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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 8, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Philadelphia Flyers 1 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 67% of the time.

PHI winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:19Shot by Carlo, saved by Vladar
  3. P1 0:55Shot by Domi, saved by Vladar
  4. P1 1:49Shot by Rielly, saved by Vladar
  5. P1 4:28Shot by Tippett, saved by Hildeby
  6. P1 7:35Shot by Barkey, saved by Hildeby
  7. P1 8:48Shot by Roy, saved by Vladar
  8. P1 9:47Shot by Abols, saved by Hildeby
  9. P1 14:41Shot by Matthews, saved by Vladar
  10. P1 16:17Shot by Benoit, saved by Vladar
  11. P1 17:07Shot by York, saved by Hildeby
  12. P1 17:08Shot by Grebenkin, saved by Hildeby
  13. P1 17:27Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Hildeby
  14. P1 18:06Shot by Seeler, saved by Hildeby
  15. P1 18:21Shot by Seeler, saved by Hildeby
  16. P1 18:35Stecher: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Dvorak, Konecny, Zegras, York · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Roy, Matthews, Stecher, McMann

  17. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:55Goal by Konecny (Dvorak, Ristolainen)+21 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Sanheim, Dvorak, Konecny, Zegras · TOR Rielly, Domi, Myers, Matthews, McMann

  20. P2 4:40Shot by Maccelli, saved by Vladar
  21. P2 5:23Shot by McMann, saved by Vladar
  22. P2 8:40Andrae: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Hathaway, Juulsen, Abols, Andrae, Grebenkin · TOR Jarnkrok, Laughton, Lorentz, Myers, Benoit

  23. P2 10:32Shot by Domi, saved by Vladar4v5
  24. P2 11:31Konecny: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Dvorak, Konecny, Zegras, York · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Matthews, Benoit, Knies, Cowan

  25. P2 13:34Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Vladar
  26. P2 13:56Shot by Tippett, saved by Hildeby
  27. P2 15:01Shot by Robertson, saved by Vladar
  28. P2 15:16Shot by York, saved by Hildeby
  29. P2 15:27Shot by Matthews, saved by Vladar
  30. P2 19:13Shot by Rielly, saved by Vladar
  31. P2 0:00Period end
  32. P3 0:00Period start
  33. P3 0:47Shot by Knies, saved by Vladar
  34. P3 1:10Shot by Couturier, saved by Hildeby
  35. P3 1:17Shot by Sanheim, saved by Hildeby
  36. P3 1:53Shot by Dvorak, saved by Hildeby
  37. P3 2:19Shot by Myers, saved by Vladar
  38. P3 5:56Shot by Cowan, saved by Vladar
  39. P3 7:09Shot by Benoit, saved by Vladar
  40. P3 10:59Knies: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Abols, Tippett, York, Barkey · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Myers, Maccelli, Knies

  41. P3 11:17Shot by Tippett, saved by Hildeby5v4
  42. P3 11:23Shot by Carlo, saved by Vladar5v4
  43. P3 11:42Shot by Dvorak, saved by Hildeby5v4
  44. P3 11:43Shot by Zegras, saved by Hildeby5v4
  45. P3 12:07Stecher: Tripping (2 min)6v4

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Dvorak, Tippett, Zegras, York, Michkov · TOR Laughton, Carlo, Lorentz, Stecher

  46. P3 13:05Shot by Michkov, saved by Hildeby5v4
  47. P3 13:22Shot by Couturier, saved by Hildeby5v4
  48. P3 13:35Shot by Couturier, saved by Hildeby5v4
  49. P3 14:04Goal by Laughton, unassisted5v4+42 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Cates, Barkey · TOR Rielly, Laughton, Lorentz, Myers

  50. P3 15:15Shot by Maccelli, saved by Vladar
  51. P3 17:00Shot by Matthews, saved by Vladar
  52. P3 18:50Shot by McMann, saved by Vladar
  53. P3 0:00Period end
  54. OT 0:00Period start
  55. OT 0:16Shot by Dvorak, saved by Hildeby3v3
  56. OT 0:44Shot by Zegras, saved by Hildeby3v3
  57. OT 2:18Shot by Michkov, saved by Hildeby3v3
  58. OT 2:48Goal by Cowan (Tavares)3v3+49 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Zegras, Michkov · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Cowan

  59. OT 2:48Period end3v3
  60. OT 2:48Final4v4