Sat, Jan 10, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Florida Panthers 3, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 70% of the time.
62%
9%
21%
OTT winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:27 | 0.11 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22:55 | 0.12 | 48.7% | +35.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22:27 | 0.13 | 53.6% | +33.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:59 | 0.44 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:55 | 0.01 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:55 | 0.17 | 45.0% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:08 | 0.21 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 18:00 | 0.13 | 56.3% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:04 | 0.06 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 16:50 | 0.13 | 34.4% | +35.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:10 | 0.00 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:22 | 0.00 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:21 | 0.33 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.03 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:11 | 0.05 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:13 | 0.00 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:38 | 0.00 | 14.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:37 | 0.05 | 52.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 19 | 17 | 2 | .895 | 3.18 | +1.2 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28:07 | 0.43 | 42.4% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:01 | 0.05 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:31 | 0.05 | 75.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.11 | 77.1% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:04 | 0.22 | 84.6% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:59 | 0.39 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.55 | 58.3% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:05 | 0.03 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:34 | 0.14 | 77.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.02 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:09 | 0.58 | 46.1% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:26 | 0.04 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.40 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:55 | 0.11 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:14 | 0.03 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:24 | 0.06 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:53 | 0.00 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:00 | 0.00 | 83.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 1.97 | −1.0 | 57:48 |