 8:09Shot by Leonard, saved by DeSmith
  30. P2 8:51Shot by Blackwell, saved by Thompson
  31. P2 9:24Shot by Robertson, saved by Thompson
  32. P2 9:42Shot by Frank, saved by DeSmith
  33. P2 9:59Shot by Harley, saved by Thompson
  34. P2 10:46Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Thompson
  35. P2 12:08Shot by Johnston, saved by Thompson
  36. P2 12:53Lyubushkin: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Chychrun, Duhaime · DAL Duchene, Blackwell, Lyubushkin, Harley, Hryckowian

  37. P2 12:53Duhaime: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Chychrun, Duhaime · DAL Duchene, Blackwell, Lyubushkin, Harley, Hryckowian

  38. P2 14:59Shot by Hintz, saved by Thompson
  39. P2 15:02Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Thompson
  40. P2 15:55Rantanen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chychrun, Sandin, McMichael, Sourdif, Leonard · DAL Rantanen, Capobianco, Steel, Lundkvist, Johnston

  41. P2 19:37Shot by Sourdif, saved by DeSmith
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:49Shot by Hintz, saved by Thompson
  45. P3 1:50Shot by Beauvillier, saved by DeSmith
  46. P3 2:21Shot by Strome, saved by DeSmith
  47. P3 3:02Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Thompson
  48. P3 4:17Shot by Chychrun, saved by DeSmith
  49. P3 4:57Dowd: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Dowd, Milano, Roy, Chychrun · DAL Duchene, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen

  50. P3 5:14Shot by Johnston, saved by Thompson4v5
  51. P3 5:35Shot by Hintz, saved by Thompson4v5
  52. P3 6:09Shot by Hintz, saved by Thompson4v5
  53. P3 6:10Shot by Hintz, saved by Thompson4v5
  54. P3 6:47Shot by Hintz, saved by Thompson4v5
  55. P3 6:48Shot by Hintz, saved by Thompson4v5
  56. P3 9:03Shot by Sourdif, saved by DeSmith
  57. P3 9:59Shot by Johnston, saved by Thompson
  58. P3 10:23Shot by Leonard, saved by DeSmith
  59. P3 11:12Shot by Hintz, saved by Thompson
  60. P3 11:38Shot by Harley, saved by Thompson
  61. P3 11:51Shot by McMichael, saved by DeSmith
  62. P3 11:59Shot by Duchene, saved by Thompson
  63. P3 12:10Shot by McMichael, saved by DeSmith
  64. P3 13:07Shot by Faksa, saved by Thompson
  65. P3 13:31Goal by Johnston (Steel)+3 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Beauvillier, Roy, Fehérváry · DAL Rantanen, Capobianco, Steel, Lyubushkin, Johnston

  66. P3 17:03Shot by Hintz, saved by Thompson
  67. P3 17:18Shot by Frank, saved by DeSmith
  68. P3 17:32Shot by Chychrun, saved by DeSmith
  69. P3 17:36Shot by McMichael, saved by DeSmith6v5
  70. P3 17:41Goal by Ovechkin (Carlson, Chychrun)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Chychrun, McMichael, Leonard · DAL Rantanen, Steel, Lyubushkin, Harley, Johnston

  71. P3 19:03Shot by Chychrun, saved by DeSmith6v5
  72. P3 19:34Shot by Chychrun, saved by DeSmith6v5
  73. P3 19:41Goal by Hintz, unassisted6v50 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Chychrun, McMichael, Leonard · DAL Hintz, Robertson, Lyubushkin, Harley, Bourque

  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final