Thu, Jan 29, 2026·TD Garden, Boston
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Boston Bruins 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 09 | 212 | 115 | 336 |
| BOS | 210 | 310 | 17 | 627 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:49BOSViktor ArvidssonAssists: Casey Mittelstadt, Fraser Minten · Snap, 0.10 xG0–1
- P1 10:30BOSPavel ZachaAssists: Morgan Geekie, Jonathan Aspirot · Wrist, 0.15 xG0–2
- P2 2:27BOSFraser MintenAssists: Casey Mittelstadt · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–3
- P2 3:16PHITravis KonecnyAssists: Christian Dvorak · Snap, 0.14 xG1–3
- P2 16:12BOSCasey MittelstadtGWGAssists: Andrew Peeke, Fraser Minten · Backhand, 0.08 xG1–4
- P2 18:40BOSTanner JeannotAssists: Andrew Peeke, Sean Kuraly · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–5
- P2 19:05PHINikita GrebenkinAssists: Travis Konecny · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–5
- P3 16:30BOSMarat KhusnutdinovENAssists: Charlie McAvoy, Jonathan Aspirot · Wrist, 0.76 xG2–6
- P3 18:19PHIMatvei MichkovPPAssists: Denver Barkey, Owen Tippett · Wrist, 0.16 xG3–6
Penalties (10)
- P1 4:54PHIDenver Barkey: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:31BOSHampus Lindholm: Holding2 min
- P2 4:10BOSMason Lohrei: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:17BOSMark Kastelic: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:17PHIGarnet Hathaway: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:53BOSAndrew Peeke: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 18:58BOSMatthew Poitras: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:58PHIDenver Barkey: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:58PHINick Seeler: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:58BOSMichael Eyssimont: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couturier won the faceoff against Poitras
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestDeslauriers – Couturier – Hathaway10:07
xG 0.79–0.24 (77%)attempts 14–7goals 0–1
- Tippett – Cates – Barkey10:47
xG 0.64–0.27 (70%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
- Dvorak – Konecny – Grebenkin9:31
xG 1.13–1.01 (53%)attempts 10–15goals 2–2
- Zegras – Brink – Michkov8:45
xG 0.08–0.58 (12%)attempts 4–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestRistolainen – Sanheim17:21
xG 0.81–0.54 (60%)attempts 10–14goals 0–1
- York – Drysdale15:38
xG 0.91–0.88 (51%)attempts 9–14goals 2–2
- Seeler – Juulsen11:06
xG 0.58–0.86 (40%)attempts 11–18goals 0–2
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestArvidsson – Mittelstadt – Minten10:23
xG 0.66–0.12 (85%)attempts 13–2goals 3–0
- Eyssimont – Khusnutdinov – Poitras4:48
xG 0.53–0.19 (73%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Pastrnak – Geekie – Khusnutdinov3:52
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Pastrnak – Eyssimont – Poitras3:15
xG 0.26–0.35 (42%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Lohrei13:14
xG 0.85–0.32 (73%)attempts 16–7goals 1–0
- Lindholm – McAvoy3:02
xG 0.29–0.22 (57%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Zadorov – Lohrei2:08
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 2–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).