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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 19, 2026·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Pittsburgh Penguins 6, Seattle Kraken 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 63% of the time.

SEA winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:04Shot by Letang, saved by Daccord
  3. P1 2:14Shot by Schwartz, saved by Skinner
  4. P1 2:51Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Skinner
  5. P1 3:29Lindgren: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Stephenson, Gaudreau, Montour, Lindgren, Tolvanen · PIT Crosby, Rust, Rakell, Wotherspoon, Shea

  6. P1 4:50Shot by Brazeau, saved by Daccord4v5
  7. P1 5:09Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Daccord4v5
  8. P1 5:44Goal by Wotherspoon (Lizotte, Mantha)+16 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Montour, Kakko, Beniers, Evans · PIT Mantha, Wotherspoon, Shea, Lizotte, Kindel

  9. P1 7:20Kulak: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Oleksiak, Montour, Kakko, Beniers · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Kulak

  10. P1 7:50Goal by Dewar, unassisted5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Stephenson, McCann, Dunn, Beniers · PIT Clifton, Graves, Acciari, Dewar

  11. P1 8:17Shot by Rust, saved by Daccord5v4
  12. P1 8:37Shot by Montour, saved by Skinner5v4
  13. P1 13:27Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Skinner
  14. P1 16:12Goal by Meyers (Schwartz, Winterton)+14 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Schwartz, Montour, Lindgren, Winterton, Meyers · PIT Letang, Kulak, Mantha, Brazeau, Kindel

  15. P1 16:53Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Skinner
  16. P1 18:54Shot by Malkin, saved by Daccord
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:09Shot by Eberle, saved by Skinner
  20. P2 2:09Shot by Brazeau, saved by Daccord
  21. P2 2:10Shot by Mantha, saved by Daccord
  22. P2 2:11Shot by Mantha, saved by Daccord
  23. P2 2:38Shot by Winterton, saved by Skinner
  24. P2 4:47Shot by Schwartz, saved by Skinner
  25. P2 6:25Shot by Shea, saved by Daccord
  26. P2 7:57Lizotte: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Larsson, Stephenson, Gaudreau, Dunn, Catton · PIT Rust, Clifton, Graves, Dewar, Lizotte

  27. P2 9:47Shot by Dunn, saved by Skinner5v4
  28. P2 10:54Shot by Montour, saved by Skinner
  29. P2 11:22Shot by Montour, saved by Skinner
  30. P2 11:49Shot by Novak, saved by Daccord
  31. P2 11:50Shot by Novak, saved by Daccord
  32. P2 11:51Shot by Malkin, saved by Daccord
  33. P2 13:28Shot by Shea, saved by Daccord
  34. P2 13:53Shot by Meyers, saved by Skinner
  35. P2 13:55Goal by Lindgren (Winterton, Meyers)+19 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Schwartz, Lindgren, Winterton, Evans, Meyers · PIT Mantha, Wotherspoon, Shea, Brazeau, Kindel

  36. P2 14:45Goal by Kulak (Crosby)+19 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Larsson, Stephenson, Gaudreau, Dunn, Tolvanen · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Kulak

  37. P2 17:00Shot by Crosby, saved by Daccord5v6
  38. P2 17:02Lindgren: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Montour, Lindgren, Beniers, Catton · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Clifton, Graves, Mantha, Kindel

  39. P2 18:00Shot by Rust, saved by Daccord4v5
  40. P2 18:47Shot by Mantha, saved by Daccord4v5
  41. P2 19:02Shot by Kindel, saved by Daccord
  42. P2 19:35Shot by Dewar, saved by Daccord
  43. P2 19:56Shot by Lizotte, saved by Daccord
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 1:23Shot by Malkin, saved by Daccord
  47. P3 1:58Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Skinner
  48. P3 2:21Goal by Brazeau (Mantha, Clifton)+17 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Oleksiak, Tolvanen, Kakko, Evans, Wright · PIT Letang, Kulak, Mantha, Brazeau, Kindel

  49. P3 3:10Shot by Kulak, saved by Daccord
  50. P3 3:41Shot by Schwartz, saved by Skinner
  51. P3 4:11Shot by Montour, saved by Skinner
  52. P3 5:24Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Daccord
  53. P3 5:38Shot by Wright, saved by Skinner
  54. P3 5:51Shot by Lizotte, saved by Daccord
  55. P3 6:24Kulak: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: SEA Oleksiak, Stephenson, Tolvanen, Winterton, Evans, Meyers · PIT Letang, Kulak, Mantha, Brazeau, Kindel

  56. P3 6:38Shot by Dunn, saved by Skinner5v4
  57. P3 7:32Shot by McCann, saved by Skinner5v4
  58. P3 7:47Goal by Tolvanen (Montour, Wright)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Schwartz, Montour, Tolvanen, Kakko, Wright · PIT Rust, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Shea

  59. P3 9:10Shot by Malkin, saved by Daccord
  60. P3 10:21Montour: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Oleksiak, Montour, Kakko, Wright, Catton · PIT Mantha, Wotherspoon, Shea, Brazeau, Kindel

  61. P3 14:09Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Daccord
  62. P3 16:48Goal by Rakell (Crosby)+11 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Schwartz, Stephenson, Montour, Dunn, Tolvanen · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Kulak, Acciari

  63. P3 17:46Shot by Crosby, saved by Daccord
  64. P3 18:32Shot by Stephenson, saved by Skinner6v5
  65. P3 19:07Shot by McCann, saved by Skinner6v5
  66. P3 19:30Goal by Dewar (Lizotte)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Stephenson, McCann, Montour, Dunn, Beniers · PIT Letang, Kulak, Acciari, Dewar, Lizotte

  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final