Thu, Jan 15, 2026·TD Garden, Boston
Seattle Kraken 2, Boston Bruins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 111 | 17 | 010 | 228 |
| BOS | 26 | 17 | 111 | 424 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:54BOSMarat KhusnutdinovAssists: Charlie McAvoy · Backhand, 0.19 xG0–1
- P1 3:45BOSViktor ArvidssonAssists: Pavel Zacha, Casey Mittelstadt · Deflected, 0.04 xG0–2
- P1 7:29SEAChandler StephensonPPAssists: Jared McCann, Vince Dunn · Tip-in, 0.08 xG1–2
- P2 4:40BOSMark KastelicSHGWGUnassisted · Backhand, 0.09 xG1–3
- P2 12:27SEAEeli TolvanenPPAssists: Brandon Montour, Kaapo Kakko · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–3
- P3 19:45BOSDavid PastrnakENAssists: Morgan Geekie, Charlie McAvoy · Wrist, 0.67 xG2–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 7:23BOSJonathan Aspirot: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 3:44BOSTanner Jeannot: Slashing2 min
- P2 10:34BOSNikita Zadorov: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 1:50BOSAlex Steeves: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:03SEABrandon Montour: Roughing2 min
- P3 11:13SEARyan Winterton: Fighting5 min
- P3 11:13BOSAlex Steeves: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:56SEAMatty Beniers: Holding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stephenson won the faceoff against Zacha
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestGaudreau – Winterton – Meyers8:30
xG 0.25–0.17 (60%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- McCann – Wright – Catton7:25
xG 0.23–0.18 (55%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Schwartz – Stephenson – Tolvanen10:02
xG 0.34–0.44 (43%)attempts 13–10goals 0–1
- Eberle – Kakko – Beniers10:42
xG 0.18–0.31 (36%)attempts 7–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Montour14:57
xG 0.62–0.18 (77%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Larsson – Dunn16:23
xG 0.49–0.43 (53%)attempts 20–13goals 0–0
- Lindgren – Fleury8:44
xG 0.07–0.58 (10%)attempts 6–14goals 0–2
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestLindholm – Pastrnak – Khusnutdinov10:35
xG 0.37–0.19 (66%)attempts 7–10goals 1–0
- Lindholm – Pastrnak – Geekie2:19
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Arvidsson – Zacha – Mittelstadt9:51
xG 0.28–0.40 (41%)attempts 8–9goals 1–0
- Geekie – Steeves – Minten7:06
xG 0.05–0.20 (20%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcAvoy – Lohrei6:33
xG 0.55–0.17 (76%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- McAvoy – Aspirot9:39
xG 0.37–0.29 (56%)attempts 9–12goals 1–0
- Jokiharju – Aspirot3:20
xG 0.00–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).