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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 10, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Florida Panthers 3, Ottawa Senators 2

Away

Florida Panthers

3

Final

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Ottawa Senators

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 70% of the time.

OTT winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:02Rodrigues: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Eller, Cousins, Greig, Sanderson, Zub · FLA Forsling, Rodrigues, Sebrango, Samoskevich, Vilmanis

  3. P1 4:03Goal by Zetterlund (Pinto, Giroux)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Perron, Chabot, Zetterlund, Pinto · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Rodrigues

  4. P1 6:52Shot by Zub, saved by Bobrovsky
  5. P1 7:10Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Meriläinen
  6. P1 8:36Shot by Chabot, saved by Bobrovsky
  7. P1 9:35Zub: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Amadio, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub · FLA Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Luostarinen, Lundell

  8. P1 10:00Shot by Kleven, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  9. P1 10:21Shot by Reinhart, saved by Meriläinen4v5
  10. P1 11:34Goal by Rodrigues (Ekblad)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Jensen, Greig, Kleven, Stützle · FLA Ekblad, Forsling, Rodrigues, Luostarinen, Samoskevich

  11. P1 12:19Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Meriläinen
  12. P1 12:42Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Meriläinen
  13. P1 13:38Shot by Lundell, saved by Meriläinen
  14. P1 14:50Shot by Studnicka, saved by Meriläinen
  15. P1 17:11Zub: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Amadio, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub · FLA Petry, Reinhart, Luostarinen, Lundell, Sebrango

  16. P1 18:25Pinto: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Pinto, Greig, Kleven, Sanderson · FLA Verhaeghe, Reinhart, Bennett, Lundell, Balinskis

  17. P1 18:25Bennett: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Pinto, Greig, Kleven, Sanderson · FLA Verhaeghe, Reinhart, Bennett, Lundell, Balinskis

  18. P1 19:10Shot by Ekblad, saved by Meriläinen4v5
  19. P1 19:32Shot by Batherson, saved by Bobrovsky
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:47Shot by Bennett, saved by Meriläinen
  23. P2 0:52Shot by Balinskis, saved by Meriläinen
  24. P2 1:01Balinskis: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Perron, Jensen, Chabot, Batherson, Cozens · FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Greer, Mikkola, Balinskis

  25. P2 3:26Shot by Studnicka, saved by Meriläinen
  26. P2 5:47Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Meriläinen
  27. P2 5:57Shot by Sanderson, saved by Bobrovsky
  28. P2 6:03Verhaeghe: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Jensen, Chabot, Zetterlund, Tkachuk, Stützle · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Greer

  29. P2 6:39Shot by Sanderson, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  30. P2 8:00Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  31. P2 8:03Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  32. P2 9:59Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Meriläinen
  33. P2 11:49Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Meriläinen
  34. P2 11:52Chabot: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Zetterlund, Tkachuk, Spence, Stützle · FLA Ekblad, Forsling, Rodrigues, Samoskevich, Vilmanis

  35. P2 12:34Shot by Reinhart, saved by Meriläinen4v5
  36. P2 13:13Goal by Verhaeghe (Forsling, Lundell)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Jensen, Kleven, Stützle · FLA Verhaeghe, Reinhart, Bennett, Forsling, Lundell

  37. P2 13:58Shot by Chabot, saved by Bobrovsky
  38. P2 16:26Shot by Sanderson, saved by Bobrovsky
  39. P2 18:36Pinto: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Amadio, Pinto, Spence, Sanderson · FLA Petry, Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Greer

  40. P2 18:55Verhaeghe: Boarding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · FLA Verhaeghe, Reinhart, Bennett, Lundell, Balinskis

  41. P2 19:07Shot by Sanderson, saved by Bobrovsky4v4
  42. P2 0:00Period end4v4
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 2:20Shot by Mikkola, saved by Meriläinen
  45. P3 3:48Goal by Forsling (Ekblad, Verhaeghe)+17 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Jensen, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Greer

  46. P3 4:27Shot by Sebrango, saved by Meriläinen
  47. P3 5:40Shot by Giroux, saved by Bobrovsky
  48. P3 9:54Shot by Chabot, saved by Bobrovsky
  49. P3 11:39Shot by Greig, saved by Bobrovsky
  50. P3 12:08Reinhart: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Amadio, Chabot, Batherson, Cozens, Zub · FLA Reinhart, Forsling, Mikkola, Luostarinen, Lundell

  51. P3 12:27Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  52. P3 13:47Shot by Ekblad, saved by Meriläinen5v4
  53. P3 15:15Shot by Spence, saved by Bobrovsky
  54. P3 17:11Shot by Reinhart, saved by Meriläinen
  55. P3 18:00Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Bobrovsky6v5
  56. P3 18:18Goal by Batherson (Giroux, Sanderson)6v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Batherson, Tkachuk, Pinto, Sanderson, Stützle · FLA Verhaeghe, Bennett, Rodrigues, Mikkola, Balinskis

  57. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  58. P3 0:00Final6v5