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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 8, 2026·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

New York Islanders 1, Nashville Predators 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 51% of the time.

NSH winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:06Shot by Lee, saved by Saros
  3. P1 1:52Shot by Schaefer, saved by Rittich
  4. P1 2:40Shot by Blankenburg, saved by Rittich
  5. P1 3:29Shot by Duclair, saved by Saros
  6. P1 5:44Shot by Ritchie, saved by Saros
  7. P1 7:25Shot by Wilsby, saved by Rittich
  8. P1 9:49Shot by Josi, saved by Rittich
  9. P1 10:05Shot by Ritchie, saved by Saros
  10. P1 11:39Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Saros
  11. P1 12:02Shot by Skjei, saved by Rittich
  12. P1 12:26Shot by Josi, saved by Rittich
  13. P1 13:08Shot by McCarron, saved by Rittich
  14. P1 14:40Shot by Bunting, saved by Rittich
  15. P1 14:51Shot by Josi, saved by Rittich
  16. P1 15:37Shot by Blankenburg, saved by Rittich
  17. P1 17:55Shot by Cizikas, saved by Saros
  18. P1 18:24Shot by Schaefer, saved by Saros
  19. P1 18:45Shot by Pulock, saved by Saros
  20. P1 19:29Shot by Heineman, saved by Saros
  21. P1 19:42Shot by Lee, saved by Saros
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:40Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rittich
  25. P2 0:51Shot by Heineman, saved by Saros
  26. P2 2:23MacLean: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, McCarron, Perbix, Smith, Schaefer · NYI Pulock, MacLean, Gatcomb, Ritchie, Schaefer

  27. P2 2:23Smith: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, McCarron, Perbix, Smith, Schaefer · NYI Pulock, MacLean, Gatcomb, Ritchie, Schaefer

  28. P2 2:48Shot by Shabanov, saved by Saros4v4
  29. P2 3:30Shot by Barzal, saved by Saros4v4
  30. P2 4:01Shot by Forsberg, saved by Rittich4v4
  31. P2 5:12Shot by Svechkov, saved by Rittich
  32. P2 5:28Shot by Svechkov, saved by Rittich
  33. P2 5:48Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rittich
  34. P2 7:25Jost: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Jost, Hague, Svechkov, Blankenburg, Wood · NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Duclair, McWard, Shabanov

  35. P2 7:25Cizikas: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Jost, Hague, Svechkov, Blankenburg, Wood · NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Duclair, McWard, Shabanov

  36. P2 10:46Shot by Shabanov, saved by Saros
  37. P2 11:06Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rittich
  38. P2 11:45Shot by McWard, saved by Saros
  39. P2 12:14Goal by Holmstrom (Mayfield, Barzal)+19 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Stamkos, O'Reilly, Skjei, Forsberg, Wilsby · NYI Lee, Mayfield, Barzal, Holmstrom, McWard

  40. P2 12:37Shot by Pelech, saved by Saros
  41. P2 15:40Shot by Lee, saved by Saros
  42. P2 16:05Holmstrom: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, McCarron, Perbix, Smith, Schaefer · NYI Drouin, Pulock, Barzal, Holmstrom, Schaefer

  43. P2 17:13Shot by Stamkos, saved by Rittich5v4
  44. P2 18:29McCarron: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Skjei, McCarron, Smith, Wilsby, Schaefer · NYI Lee, Mayfield, DeAngelo, Barzal, Holmstrom

  45. P2 19:04Shot by Ritchie, saved by Saros4v5
  46. P2 19:19Goal by O'Reilly (Smith)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Josi, O'Reilly, Hague, Smith · NYI Drouin, Barzal, Heineman, Ritchie, Schaefer

  47. P2 19:59Shot by Skjei, saved by Rittich4v5
  48. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:02Shot by Smith, saved by Rittich4v5
  51. P3 0:22Shot by Heineman, saved by Saros4v5
  52. P3 2:10Jost: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Jost, Hague, Svechkov, Blankenburg, Wood · NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Duclair, McWard, Shabanov

  53. P3 2:19Shot by Smith, saved by Rittich4v5
  54. P3 3:15Shot by Heineman, saved by Saros4v5
  55. P3 6:03Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Saros
  56. P3 6:08DeAngelo: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McCarron, Hague, Evangelista, Schaefer, Blankenburg · NYI Lee, Pelech, DeAngelo, Barzal, Heineman

  57. P3 6:08Evangelista: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McCarron, Hague, Evangelista, Schaefer, Blankenburg · NYI Lee, Pelech, DeAngelo, Barzal, Heineman

  58. P3 7:03Shot by Heineman, saved by Saros4v4
  59. P3 7:28Shot by Josi, saved by Rittich4v4
  60. P3 8:23Shot by Svechkov, saved by Rittich
  61. P3 12:21Shot by Barzal, saved by Saros
  62. P3 12:25Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Saros
  63. P3 12:36Shot by Forsberg, saved by Rittich
  64. P3 13:49Shot by Cizikas, saved by Saros
  65. P3 17:09Shot by Schaefer, saved by Rittich
  66. P3 18:28Shot by Wilsby, saved by Rittich
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. OT 0:00Period start
  69. OT 1:27Shot by Drouin, saved by Saros3v3
  70. OT 2:28Shot by Haula, saved by Rittich3v3
  71. OT 2:58Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Saros3v3
  72. OT 3:53Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Saros3v3
  73. OT 4:03Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Saros3v3
  74. OT 4:40Shot by Schaefer, saved by Saros3v3
  75. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  76. SO Period start
  77. SO Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Rittichother
  78. SO Shot by Barzal, saved by Sarosother
  79. SO Goal by Forsberg, unassistedother
  80. SO Shot by Heineman, saved by Sarosother
  81. SO Period endother
  82. SO Finalother