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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 16, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver

Nashville Predators 7, Colorado Avalanche 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 65% of the time.

COL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Shot by Forsberg, saved by Blackwood
  3. P1 0:24Shot by Forsberg, saved by Blackwood
  4. P1 0:30Goal by O'Reilly (Forsberg)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar, Malinski · NSH Josi, O'Reilly, Skjei, Forsberg, Evangelista

  5. P1 1:17Shot by Colton, saved by Saros
  6. P1 1:21Shot by Burns, saved by Saros
  7. P1 1:24Goal by Nelson (Burns, Nichushkin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin, Colton · NSH Stamkos, Haula, Bunting, Barron, Blankenburg

  8. P1 2:13Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Saros
  9. P1 2:43Shot by Wood, saved by Blackwood
  10. P1 4:16Shot by Manson, saved by Saros
  11. P1 5:36Shot by Malinski, saved by Saros
  12. P1 6:30Shot by Jost, saved by Blackwood
  13. P1 7:32Goal by O'Reilly (Evangelista, Forsberg)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Nichushkin, Girard, Colton, Makar · NSH O'Reilly, Forsberg, Hague, Perbix, Evangelista

  14. P1 7:54Shot by Schaefer, saved by Blackwood
  15. P1 9:30Shot by Jost, saved by Blackwood
  16. P1 11:05Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Saros
  17. P1 11:16Goal by Nelson (Manson, Malinski)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin, Colton, Malinski · NSH Josi, Skjei, McCarron, Smith, Schaefer

  18. P1 12:33Shot by Manson, saved by Saros
  19. P1 12:37Shot by Burns, saved by Saros
  20. P1 12:42Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros
  21. P1 14:51Shot by Blankenburg, saved by Blackwood
  22. P1 15:27Shot by Manson, saved by Saros
  23. P1 15:46Shot by Wood, saved by Blackwood
  24. P1 16:58Shot by Makar, saved by Saros
  25. P1 17:56Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Saros
  26. P1 18:13Shot by Josi, saved by Blackwood
  27. P1 19:02Shot by Burns, saved by Saros
  28. P1 19:42Shot by Colton, saved by Saros
  29. P1 19:52Shot by Nelson, saved by Saros
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:14Shot by Malinski, saved by Saros
  33. P2 3:13Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Saros
  34. P2 3:29Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros
  35. P2 4:23Shot by Josi, saved by Blackwood
  36. P2 5:46Shot by Drury, saved by Saros
  37. P2 6:32Shot by Malinski, saved by Saros
  38. P2 7:11Shot by Skjei, saved by Blackwood
  39. P2 7:26Shot by Nelson, saved by Saros
  40. P2 7:39Shot by Jost, saved by Blackwood
  41. P2 7:49Shot by Colton, saved by Saros
  42. P2 8:33Shot by Ivan, saved by Saros
  43. P2 9:37Shot by Olofsson, saved by Saros
  44. P2 9:45Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Blackwood
  45. P2 10:47Shot by Burns, saved by Saros
  46. P2 11:44Shot by Drury, saved by Saros
  47. P2 11:56Shot by Jost, saved by Blackwood
  48. P2 12:41Shot by Skjei, saved by Blackwood
  49. P2 13:01Goal by O'Reilly (Evangelista, Josi)+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Nichushkin, Girard, Kelly, Solovyov · NSH Josi, O'Reilly, Skjei, Forsberg, Evangelista

  50. P2 13:22Haula: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin, Colton · NSH Stamkos, Josi, Haula, Skjei, Bunting

  51. P2 13:27Shot by Necas, saved by Saros5v4
  52. P2 13:28Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Saros5v4
  53. P2 13:47Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Saros5v4
  54. P2 15:33Shot by Haula, saved by Blackwood
  55. P2 15:48Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Saros
  56. P2 17:19Shot by Forsberg, saved by Blackwood
  57. P2 17:26Shot by Skjei, saved by Blackwood
  58. P2 18:04Goal by Bunting (Stamkos)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Manson, Lehkonen, Nichushkin, Girard · NSH Stamkos, Josi, Haula, Skjei, Bunting

  59. P2 18:17Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 1:09Goal by Necas (MacKinnon, Lehkonen)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar, Malinski · NSH McCarron, Hague, Perbix, Smith, Schaefer

  63. P3 2:21Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Blackwood
  64. P3 2:23Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Blackwood
  65. P3 2:45Shot by Brindley, saved by Saros
  66. P3 2:50Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros
  67. P3 4:29Shot by Colton, saved by Saros
  68. P3 6:34Shot by Manson, saved by Saros
  69. P3 7:07Shot by Colton, saved by Saros
  70. P3 7:56Shot by Malinski, saved by Saros
  71. P3 10:28Shot by Bunting, saved by Blackwood
  72. P3 11:31Shot by Malinski, saved by Saros
  73. P3 12:01Shot by Malinski, saved by Saros
  74. P3 13:55Bardakov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, Nichushkin, Girard, Bardakov, Malinski · NSH Stamkos, Josi, Haula, Skjei, Bunting

  75. P3 14:04Shot by Stamkos, saved by Blackwood4v5
  76. P3 14:05Shot by Forsberg, saved by Blackwood4v5
  77. P3 15:13Goal by Forsberg (O'Reilly, Josi)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Makar, Kelly, Drury, Malinski · NSH Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Evangelista

  78. P3 17:04Goal by Stamkos (Bunting, Josi)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Necas, Makar · NSH Stamkos, Josi, Skjei, McCarron, Bunting

  79. P3 17:20Shot by Solovyov, saved by Saros
  80. P3 17:31Smith: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Girard, Solovyov, Bardakov, Ivan, Brindley · NSH Jost, Hague, Perbix, Smith, Svechkov

  81. P3 17:41Goal by McCarron, unassisted6v40 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Necas, Makar · NSH O'Reilly, Skjei, McCarron, Perbix

  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. P3 0:00Final