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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 23, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver

Philadelphia Flyers 7, Colorado Avalanche 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 68% of the time.

COL winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:45Konecny: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Nelson, MacKinnon, Olofsson, Necas, Makar, Malinski · PHI Sanheim, Dvorak, Konecny, Zegras, York

  3. P1 1:11Shot by Necas, saved by Ersson5v4
  4. P1 2:02Shot by Olofsson, saved by Ersson5v4
  5. P1 2:04Shot by Necas, saved by Ersson5v4
  6. P1 4:02Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Ersson
  7. P1 4:13Shot by Barkey, saved by Blackwood
  8. P1 4:59Cates: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, MacKinnon, Olofsson, Necas, Malinski · PHI Juulsen, Cates, Brink, Andrae, Michkov

  9. P1 6:38Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Ersson5v4
  10. P1 6:58Shot by Burns, saved by Ersson5v4
  11. P1 7:21Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Ersson
  12. P1 7:39Shot by Manson, saved by Ersson
  13. P1 7:43Shot by Brindley, saved by Ersson
  14. P1 7:44Shot by Brindley, saved by Ersson
  15. P1 8:19Shot by Bardakov, saved by Ersson
  16. P1 12:49Shot by Manson, saved by Ersson
  17. P1 14:31Shot by Girard, saved by Ersson
  18. P1 14:48Shot by Necas, saved by Ersson
  19. P1 15:02Goal by Tippett (Barkey, York)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar, Malinski · PHI Couturier, Sanheim, Tippett, York, Barkey

  20. P1 15:29Shot by Brink, saved by Blackwood
  21. P1 16:25Shot by Nelson, saved by Ersson
  22. P1 16:49Shot by Necas, saved by Ersson
  23. P1 17:09Shot by Dvorak, saved by Blackwood
  24. P1 17:31Shot by Necas, saved by Ersson
  25. P1 17:41MacKinnon: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, MacKinnon, Olofsson, Necas, Ahcan · PHI Seeler, Dvorak, Konecny, Zegras, Drysdale

  26. P1 18:57Goal by Barkey (Michkov, Tippett)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Girard, Makar, Kelly, Drury · PHI Couturier, Tippett, York, Barkey, Michkov

  27. P1 19:49Shot by Konecny, saved by Blackwood
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:16Shot by Malinski, saved by Ersson
  31. P2 0:37Shot by Zegras, saved by Blackwood
  32. P2 2:02Lehkonen: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Girard, Drury, Ahcan, Brindley · PHI Juulsen, Cates, Zegras, Brink, Andrae, Michkov

  33. P2 3:09Shot by York, saved by Blackwood4v5
  34. P2 3:33Shot by Michkov, saved by Blackwood4v5
  35. P2 3:34Shot by Michkov, saved by Blackwood4v5
  36. P2 7:17Goal by Kelly (Bardakov, Ahcan)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Girard, Kelly, Kiviranta, Ahcan, Bardakov · PHI Seeler, Dvorak, Konecny, Juulsen, Zegras

  37. P2 8:41Shot by Ahcan, saved by Ersson
  38. P2 9:58Shot by Brindley, saved by Ersson
  39. P2 10:29Goal by Olofsson (MacKinnon, Necas)+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Olofsson, Necas, Makar, Malinski · PHI Couturier, Juulsen, Tippett, Andrae, Barkey

  40. P2 11:01Goal by Brink (Cates)+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL Girard, Kelly, Kiviranta, Ahcan, Bardakov · PHI Seeler, Cates, Brink, Drysdale, Michkov

  41. P2 12:12Goal by Makar (MacKinnon, Necas)+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar, Malinski · PHI Couturier, Sanheim, Tippett, York, Barkey

  42. P2 13:36Shot by Dvorak, saved by Blackwood
  43. P2 17:16Shot by Necas, saved by Ersson
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:45Shot by Tippett, saved by Blackwood
  47. P3 0:56Goal by Tippett (Couturier)+21 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Lehkonen, Nichushkin · PHI Couturier, Juulsen, Tippett, Drysdale, Barkey

  48. P3 2:00Goal by Michkov (Andrae, Hathaway)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Girard, Drury, Ahcan, Makar, Brindley · PHI Hathaway, Juulsen, Pederson, Andrae, Michkov

  49. P3 2:42Shot by Dvorak, saved by Blackwood
  50. P3 4:17Andrae: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Girard, Kelly, Kiviranta, Ahcan, Bardakov · PHI Juulsen, Cates, Brink, Andrae, Michkov

  51. P3 5:06Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Ersson5v4
  52. P3 5:45Shot by Couturier, saved by Blackwood5v4
  53. P3 6:50Shot by Michkov, saved by Blackwood
  54. P3 8:37Barkey: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, Manson, Olofsson, Necas, Malinski · PHI Sanheim, Cates, York, Brink, Barkey

  55. P3 9:17Shot by Olofsson, saved by Ersson5v4
  56. P3 10:24Goal by Tippett, unassisted5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, MacKinnon, Olofsson, Necas, Makar · PHI Seeler, Tippett, Cates, York

  57. P3 12:09Shot by Girard, saved by Ersson
  58. P3 12:37Shot by Necas, saved by Ersson
  59. P3 12:47Shot by Necas, saved by Ersson
  60. P3 13:06Shot by Malinski, saved by Ersson
  61. P3 13:30Shot by Makar, saved by Ersson
  62. P3 14:40Shot by Kelly, saved by Ersson
  63. P3 15:50Shot by Necas, saved by Ersson6v5
  64. P3 16:53Goal by Michkov (Konecny)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Kelly, Drury, Brindley · PHI Sanheim, Konecny, Cates, Drysdale, Michkov

  65. P3 17:27Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Ersson
  66. P3 19:17Shot by Makar, saved by Ersson
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final