Thu, Jan 15, 2026·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Vancouver Canucks 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 011 | 112 | 08 | 131 |
| CBJ | 115 | 213 | 18 | 436 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:25CBJCharlie CoylePPAssists: Kirill Marchenko, Adam Fantilli · Backhand, 0.11 xG0–1
- P2 5:49CBJKirill MarchenkoGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–2
- P2 10:14CBJZach WerenskiPPAssists: Kent Johnson · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–3
- P2 14:09VANBrock BoeserPPAssists: Elias Pettersson, Zeev Buium · Snap, 0.12 xG1–3
- P3 10:13CBJKent JohnsonAssists: Boone Jenner, Damon Severson · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–4
Penalties (4)
- P1 15:49VANMax Sasson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 8:42VANMarcus Pettersson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 12:51CBJKirill Marchenko: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 5:40CBJCharlie Coyle: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Monahan won the faceoff against Pettersson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestGarland – Kampf – O'Connor4:29
xG 0.24–0.01 (97%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Boeser – O'Connor – Sasson2:47
xG 0.28–0.31 (47%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Boeser – Pettersson – Ohgren6:09
xG 0.26–0.29 (47%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Boeser – Ohgren – Sasson3:00
xG 0.00–0.07 (1%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Hronek – Willander2:10
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Hronek – Buium3:40
xG 0.07–0.10 (40%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Mancini – Buium2:36
xG 0.04–0.09 (33%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – Olivier – Voronkov11:33
xG 1.80–0.53 (77%)attempts 25–12goals 0–0
- Jenner – Monahan – Johnson12:38
xG 0.45–0.27 (63%)attempts 14–11goals 1–0
- Gaunce – Heinen – Pyyhtia7:30
xG 0.17–0.08 (67%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Marchenko – Sillinger – Fantilli11:28
xG 0.72–0.71 (50%)attempts 16–16goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestWerenski – Fabbro12:41
xG 0.82–0.25 (77%)attempts 18–10goals 1–0
- Gudbranson – Christiansen7:33
xG 1.12–0.74 (60%)attempts 22–12goals 0–0
- Severson – Provorov17:51
xG 0.42–0.22 (66%)attempts 11–14goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).