Sat, Jan 24, 2026·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Los Angeles Kings 5, St. Louis Blues 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 15 | 27 | 113 | 03 | 2 | 528 |
| STL | 07 | 38 | 111 | 03 | 1 | 429 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:31LAKTaylor WardAssists: Jeff Malott, Samuel Helenius · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–0
- P2 1:11LAKBrian DumoulinAssists: Alex Laferriere, Adrian Kempe · Slap, 0.02 xG2–0
- P2 2:14STLDalibor DvorskyAssists: Otto Stenberg, Mathieu Joseph · Snap, 0.14 xG2–1
- P2 6:30STLBrayden SchennPPAssists: Pavel Buchnevich, Jimmy Snuggerud · Snap, 0.25 xG2–2
- P2 8:10STLJordan KyrouAssists: Logan Mailloux, Cam Fowler · Wrap-around, 0.05 xG2–3
- P2 10:18LAKAlex LaferriereAssists: Corey Perry, Mikey Anderson · Wrist, 0.15 xG3–3
- P3 11:34LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Brandt Clarke, Joel Armia · Wrist, 0.23 xG4–3
- P3 17:50STLJordan KyrouAssists: Justin Faulk · Snap, 0.06 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. LAK Adrian Kempe scored
- 2. STL Jake Neighbours stopped
- 3. LAK Brandt Clarke stopped
- 4. STL Jordan Kyrou stopped
- 5. LAK Kevin Fiala stopped
- 6. STL Dalibor Dvorsky scored
- 7. LAK Trevor Moore scored
- 8. STL Jimmy Snuggerud stopped
Penalties (10)
- P1 6:41LAKAdrian Kempe: Interference2 min
- P1 7:15STLJake Neighbours: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:30LAKBrandt Clarke: Roughing2 min
- P1 17:30STLJake Neighbours: Roughing2 min
- P1 17:30LAKBrandt Clarke: Roughing2 min
- P2 2:48STLNick Bjugstad: Fighting5 min
- P2 2:48LAKSamuel Helenius: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P2 5:13LAKKevin Fiala: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:16STLDalibor Dvorsky: Holding2 min
- P3 11:34STLJonatan Berggren: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Laferriere won the faceoff against Buchnevich
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestFiala – Turcotte – Kuzmenko9:49
xG 0.48–0.30 (61%)attempts 9–12goals 0–1
- Armia – Moore – Byfield12:46
xG 0.54–0.40 (58%)attempts 12–11goals 1–1
- Perry – Kempe – Laferriere12:12
xG 0.37–0.32 (54%)attempts 12–9goals 2–0
- Malott – Helenius – Ward5:07
xG 0.12–0.21 (35%)attempts 5–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdmundson – Clarke10:41
xG 0.72–0.39 (65%)attempts 15–16goals 2–0
- Doughty – Dumoulin2:54
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Ceci – Anderson3:22
xG 0.17–0.12 (59%)attempts 3–3goals 1–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestBuchnevich – Kyrou – Neighbours9:57
xG 0.57–0.10 (85%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Schenn – Berggren – Snuggerud11:40
xG 0.41–0.46 (48%)attempts 11–10goals 0–1
- Joseph – Dvorsky – Stenberg8:37
xG 0.19–0.31 (38%)attempts 12–11goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Walker – Toropchenko4:58
xG 0.03–0.32 (9%)attempts 2–7goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestFaulk – Tucker12:38
xG 0.44–0.27 (62%)attempts 14–11goals 0–1
- Parayko – Broberg17:26
xG 0.72–0.92 (44%)attempts 15–21goals 0–1
- Fowler – Mailloux13:04
xG 0.13–0.47 (22%)attempts 11–9goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).