Thu, Jan 8, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Philadelphia Flyers 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 67% of the time.
59%
26%
PHI winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:00 | 0.07 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:25 | 0.00 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:40 | 0.34 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:11 | 0.22 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:04 | 0.16 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:52 | 0.03 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:54 | 0.15 | 73.6% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:47 | 0.34 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:22 | 0.08 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:47 | 0.25 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.14 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.03 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.06 | 16.0% | +42.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:31 | 0.14 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:28 | 0.35 | 49.7% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:28 | 0.00 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:37 | 0.28 | 81.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:24 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 22 | 1 | .957 | 3.68 | +2.7 | 62:41 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:52 | 0.11 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 23:31 | 0.05 | 46.0% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:09 | 0.22 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:26 | 1.04 | 55.7% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:21 | 0.05 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:22 | 0.51 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:28 | 0.38 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.12 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:56 | 0.32 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:59 | 0.46 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:24 | 0.09 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.00 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.00 | 74.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.12 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:04 | 0.09 | 40.1% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:04 | 0.14 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:31 | 0.00 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:30 | 0.00 | 54.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.66 | +0.7 | 62:33 |