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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 13, 2026·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg

New York Islanders 4, Winnipeg Jets 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 63% of the time.

WPG winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Shot by Pulock, saved by Hellebuyck
  3. P1 2:40Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Hellebuyck
  4. P1 4:17Shot by Iafallo, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 4:20Goal by Connor (Iafallo, Scheifele)+13 pts WP

    On ice: WPG DeMelo, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Iafallo · NYI Lee, Duclair, Pulock, Barzal, Schaefer

  6. P1 5:58Shot by Zhilkin, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 8:05Shot by Pelech, saved by Hellebuyck
  8. P1 8:38Shot by Morrissey, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 8:55Shot by Morrissey, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 10:16Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Hellebuyck
  11. P1 10:40Shot by Lee, saved by Hellebuyck
  12. P1 10:43Shot by Barzal, saved by Hellebuyck
  13. P1 10:44Shot by Pelech, saved by Hellebuyck
  14. P1 12:31Morrissey: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WPG Toews, Niederreiter, Morrissey, Stanley, Vilardi · NYI Pageau, DeAngelo, Barzal, Boqvist, Holmstrom, Shabanov

  15. P1 16:03Shot by Vilardi, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 16:04Shot by Vilardi, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 16:05Shot by Toews, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 17:00Shot by Morrissey, saved by Sorokin
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:14Shot by Pelech, saved by Hellebuyck
  22. P2 2:58Shot by MacLean, saved by Hellebuyck
  23. P2 5:36Shot by Perfetti, saved by Sorokin
  24. P2 5:41Goal by Morrissey (Perfetti, Lowry)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Schenn, Lowry, Morrissey, Vilardi, Perfetti · NYI DeAngelo, Boqvist, Heineman, Ritchie, Shabanov

  25. P2 5:48Mayfield: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Schenn, Niederreiter, Lowry, Namestnikov, Stanley · NYI Mayfield, Drouin, Boqvist, Heineman, Ritchie

  26. P2 6:23Goal by Toews (Vilardi, Connor)5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Toews, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Vilardi · NYI Pageau, Pelech, Pulock, Holmstrom

  27. P2 7:40Goal by Duclair (Lee, Pulock)+7 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, Lowry, Namestnikov, Samberg, Pionk · NYI Lee, Duclair, Pulock, Barzal, Schaefer

  28. P2 8:55Shot by Heineman, saved by Hellebuyck
  29. P2 8:58Schenn: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: WPG Schenn, Scheifele, Vilardi, Samberg, Perfetti · NYI Pulock, Heineman, Ritchie, Schaefer, Shabanov

  30. P2 8:58Goal by Heineman, unassistedother+13 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Schenn, Scheifele, Vilardi, Samberg, Perfetti · NYI Pulock, Heineman, Ritchie, Schaefer, Shabanov

  31. P2 10:21Goal by MacLean (Cizikas)+25 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, Lowry, Namestnikov, Stanley, Pionk · NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Boqvist, MacLean, Gatcomb

  32. P2 10:33Shot by Duclair, saved by Hellebuyck
  33. P2 11:04Shot by Schenn, saved by Sorokin
  34. P2 11:19Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Hellebuyck
  35. P2 12:23Goal by DeMelo (Scheifele, Namestnikov)+28 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, DeMelo, Scheifele, Namestnikov, Morrissey · NYI Drouin, Pulock, Heineman, Ritchie, Schaefer

  36. P2 12:23Gatcomb: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, DeMelo, Scheifele, Namestnikov, Morrissey · NYI Drouin, Pulock, Heineman, Ritchie, Schaefer

  37. P2 13:01Shot by Scheifele, saved by Sorokin5v4
  38. P2 14:44Shot by Lowry, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 16:20Shot by Stanley, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 17:00Shot by Toews, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 17:39Boqvist: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, Lowry, Namestnikov, Vilardi, Samberg, Pionk · NYI Pageau, Mayfield, Boqvist, Holmstrom, Shabanov

  42. P2 18:17Shot by Scheifele, saved by Sorokin5v4
  43. P2 19:40Goal by Lowry (Pionk, Samberg)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, Lowry, Namestnikov, Samberg, Pionk · NYI Pageau, Pelech, DeAngelo, Boqvist, Holmstrom

  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:05Shot by Connor, saved by Sorokin
  47. P3 0:47Shot by Pageau, saved by Hellebuyck
  48. P3 1:34Shot by Lee, saved by Hellebuyck
  49. P3 2:05Shot by Heineman, saved by Hellebuyck
  50. P3 5:49Shot by Heineman, saved by Hellebuyck
  51. P3 8:20Shot by Lee, saved by Hellebuyck
  52. P3 8:42Shot by Heineman, saved by Hellebuyck
  53. P3 11:20Shot by Vilardi, saved by Sorokin
  54. P3 11:49Shot by Lee, saved by Hellebuyck
  55. P3 17:20Shot by Heineman, saved by Hellebuyck5v6
  56. P3 17:21Shot by Ritchie, saved by Hellebuyck5v6
  57. P3 17:22Shot by Lee, saved by Hellebuyck5v6
  58. P3 17:23Shot by Lee, saved by Hellebuyck5v6
  59. P3 19:14Goal by Schaefer (Barzal, Heineman)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Niederreiter, Lowry, Vilardi, Samberg, Pionk · NYI Lee, Pageau, Barzal, Heineman, Ritchie, Schaefer

  60. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  61. P3 0:00Final5v6