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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 13, 2026·Delta Center, Salt Lake City

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Utah Mammoth 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 89% of the time.

UTA winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:17Shot by Marino, saved by Hildeby
  3. P1 0:53Shot by McBain, saved by Hildeby
  4. P1 3:08Shot by McBain, saved by Hildeby
  5. P1 3:22Goal by Carcone (Schmidt, Marino)+12 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Marino, Carcone, McBain, Guenther · TOR Nylander, Matthews, Stecher, Benoit, Maccelli

  6. P1 6:51Nylander: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Marino, Carcone, McBain, Guenther · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Nylander, Maccelli

  7. P1 7:37Peterka: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Peterka, Guenther · TOR Laughton, Carlo, Lorentz, Benoit

  8. P1 7:57Shot by Maccelli, saved by Vejmelka4v4
  9. P1 9:23Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  10. P1 9:29Shot by Nylander, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  11. P1 10:04Shot by Carcone, saved by Hildeby
  12. P1 10:05Shot by McBain, saved by Hildeby
  13. P1 10:10Shot by McBain, saved by Hildeby
  14. P1 11:21Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Vejmelka
  15. P1 12:32Shot by Durzi, saved by Hildeby
  16. P1 13:11Shot by DeSimone, saved by Hildeby
  17. P1 13:13Hayton: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Cole, DeSimone, Hayton, Peterka, But · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Laughton, McCabe, Roy, Knies

  18. P1 13:13Hayton: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Cole, DeSimone, Hayton, Peterka, But · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Laughton, McCabe, Roy, Knies

  19. P1 13:13Ekman-Larsson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Cole, DeSimone, Hayton, Peterka, But · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Laughton, McCabe, Roy, Knies

  20. P1 13:49Shot by Maccelli, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  21. P1 14:27Shot by Cowan, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  22. P1 15:30Benoit: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Cole, O'Brien, Sergachev, McBain, Guenther · TOR Laughton, Stecher, Benoit, Knies, Cowan

  23. P1 15:40Shot by Sergachev, saved by Hildeby5v4
  24. P1 16:14Shot by Guenther, saved by Hildeby5v4
  25. P1 19:54Shot by Guenther, saved by Hildeby
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:51Shot by Tavares, saved by Vejmelka
  29. P2 1:56Shot by Rielly, saved by Vejmelka
  30. P2 2:18Shot by Guenther, saved by Hildeby
  31. P2 2:24Shot by Guenther, saved by Hildeby
  32. P2 2:26Shot by McBain, saved by Hildeby
  33. P2 2:56Shot by Cowan, saved by Vejmelka
  34. P2 3:25Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Vejmelka
  35. P2 3:26Shot by Roy, saved by Vejmelka
  36. P2 5:08Shot by Cole, saved by Hildeby
  37. P2 5:26Goal by Guenther (McBain, Cole)+14 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Cole, Carcone, DeSimone, McBain, Guenther · TOR Jarnkrok, Laughton, Lorentz, Stecher, Benoit

  38. P2 6:44Goal by Guenther (McBain)+7 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Marino, Carcone, McBain, Guenther · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, Maccelli

  39. P2 8:22Shot by Knies, saved by Vejmelka
  40. P2 9:10Shot by Carcone, saved by Hildeby
  41. P2 9:11Shot by Carcone, saved by Hildeby
  42. P2 9:44McBain: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Marino, Carcone, McBain, Guenther · TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Domi, Matthews, McMann

  43. P2 10:31Shot by Matthews, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  44. P2 10:37Shot by Rielly, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  45. P2 13:04Shot by Tanev, saved by Hildeby
  46. P2 15:25Goal by Peterka (But, Cole)+3 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Cole, DeSimone, Hayton, Peterka, But · TOR Rielly, Roy, Stecher, McMann, Cowan

  47. P2 16:34Shot by Guenther, saved by Hildeby
  48. P2 16:54Shot by McCabe, saved by Vejmelka
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:17Shot by Domi, saved by Vejmelka
  52. P3 2:54Shot by Schmidt, saved by Hildeby
  53. P3 3:30Goal by Jarnkrok (Ekman-Larsson)+1 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Cole, O'Brien, Stenlund, Tanev, DeSimone · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Jarnkrok, Laughton, Lorentz, Benoit

  54. P3 5:13Shot by Rielly, saved by Vejmelka
  55. P3 5:25Shot by Peterka, saved by Hildeby
  56. P3 5:29Shot by Cole, saved by Hildeby
  57. P3 6:04Shot by Lorentz, saved by Vejmelka
  58. P3 9:21Shot by Rielly, saved by Vejmelka
  59. P3 10:28Shot by Carcone, saved by Hildeby
  60. P3 12:21Shot by But, saved by Hildeby
  61. P3 13:01Shot by Hayton, saved by Hildeby
  62. P3 13:29Goal by McBain (Guenther, Carcone)0 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Marino, Carcone, McBain, Guenther · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, Knies

  63. P3 13:37Shot by Durzi, saved by Hildeby
  64. P3 14:00Shot by Sergachev, saved by Hildeby
  65. P3 14:02Shot by O'Brien, saved by Hildeby
  66. P3 14:48Shot by Keller, saved by Hildeby
  67. P3 14:55Shot by Crouse, saved by Hildeby
  68. P3 15:43Shot by McBain, saved by Hildeby
  69. P3 16:09Shot by DeSimone, saved by Hildeby
  70. P3 16:46Shot by Hayton, saved by Hildeby
  71. P3 16:51Shot by Hayton, saved by Hildeby
  72. P3 16:54Goal by But (Hayton, Peterka)0 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Sergachev, Durzi, Hayton, Peterka, But · TOR Tavares, Rielly, McCabe, Nylander, Knies

  73. P3 19:20Shot by Guenther, saved by Hildeby
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final