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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 21, 2026·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

New York Islanders 1, Seattle Kraken 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 69% of the time.

SEA winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:09Shot by McCann, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 1:26Shot by Montour, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 2:19Gaudreau: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Gaudreau, Lindgren, Winterton, Evans, Meyers · NYI Pelech, DeAngelo, MacLean, Heineman, Ritchie

  5. P1 2:38Goal by Duclair (Ritchie, Barzal)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Larsson, Stephenson, Lindgren, Tolvanen · NYI Duclair, Barzal, Heineman, Ritchie, Schaefer

  6. P1 4:12Lindgren: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Stephenson, Lindgren, Tolvanen, Evans, Catton · NYI Pageau, Mayfield, Drouin, Boqvist, Holmstrom

  7. P1 6:05Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Grubauer4v6
  8. P1 6:07Montour: High sticking (2 min)4v6

    On ice: SEA Schwartz, Gaudreau, Montour, Evans · NYI Lee, Drouin, DeAngelo, Barzal, Holmstrom, Shabanov

  9. P1 7:04Shot by Ritchie, saved by Grubauer4v5
  10. P1 8:10Shot by Pelech, saved by Grubauer
  11. P1 8:48Tsyplakov: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Larsson, McCann, Dunn, Beniers · NYI Cizikas, Pulock, MacLean, Holmstrom, Tsyplakov

  12. P1 8:54Shot by Beniers, saved by Sorokin5v4
  13. P1 9:02Shot by McCann, saved by Sorokin5v4
  14. P1 9:36Holmstrom: Tripping (2 min)6v4

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Stephenson, McCann, Dunn, Tolvanen, Beniers · NYI Pageau, Pelech, Pulock, Holmstrom

  15. P1 10:40Goal by Beniers (Dunn, McCann)5v3+15 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Stephenson, McCann, Dunn, Beniers · NYI Pageau, Pelech, Pulock

  16. P1 11:11Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Sorokin5v4
  17. P1 12:21Shot by Pulock, saved by Grubauer
  18. P1 15:47Shot by Larsson, saved by Sorokin
  19. P1 15:49Shot by Beniers, saved by Sorokin
  20. P1 16:13Shot by Dunn, saved by Sorokin
  21. P1 16:31Catton: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Larsson, Dunn, Kakko, Wright, Catton · NYI Pageau, Mayfield, Drouin, Boqvist, Holmstrom

  22. P1 16:57Shot by Barzal, saved by Grubauer4v5
  23. P1 17:54Shot by Shabanov, saved by Grubauer4v5
  24. P1 18:24Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Grubauer4v5
  25. P1 18:46Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Grubauer
  26. P1 19:15Shot by Dunn, saved by Sorokin
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:02Shot by Barzal, saved by Grubauer
  30. P2 1:46Shot by Montour, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 3:04Shot by Larsson, saved by Sorokin
  32. P2 3:07Shot by Beniers, saved by Sorokin
  33. P2 3:42Shot by Larsson, saved by Sorokin
  34. P2 4:27Shot by Meyers, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 5:01Shot by Tsyplakov, saved by Grubauer
  36. P2 8:26Shot by Eberle, saved by Sorokin
  37. P2 8:55Shot by Eberle, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 10:01Shot by Dunn, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 10:27Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Grubauer
  40. P2 10:28Shot by Heineman, saved by Grubauer
  41. P2 11:38Shot by Catton, saved by Sorokin
  42. P2 12:13Shot by Pageau, saved by Grubauer
  43. P2 13:37Goal by Dunn (Winterton, Meyers)+27 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Oleksiak, Dunn, Kakko, Winterton, Meyers · NYI Lee, Mayfield, Duclair, Barzal, Boqvist

  44. P2 14:06Shot by Ritchie, saved by Grubauer
  45. P2 14:18Oleksiak: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Schwartz, Oleksiak, Montour, Kakko, Wright · NYI Pulock, Barzal, MacLean, Ritchie, Schaefer

  46. P2 14:26Duclair: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: SEA Larsson, Gaudreau, Lindgren, Meyers · NYI Duclair, Barzal, Heineman, Ritchie, Schaefer

  47. P2 14:31Shot by Beniers, saved by Sorokin4v4
  48. P2 15:03Shot by Shabanov, saved by Grubauer4v4
  49. P2 15:54Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Grubauer4v4
  50. P2 16:28Goal by Kakko (Schwartz)+14 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Schwartz, Montour, Kakko, Evans, Wright · NYI Mayfield, Pelech, Duclair, Barzal, Heineman

  51. P2 16:49Shot by Ritchie, saved by Grubauer
  52. P2 17:09Winterton: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Gaudreau, Lindgren, Winterton, Evans, Meyers · NYI Pelech, Boqvist, MacLean, Heineman, Ritchie

  53. P2 18:41Shot by Ritchie, saved by Grubauer4v5
  54. P2 19:51Shot by Drouin, saved by Grubauer
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:35Lee: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Larsson, McCann, Dunn, Beniers · NYI Lee, Duclair, Pulock, Barzal, Schaefer

  58. P3 2:28Shot by Cizikas, saved by Grubauer5v4
  59. P3 3:02Stephenson: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: SEA Larsson, Stephenson, Gaudreau, Lindgren, Meyers · NYI Lee, Duclair, DeAngelo, Barzal, Heineman, Schaefer

  60. P3 6:43Shot by Schwartz, saved by Sorokin
  61. P3 8:51Shot by Drouin, saved by Grubauer
  62. P3 12:09Shot by Wright, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 12:55Shot by Pelech, saved by Grubauer
  64. P3 15:19Shot by Pelech, saved by Grubauer
  65. P3 16:32Goal by McCann (Montour, Grubauer)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Larsson, McCann, Montour, Beniers · NYI Lee, Pageau, Duclair, Barzal, Heineman, Schaefer

  66. P3 19:56Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Grubauer
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final