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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 17, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia

New York Rangers 6, Philadelphia Flyers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 64% of the time.

PHI winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:18Shot by York, saved by Martin
  3. P1 5:33Shot by Drysdale, saved by Martin
  4. P1 6:22Goal by Konecny (Zegras, Sanheim)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Dvorak, Konecny, Zegras, York · NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Gavrikov, Schneider, Perreault

  5. P1 7:05Goal by Panarin (Trocheck, Lafrenière)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Sanheim, Tippett, York, Grebenkin · NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Gavrikov, Schneider, Lafrenière

  6. P1 7:26Goal by Zibanejad (Miller, Schneider)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Cates, Drysdale, Barkey, Michkov · NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Gavrikov, Schneider, Perreault

  7. P1 8:25Goal by Othmann (Cuylle)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Hathaway, Sanheim, Dvorak, Grundstrom, York · NYR Borgen, Robertson, Cuylle, Othmann, Laba

  8. P1 9:11Shot by Tippett, saved by Martin
  9. P1 10:02Cuylle: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Hathaway, Dvorak, Grundstrom, Drysdale · NYR Vaakanainen, Cuylle, Morrow, Othmann, Laba

  10. P1 11:39Shot by Laba, saved by Ersson5v4
  11. P1 14:59Shot by Schneider, saved by Ersson
  12. P1 15:09Shot by Dvorak, saved by Martin
  13. P1 15:28Shot by Carrick, saved by Ersson
  14. P1 16:21Shot by Sanheim, saved by Martin
  15. P1 16:41Shot by Tippett, saved by Martin
  16. P1 17:48Shot by Drysdale, saved by Martin
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:17Shot by Seeler, saved by Martin
  20. P2 0:30Shot by Seeler, saved by Martin
  21. P2 0:44Michkov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Cates, York, Drysdale, Barkey, Michkov · NYR Borgen, Robertson, Cuylle, Othmann, Laba

  22. P2 2:29Shot by Panarin, saved by Ersson4v5
  23. P2 3:44Ersson: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Grundstrom, Zegras, Andrae, Drysdale, Grebenkin · NYR Carrick, Brodzinski, Borgen, Raddysh, Vaakanainen

  24. P2 5:05Shot by Panarin, saved by Ersson4v5
  25. P2 5:06Shot by Trocheck, saved by Ersson4v5
  26. P2 5:26Shot by Morrow, saved by Ersson4v5
  27. P2 5:38Goal by Zibanejad (Panarin, Trocheck)4v5+9 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Konecny, Juulsen, Tippett · NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Morrow, Perreault

  28. P2 5:54Shot by Cuylle, saved by Ersson
  29. P2 7:45Shot by Panarin, saved by Ersson
  30. P2 8:25Goal by Zibanejad (Miller, Morrow)+4 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Dvorak, Konecny, Zegras, York, Drysdale · NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Vaakanainen, Morrow, Perreault

  31. P2 9:12Andrae: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Juulsen, Tippett, Cates, Andrae, Michkov · NYR Gavrikov, Robertson, Cuylle, Othmann, Laba

  32. P2 9:12Othmann: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Juulsen, Tippett, Cates, Andrae, Michkov · NYR Gavrikov, Robertson, Cuylle, Othmann, Laba

  33. P2 9:31Shot by Konecny, saved by Martin4v4
  34. P2 10:19Shot by Michkov, saved by Martin4v4
  35. P2 11:39Shot by Laba, saved by Ersson
  36. P2 14:31Goal by Panarin (Lafrenière)+1 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Hathaway, Dvorak, Grundstrom, York, Drysdale · NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Gavrikov, Schneider, Lafrenière

  37. P2 15:22Grebenkin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Juulsen, Tippett, Andrae, Grebenkin · NYR Brodzinski, Raddysh, Vaakanainen, Robertson, Laba

  38. P2 15:26Shot by York, saved by Martin4v5
  39. P2 16:17Shot by Trocheck, saved by Ersson4v5
  40. P2 16:48Goal by Sanheim (Konecny)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Sanheim, Konecny, Cates · NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Panarin, Gavrikov, Perreault

  41. P2 17:38Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Ersson
  42. P2 18:07Shot by York, saved by Martin
  43. P2 19:52Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Ersson
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 1:54Shot by Zegras, saved by Martin
  47. P3 3:43Shot by Dvorak, saved by Martin
  48. P3 4:34Shot by Tippett, saved by Martin
  49. P3 5:11Shot by Miller, saved by Ersson
  50. P3 5:36Shot by Perreault, saved by Ersson
  51. P3 5:37Shot by Perreault, saved by Ersson
  52. P3 6:36Shot by Schneider, saved by Ersson
  53. P3 7:56Shot by Zegras, saved by Martin
  54. P3 7:57Shot by Barkey, saved by Martin
  55. P3 8:01Goal by Zegras (Barkey, Tippett)+1 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Juulsen, Tippett, Zegras, Andrae, Barkey · NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Vaakanainen, Lafrenière, Morrow

  56. P3 9:15Shot by Drysdale, saved by Martin
  57. P3 9:52Shot by Perreault, saved by Ersson
  58. P3 10:10Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Ersson
  59. P3 10:32Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Martin
  60. P3 10:47Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Martin
  61. P3 10:51Shot by Konecny, saved by Martin
  62. P3 11:12Shot by Konecny, saved by Martin
  63. P3 12:29Shot by York, saved by Martin
  64. P3 15:23Shot by Robertson, saved by Ersson
  65. P3 15:58Shot by Couturier, saved by Martin
  66. P3 16:08Shot by Miller, saved by Ersson
  67. P3 17:21Shot by Trocheck, saved by Ersson
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final