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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 27, 2026·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Washington Capitals 1, Seattle Kraken 5

Away

Washington Capitals

1

Final

Home

Seattle Kraken

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 68% of the time.

SEA winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:27Shot by Strome, saved by Grubauer
  3. P1 1:50Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Thompson
  4. P1 2:57Shot by Eberle, saved by Thompson
  5. P1 3:26Shot by McCann, saved by Thompson
  6. P1 4:09Shot by Sourdif, saved by Grubauer
  7. P1 6:59Shot by Winterton, saved by Thompson
  8. P1 7:45Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Thompson
  9. P1 7:47Shot by Catton, saved by Thompson
  10. P1 8:14Shot by Schwartz, saved by Thompson
  11. P1 11:22Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Thompson
  12. P1 11:34Shot by Schwartz, saved by Thompson
  13. P1 12:16Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Grubauer
  14. P1 13:57Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Thompson
  15. P1 14:33Shot by Leonard, saved by Grubauer
  16. P1 15:09Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Thompson
  17. P1 17:14Shot by McCann, saved by Thompson
  18. P1 18:55Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Thompson
  19. P1 19:30Frank: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Oleksiak, Gaudreau, Montour, Winterton, Melanson · WSH Carlson, Dowd, Fehérváry, Protas, Frank

  20. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 1:15Goal by McCann (Eberle, Stephenson)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Stephenson, McCann, Dunn, Beniers · WSH Carlson, Fehérváry, McMichael, Protas

  23. P2 1:22Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Grubauer
  24. P2 2:33Chisholm: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Stephenson, Lindgren, Tolvanen, Evans, Catton · WSH McIlrath, Wilson, Chisholm, Sourdif, Leonard

  25. P2 2:59Shot by Dunn, saved by Thompson5v4
  26. P2 5:05Shot by Schwartz, saved by Thompson
  27. P2 6:42Shot by Frank, saved by Grubauer
  28. P2 7:27Stephenson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Stephenson, Dunn, Lindgren, Tolvanen, Catton · WSH Carlson, Strome, Chychrun, McMichael, Leonard

  29. P2 8:50Shot by Leonard, saved by Grubauer4v5
  30. P2 9:08Shot by Frank, saved by Grubauer4v5
  31. P2 10:08Shot by Beniers, saved by Thompson
  32. P2 10:09Goal by McCann (Beniers, Lindgren)+13 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, McCann, Lindgren, Beniers, Evans · WSH van Riemsdyk, Beauvillier, Chychrun, Protas, Lapierre

  33. P2 10:16Shot by Dowd, saved by Grubauer
  34. P2 11:07Shot by Chychrun, saved by Grubauer
  35. P2 12:05Shot by Winterton, saved by Thompson
  36. P2 16:29Shot by Schwartz, saved by Thompson
  37. P2 17:54Goal by Eberle (McCann, Larsson)+6 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Larsson, McCann, Dunn, Beniers · WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Fehérváry, Protas

  38. P2 19:38Shot by Duhaime, saved by Grubauer
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 0:23Shot by Chychrun, saved by Grubauer
  42. P3 1:03Shot by Eberle, saved by Thompson
  43. P3 1:05Shot by Beniers, saved by Thompson
  44. P3 1:16Shot by McMichael, saved by Grubauer
  45. P3 1:27Beniers: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Larsson, McCann, Dunn, Beniers · WSH Ovechkin, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Fehérváry, McMichael

  46. P3 1:54Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Thompson4v5
  47. P3 2:20Shot by Strome, saved by Grubauer4v5
  48. P3 2:30Goal by Ovechkin (Leonard, Chychrun)4v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Larsson, Stephenson, Lindgren, Tolvanen · WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Chychrun, Sourdif, Leonard

  49. P3 5:05Shot by Protas, saved by Grubauer
  50. P3 6:48Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Grubauer
  51. P3 7:32Catton: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Oleksiak, Stephenson, Montour, Tolvanen, Catton · WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Fehérváry, Protas, Sourdif

  52. P3 9:21Sourdif: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: SEA Schwartz, Oleksiak, Gaudreau, Evans · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, McMichael, Sourdif, Frank

  53. P3 12:02Shot by Montour, saved by Thompson
  54. P3 13:02Shot by Sourdif, saved by Grubauer
  55. P3 13:12Goal by Evans (Gaudreau)+2 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Gaudreau, Lindgren, Winterton, Evans, Melanson · WSH Carlson, Wilson, Fehérváry, McMichael, Sourdif

  56. P3 13:21Tolvanen: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Larsson, Stephenson, Dunn, Tolvanen, Catton · WSH Carlson, Dowd, Beauvillier, Chychrun, Leonard

  57. P3 13:39Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Grubauer4v5
  58. P3 15:24Shot by Carlson, saved by Grubauer
  59. P3 16:27Goal by Beniers (McCann, Montour)0 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Oleksiak, McCann, Montour, Beniers · WSH Dowd, van Riemsdyk, Beauvillier, Chychrun, McMichael

  60. P3 16:39Shot by Winterton, saved by Thompson
  61. P3 18:11Shot by Melanson, saved by Thompson
  62. P3 18:43Duhaime: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Gaudreau, Lindgren, Winterton, Evans, Melanson · WSH McIlrath, Duhaime, Chisholm, Lapierre, Frank

  63. P3 18:43Melanson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: SEA Gaudreau, Lindgren, Winterton, Evans, Melanson · WSH McIlrath, Duhaime, Chisholm, Lapierre, Frank

  64. P3 18:43Duhaime: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: SEA Gaudreau, Lindgren, Winterton, Evans, Melanson · WSH McIlrath, Duhaime, Chisholm, Lapierre, Frank

  65. P3 18:53Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Thompson5v4
  66. P3 18:59Shot by Kakko, saved by Thompson5v4
  67. P3 19:00Shot by Kakko, saved by Thompson5v4
  68. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  69. P3 0:00Final5v4