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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 8, 2026·Centre Bell, Montreal

Florida Panthers 2, Montréal Canadiens 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 60% of the time.

MTL winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:56Shot by Gallagher, saved by Bobrovsky
  3. P1 2:59Goal by Dobson (Matheson, Kapanen)+12 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Dobson, Kapanen, Slafkovský, Demidov · FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Greer, Mikkola, Balinskis

  4. P1 4:41Shot by Texier, saved by Bobrovsky
  5. P1 5:18Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Montembeault
  6. P1 5:19Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Montembeault
  7. P1 5:20Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Montembeault
  8. P1 6:24Slafkovský: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Carrier, Kapanen, Hutson, Slafkovský, Demidov · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Greer

  9. P1 6:55Shot by Matheson, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  10. P1 7:58Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Montembeault4v5
  11. P1 8:16Shot by Petry, saved by Montembeault4v5
  12. P1 10:45Balinskis: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Carrier, Suzuki, Caufield, Demidov · FLA Rodrigues, Mikkola, Boqvist, Samoskevich, Balinskis

  13. P1 12:20Shot by Dobson, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  14. P1 13:09Shot by Dobson, saved by Bobrovsky
  15. P1 15:13Shot by Bolduc, saved by Bobrovsky
  16. P1 17:35Goal by Kapanen (Slafkovský)+13 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Struble, Kapanen, Xhekaj, Slafkovský, Demidov · FLA Petry, Kunin, Gregor, Studnicka, Sebrango

  17. P1 17:41Slafkovský: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Carrier, Kapanen, Hutson, Slafkovský, Demidov · FLA Rodrigues, Mikkola, Boqvist, Samoskevich, Balinskis

  18. P1 19:32Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Montembeault4v5
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:10Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Montembeault
  22. P2 3:52Shot by Greer, saved by Montembeault
  23. P2 5:06Shot by Sebrango, saved by Montembeault
  24. P2 5:09Shot by Bennett, saved by Montembeault
  25. P2 5:33Goal by Bennett, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Danault, Carrier, Bolduc, Hutson · FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Forsling, Greer, Mikkola

  26. P2 5:59Shot by Lundell, saved by Montembeault
  27. P2 9:05Shot by Boqvist, saved by Montembeault
  28. P2 9:18Shot by Forsling, saved by Montembeault
  29. P2 13:41Goal by Texier (Carrier, Suzuki)+14 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Carrier, Suzuki, Texier, Caufield, Hutson · FLA Petry, Verhaeghe, Reinhart, Bennett, Forsling

  30. P2 16:06Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Montembeault
  31. P2 16:10Shot by Lundell, saved by Montembeault
  32. P2 16:41Shot by Caufield, saved by Bobrovsky
  33. P2 16:54Lundell: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: MTL Carrier, Suzuki, Texier, Caufield, Hutson · FLA Reinhart, Mikkola, Luostarinen, Lundell, Balinskis

  34. P2 18:28Shot by Dobson, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  35. P2 19:16Shot by Texier, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  36. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  37. P3 0:00Period start
  38. P3 1:06Danault: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Danault, Matheson, Dobson, Bolduc · FLA Reinhart, Mikkola, Luostarinen, Lundell, Balinskis

  39. P3 1:35Shot by Veleno, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  40. P3 2:28Shot by Reinhart, saved by Montembeault4v5
  41. P3 3:36Shot by Gallagher, saved by Bobrovsky
  42. P3 4:26Sebrango: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Blais, Veleno, Struble, Xhekaj, Beck · FLA Petry, Rodrigues, Gregor, Studnicka, Sebrango

  43. P3 4:26Blais: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Blais, Veleno, Struble, Xhekaj, Beck · FLA Petry, Rodrigues, Gregor, Studnicka, Sebrango

  44. P3 4:53Shot by Lundell, saved by Montembeault4v4
  45. P3 5:06Shot by Balinskis, saved by Montembeault4v4
  46. P3 7:26Goal by Texier (Matheson)+4 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Suzuki, Texier, Caufield, Struble, Xhekaj · FLA Petry, Greer, Rodrigues, Boqvist, Sebrango

  47. P3 8:12Shot by Lundell, saved by Montembeault
  48. P3 9:12Bennett: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Danault, Matheson, Dobson, Bolduc · FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Greer, Mikkola, Balinskis

  49. P3 9:22Shot by Suzuki, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  50. P3 10:46Shot by Texier, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  51. P3 11:21Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Montembeault
  52. P3 11:23Goal by Bennett (Rodrigues, Mikkola)+3 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Matheson, Texier, Dobson, Kapanen · FLA Petry, Bennett, Rodrigues, Boqvist, Sebrango

  53. P3 12:32Shot by Lundell, saved by Montembeault
  54. P3 13:00Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Montembeault
  55. P3 14:28Shot by Boqvist, saved by Montembeault
  56. P3 15:31Shot by Bennett, saved by Montembeault
  57. P3 17:09Shot by Reinhart, saved by Montembeault5v6
  58. P3 17:59Goal by Slafkovský (Kapanen, Hutson)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Veleno, Kapanen, Hutson, Slafkovský · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Reinhart, Bennett, Rodrigues, Lundell

  59. P3 18:45Sebrango: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Blais, Veleno, Struble, Xhekaj, Beck · FLA Petry, Kunin, Gregor, Studnicka, Sebrango

  60. P3 18:45Xhekaj: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Blais, Veleno, Struble, Xhekaj, Beck · FLA Petry, Kunin, Gregor, Studnicka, Sebrango

  61. P3 18:45Beck: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Blais, Veleno, Struble, Xhekaj, Beck · FLA Petry, Kunin, Gregor, Studnicka, Sebrango

  62. P3 18:45Sebrango: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Blais, Veleno, Struble, Xhekaj, Beck · FLA Petry, Kunin, Gregor, Studnicka, Sebrango

  63. P3 18:45Sebrango: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: MTL Blais, Veleno, Struble, Xhekaj, Beck · FLA Petry, Kunin, Gregor, Studnicka, Sebrango

  64. P3 18:45Xhekaj: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: MTL Blais, Veleno, Struble, Xhekaj, Beck · FLA Petry, Kunin, Gregor, Studnicka, Sebrango

  65. P3 19:07Shot by Veleno, saved by Bobrovsky
  66. P3 19:10Goal by Texier (Blais, Veleno)0 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Blais, Carrier, Texier, Veleno, Struble · FLA Petry, Kunin, Gregor, Studnicka, Balinskis

  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final