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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 31, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

New York Rangers 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 6

Away

New York Rangers

5

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 90% of the time.

PIT winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:51Shot by Perreault, saved by Skinner
  3. P1 1:30Shot by Morrow, saved by Skinner
  4. P1 2:37Goal by Mantha (McGroarty)+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Mantha, Solovyov, McGroarty, Kindel · NYR Vaakanainen, Rempe, Morrow, Othmann, Laba

  5. P1 3:47Shot by Borgen, saved by Skinner
  6. P1 3:56Shot by Cuylle, saved by Skinner
  7. P1 4:47Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Quick
  8. P1 4:56Shot by Shea, saved by Quick
  9. P1 6:05Goal by Acciari (Lizotte, Dewar)+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Acciari, Dewar, Lizotte, Solovyov · NYR Carrick, Brodzinski, Borgen, Robertson, Rempe

  10. P1 6:10McGroarty: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Mantha, Wotherspoon, McGroarty, Kindel · NYR Trocheck, Gavrikov, Schneider, Lafrenière, Cuylle

  11. P1 6:36Shot by Karlsson, saved by Quick4v5
  12. P1 7:44Shot by Cuylle, saved by Skinner4v5
  13. P1 9:22Shot by Schneider, saved by Skinner
  14. P1 10:32Shot by Kindel, saved by Quick
  15. P1 12:04Shot by Malkin, saved by Quick
  16. P1 13:09Shot by Miller, saved by Skinner
  17. P1 15:11Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Quick
  18. P1 15:27Shot by Perreault, saved by Skinner
  19. P1 16:53Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Skinner
  20. P1 17:36Shot by Kindel, saved by Quick6v5
  21. P1 17:40Morrow: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Kulak, Mantha, Shea, McGroarty, Kindel · NYR Carrick, Raddysh, Vaakanainen, Morrow, Othmann

  22. P1 18:36Shot by Rakell, saved by Quick5v4
  23. P1 19:12Shot by Crosby, saved by Quick5v4
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 3:19Robertson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Wotherspoon, Brazeau · NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Borgen, Robertson, Perreault

  27. P2 5:14Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Quick5v4
  28. P2 5:27Shot by Kulak, saved by Quick
  29. P2 6:11Shot by McGroarty, saved by Quick
  30. P2 7:21Shot by Malkin, saved by Quick
  31. P2 7:30Shot by Kulak, saved by Quick
  32. P2 10:56Brodzinski: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Kulak, Acciari, Shea, Dewar · NYR Miller, Brodzinski, Borgen, Robertson, Rempe

  33. P2 11:03Shot by Karlsson, saved by Quick5v4
  34. P2 12:56Shot by Rakell, saved by Quick
  35. P2 12:59Goal by Mantha (Rakell, Malkin)+7 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Mantha · NYR Carrick, Brodzinski, Borgen, Robertson, Cuylle

  36. P2 17:09Carrick: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Kulak, Mantha, Shea, McGroarty, Kindel · NYR Carrick, Brodzinski, Gavrikov, Raddysh, Schneider

  37. P2 17:09Mantha: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Kulak, Mantha, Shea, McGroarty, Kindel · NYR Carrick, Brodzinski, Gavrikov, Raddysh, Schneider

  38. P2 18:15Malkin: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v4

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Novak, Wotherspoon · NYR Trocheck, Borgen, Robertson, Lafrenière

  39. P2 18:28Goal by Lafrenière (Miller, Zibanejad)3v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kulak, Shea, Lizotte · NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Lafrenière

  40. P2 19:22Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Quick
  41. P2 19:35Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Quick
  42. P2 19:50Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Skinner
  43. P2 0:00Cuylle: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Mantha, Wotherspoon, Dewar, Lizotte · NYR Trocheck, Gavrikov, Schneider, Lafrenière, Cuylle

  44. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 1:04Shot by Rakell, saved by Quick5v4
  47. P3 1:16Shot by Crosby, saved by Quick5v4
  48. P3 1:20Goal by Rakell (Crosby, Karlsson)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Mantha · NYR Trocheck, Borgen, Raddysh, Robertson

  49. P3 1:25Shot by Miller, saved by Skinner
  50. P3 1:37Shot by Kulak, saved by Quick
  51. P3 1:40Goal by Acciari (Lizotte, Kulak)+2 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kulak, Acciari, Shea, Dewar, Lizotte · NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Vaakanainen, Morrow, Perreault

  52. P3 3:52Shot by Carrick, saved by Skinner
  53. P3 4:01Shot by Vaakanainen, saved by Skinner
  54. P3 4:37Solovyov: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Acciari, Dewar, Lizotte, Solovyov · NYR Carrick, Zibanejad, Brodzinski, Raddysh, Morrow

  55. P3 5:39Shot by Kindel, saved by Quick4v5
  56. P3 7:48Shot by Crosby, saved by Quick
  57. P3 8:24Borgen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Novak, Solovyov, Chinakhov · NYR Trocheck, Borgen, Vaakanainen, Lafrenière, Cuylle

  58. P3 9:12Goal by Trocheck (Gavrikov)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Mantha · NYR Trocheck, Gavrikov, Schneider, Cuylle

  59. P3 9:38Shot by Chinakhov, saved by Quick5v4
  60. P3 10:16Shot by Brazeau, saved by Quick5v4
  61. P3 10:44Shot by Vaakanainen, saved by Skinner
  62. P3 11:11Shot by Othmann, saved by Skinner
  63. P3 11:59Shot by Rakell, saved by Quick
  64. P3 12:08Shot by Karlsson, saved by Quick
  65. P3 14:08Shot by Kindel, saved by Quick
  66. P3 15:15Goal by Gavrikov (Schneider, Brodzinski)+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Lizotte, McGroarty · NYR Trocheck, Brodzinski, Gavrikov, Schneider, Rempe

  67. P3 17:28Goal by Kindel (Dewar, Skinner)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kulak, Shea, Dewar, Lizotte, Kindel · NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Gavrikov, Lafrenière, Cuylle

  68. P3 18:53Goal by Lafrenière (Trocheck, Robertson)0 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kulak, Novak, Shea, Chinakhov · NYR Trocheck, Borgen, Robertson, Lafrenière, Cuylle

  69. P3 19:49Goal by Cuylle (Trocheck, Lafrenière)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Wotherspoon, Kindel · NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Gavrikov, Lafrenière, Cuylle

  70. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  71. P3 0:00Final5v6