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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 29, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York

New York Islanders 2, New York Rangers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 58% of the time.

NYR winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:55Shot by Schneider, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 2:32Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Quick
  4. P1 2:50Shot by MacLean, saved by Quick
  5. P1 3:13Shot by Pageau, saved by Quick
  6. P1 3:53Shot by Horvat, saved by Quick
  7. P1 4:42Shot by Schaefer, saved by Quick
  8. P1 5:12Shot by Perreault, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 8:50Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 11:06Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 16:29Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Sorokin
  12. P1 16:40Shot by Shabanov, saved by Quick
  13. P1 19:50Miller: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Borgen, Robertson, Perreault · NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Holmstrom, Schaefer

  14. P1 19:51Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Sorokin4v5
  15. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 2:21Shot by Vaakanainen, saved by Sorokin
  18. P2 2:41Shot by Pageau, saved by Quick
  19. P2 3:09Shot by Schneider, saved by Sorokin
  20. P2 3:12Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Sorokin
  21. P2 3:47Barzal: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Gavrikov, Raddysh, Schneider, Othmann, Laba · NYI Pelech, Duclair, Drouin, DeAngelo, Barzal

  22. P2 7:48Shot by Perreault, saved by Sorokin
  23. P2 8:29Cuylle: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Borgen, Robertson, Lafrenière, Cuylle · NYI Duclair, Drouin, Pulock, Barzal, Schaefer

  24. P2 11:23Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Sorokin
  25. P2 12:44Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Quick
  26. P2 13:26Shot by Schneider, saved by Sorokin
  27. P2 16:11Shot by Miller, saved by Sorokin
  28. P2 17:18Goal by Soucy (Shabanov, Mayfield)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Gavrikov, Raddysh, Schneider, Othmann, Laba · NYI Mayfield, Soucy, MacLean, Gatcomb, Shabanov

  29. P2 18:53Goal by Schaefer (Horvat)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Borgen, Robertson, Cuylle, Perreault · NYI Lee, Horvat, Pulock, Holmstrom, Schaefer

  30. P2 18:58Shot by Palat, saved by Quick
  31. P2 19:39Shot by Schneider, saved by Sorokin
  32. P2 0:00Period end
  33. P3 0:00Period start
  34. P3 1:26Pulock: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Gavrikov, Schneider, Perreault · NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Pulock, Holmstrom

  35. P3 2:07Shot by Miller, saved by Sorokin5v4
  36. P3 2:48Goal by Zibanejad (Gavrikov, Miller)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Gavrikov, Lafrenière · NYI Soucy, Horvat, Heineman, Schaefer

  37. P3 3:18Shot by Barzal, saved by Quick
  38. P3 4:12Shot by Vaakanainen, saved by Sorokin
  39. P3 5:41Shot by Palat, saved by Quick
  40. P3 5:47Shot by Pulock, saved by Quick
  41. P3 6:59DeAngelo: Abuse of officials (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Gavrikov, Schneider, Perreault · NYI Mayfield, Soucy, Duclair, Drouin, Barzal

  42. P3 9:38Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Quick
  43. P3 10:01Shot by Perreault, saved by Sorokin
  44. P3 10:27Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Quick
  45. P3 10:42Shot by Heineman, saved by Quick
  46. P3 11:18Shot by Perreault, saved by Sorokin
  47. P3 11:19Shot by Perreault, saved by Sorokin
  48. P3 11:32Shot by Soucy, saved by Quick
  49. P3 11:58Shot by Shabanov, saved by Quick
  50. P3 12:08Vaakanainen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Raddysh, Vaakanainen, Morrow, Othmann, Laba · NYI Mayfield, Soucy, MacLean, Gatcomb, Shabanov

  51. P3 12:08Gatcomb: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Raddysh, Vaakanainen, Morrow, Othmann, Laba · NYI Mayfield, Soucy, MacLean, Gatcomb, Shabanov

  52. P3 14:21Shot by Horvat, saved by Quick
  53. P3 14:48Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Sorokin
  54. P3 15:05Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Quick
  55. P3 19:41Trocheck: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Gavrikov, Cuylle, Laba · NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Holmstrom, Schaefer

  56. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  57. P3 0:00Final4v5