Fri, Jan 16, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver
Nashville Predators 7, Colorado Avalanche 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 65% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:18Shot by Forsberg, saved by Blackwood
- P1 0:24Shot by Forsberg, saved by Blackwood
- P1 0:30Goal by O'Reilly (Forsberg)+15 pts WP
On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar, Malinski · NSH Josi, O'Reilly, Skjei, Forsberg, Evangelista
- P1 1:17Shot by Colton, saved by Saros
- P1 1:21Shot by Burns, saved by Saros
- P1 1:24Goal by Nelson (Burns, Nichushkin)+15 pts WP
On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin, Colton · NSH Stamkos, Haula, Bunting, Barron, Blankenburg
- P1 2:13Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Saros
- P1 2:43Shot by Wood, saved by Blackwood
- P1 4:16Shot by Manson, saved by Saros
- P1 5:36Shot by Malinski, saved by Saros
- P1 6:30Shot by Jost, saved by Blackwood
- P1 7:32Goal by O'Reilly (Evangelista, Forsberg)+15 pts WP
On ice: COL Nelson, Nichushkin, Girard, Colton, Makar · NSH O'Reilly, Forsberg, Hague, Perbix, Evangelista
- P1 7:54Shot by Schaefer, saved by Blackwood
- P1 9:30Shot by Jost, saved by Blackwood
- P1 11:05Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Saros
- P1 11:16Goal by Nelson (Manson, Malinski)+15 pts WP
On ice: COL Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin, Colton, Malinski · NSH Josi, Skjei, McCarron, Smith, Schaefer
- P1 12:33Shot by Manson, saved by Saros
- P1 12:37Shot by Burns, saved by Saros
- P1 12:42Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros
- P1 14:51Shot by Blankenburg, saved by Blackwood
- P1 15:27Shot by Manson, saved by Saros
- P1 15:46Shot by Wood, saved by Blackwood
- P1 16:58Shot by Makar, saved by Saros
- P1 17:56Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Saros
- P1 18:13Shot by Josi, saved by Blackwood
- P1 19:02Shot by Burns, saved by Saros
- P1 19:42Shot by Colton, saved by Saros
- P1 19:52Shot by Nelson, saved by Saros
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:14Shot by Malinski, saved by Saros
- P2 3:13Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Saros
- P2 3:29Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros
- P2 4:23Shot by Josi, saved by Blackwood
- P2 5:46Shot by Drury, saved by Saros
- P2 6:32Shot by Malinski, saved by Saros
- P2 7:11Shot by Skjei, saved by Blackwood
- P2 7:26Shot by Nelson, saved by Saros
- P2 7:39Shot by Jost, saved by Blackwood
- P2 7:49Shot by Colton, saved by Saros
- P2 8:33Shot by Ivan, saved by Saros
- P2 9:37Shot by Olofsson, saved by Saros
- P2 9:45Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Blackwood
- P2 10:47Shot by Burns, saved by Saros
- P2 11:44Shot by Drury, saved by Saros
- P2 11:56Shot by Jost, saved by Blackwood
- P2 12:41Shot by Skjei, saved by Blackwood
- P2 13:01Goal by O'Reilly (Evangelista, Josi)+19 pts WP
On ice: COL Nelson, Nichushkin, Girard, Kelly, Solovyov · NSH Josi, O'Reilly, Skjei, Forsberg, Evangelista
- P2 13:22Haula: Interference (2 min)
On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin, Colton · NSH Stamkos, Josi, Haula, Skjei, Bunting
- P2 13:27Shot by Necas, saved by Saros5v4
- P2 13:28Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Saros5v4
- P2 13:47Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Saros5v4
- P2 15:33Shot by Haula, saved by Blackwood
- P2 15:48Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Saros
- P2 17:19Shot by Forsberg, saved by Blackwood
- P2 17:26Shot by Skjei, saved by Blackwood
- P2 18:04Goal by Bunting (Stamkos)+17 pts WP
On ice: COL Nelson, Manson, Lehkonen, Nichushkin, Girard · NSH Stamkos, Josi, Haula, Skjei, Bunting
- P2 18:17Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 1:09Goal by Necas (MacKinnon, Lehkonen)+16 pts WP
On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar, Malinski · NSH McCarron, Hague, Perbix, Smith, Schaefer
- P3 2:21Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Blackwood
- P3 2:23Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Blackwood
- P3 2:45Shot by Brindley, saved by Saros
- P3 2:50Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros
- P3 4:29Shot by Colton, saved by Saros
- P3 6:34Shot by Manson, saved by Saros
- P3 7:07Shot by Colton, saved by Saros
- P3 7:56Shot by Malinski, saved by Saros
- P3 10:28Shot by Bunting, saved by Blackwood
- P3 11:31Shot by Malinski, saved by Saros
- P3 12:01Shot by Malinski, saved by Saros
- P3 13:55Bardakov: Interference (2 min)
On ice: COL Nelson, Nichushkin, Girard, Bardakov, Malinski · NSH Stamkos, Josi, Haula, Skjei, Bunting
- P3 14:04Shot by Stamkos, saved by Blackwood4v5
- P3 14:05Shot by Forsberg, saved by Blackwood4v5
- P3 15:13Goal by Forsberg (O'Reilly, Josi)4v5+12 pts WP
On ice: COL Makar, Kelly, Drury, Malinski · NSH Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Evangelista
- P3 17:04Goal by Stamkos (Bunting, Josi)6v5+1 pts WP
On ice: COL Nelson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Necas, Makar · NSH Stamkos, Josi, Skjei, McCarron, Bunting
- P3 17:20Shot by Solovyov, saved by Saros
- P3 17:31Smith: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: COL Girard, Solovyov, Bardakov, Ivan, Brindley · NSH Jost, Hague, Perbix, Smith, Svechkov
- P3 17:41Goal by McCarron, unassisted6v40 pts WP
On ice: COL Nelson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Necas, Makar · NSH O'Reilly, Skjei, McCarron, Perbix
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final