Mon, Mar 9, 2026·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Los Angeles Kings 5, Columbus Blue Jackets 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 27 | 113 | 19 | 12 | 531 |
| CBJ | 117 | 26 | 19 | 00 | 432 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:46LAKScott LaughtonAssists: Brian Dumoulin, Alex Turcotte · Snap, 0.27 xG1–0
- P1 14:48LAKArtemi PanarinAssists: Samuel Helenius · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–0
- P1 17:35CBJConor GarlandAssists: Sean Monahan, Ivan Provorov · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–1
- P2 10:53CBJDenton MateychukAssists: Isac Lundeström, Boone Jenner · Backhand, 0.01 xG2–2
- P2 12:13CBJConor GarlandAssists: Denton Mateychuk · Snap, 0.07 xG2–3
- P2 14:09LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Anze Kopitar, Brian Dumoulin · Snap, 0.18 xG3–3
- P3 10:07LAKBrian DumoulinAssists: Mikey Anderson, Scott Laughton · Snap, 0.13 xG4–3
- P3 18:04CBJKirill MarchenkoPPAssists: Zach Werenski, Charlie Coyle · Snap, 0.08 xG4–4
- OT 2:34LAKAdrian KempeGWGAssists: Artemi Panarin, Drew Doughty · Slap, 0.07 xG5–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 0:03LAKQuinton Byfield: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 4:56CBJDamon Severson: Interference2 min
- P2 7:35LAKSamuel Helenius: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 19:58CBJAdam Fantilli: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 12:44CBJMason Marchment: Roughing2 min
- P3 16:43LAKScott Laughton: Interference2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Laferriere won the faceoff against Fantilli
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Panarin11:41
xG 1.15–0.06 (95%)attempts 17–6goals 1–0
- Laughton – Turcotte – Wright7:17
xG 0.49–0.13 (80%)attempts 7–5goals 1–0
- Malott – Helenius – Ward4:20
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Moore – Byfield – Laferriere12:45
xG 0.39–0.45 (47%)attempts 15–15goals 0–3
Defence pairs
- bestDumoulin – Ceci13:50
xG 1.05–0.08 (93%)attempts 20–6goals 2–0
- Edmundson – Clarke12:57
xG 0.14–0.12 (54%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
- Doughty – Anderson14:28
xG 0.48–0.58 (45%)attempts 12–16goals 0–3
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestMarchment – Marchenko – Fantilli12:55
xG 0.32–0.27 (55%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Monahan – Garland – Johnson8:59
xG 0.38–0.42 (47%)attempts 14–11goals 2–1
- Jenner – Olivier – Sillinger2:12
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Jenner – Wood – Lundeström8:23
xG 0.01–0.17 (7%)attempts 4–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestProvorov – Mateychuk10:01
xG 0.40–0.24 (63%)attempts 11–5goals 3–0
- Severson – Provorov4:11
xG 0.11–0.07 (61%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Werenski – Fabbro5:27
xG 0.16–0.19 (47%)attempts 5–8goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).