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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 31, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont

Nashville Predators 4, New York Islanders 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 78% of the time.

NYI winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:29Goal by Barzal (Duclair, DeAngelo)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pelech, Duclair, DeAngelo, Barzal, Shabanov · NSH Haula, Bunting, Perbix, Evangelista, Wilsby

  3. P1 3:11Shot by Palat, saved by Saros
  4. P1 3:18Shot by Horvat, saved by Saros
  5. P1 4:06Shot by Haula, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 4:10Shot by Englund, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 5:47Shot by Shabanov, saved by Saros
  8. P1 5:57Goal by Schaefer (Pulock, Barzal)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Duclair, Pulock, Barzal, Schaefer, Shabanov · NSH Josi, Marchessault, Skjei, Jost, Wood

  9. P1 6:02Shot by Duclair, saved by Saros
  10. P1 6:47Shot by Pulock, saved by Saros
  11. P1 9:53Pelech: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pelech, DeAngelo, MacLean, Gatcomb · NSH Marchessault, Englund, Jost, Perbix, Barron

  12. P1 9:59Goal by Forsberg (Josi, Stamkos)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Soucy, Pulock, Holmstrom · NSH Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Marchessault, Forsberg

  13. P1 11:39Shot by Evangelista, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 12:53Goal by Wood (Marchessault, Jost)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Duclair, DeAngelo, Barzal, Schaefer, Shabanov · NSH Josi, Marchessault, Skjei, Jost, Wood

  15. P1 13:49Shot by Cizikas, saved by Saros
  16. P1 15:01Shot by Haula, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 15:04Shot by Bunting, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 16:11Marchessault: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pelech, Duclair, DeAngelo, Barzal, Shabanov · NSH Marchessault, McCarron, Perbix, Smith, Wilsby

  19. P1 16:11Marchessault: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: NYI Pelech, Duclair, DeAngelo, Barzal, Shabanov · NSH Marchessault, McCarron, Perbix, Smith, Wilsby

  20. P1 16:14Shot by Shabanov, saved by Saros5v4
  21. P1 17:19Shot by Haula, saved by Sorokin5v4
  22. P1 17:20Shot by Josi, saved by Sorokin5v4
  23. P1 17:47Shot by Skjei, saved by Sorokin5v4
  24. P1 19:09Shot by Wilsby, saved by Sorokin
  25. P1 19:26Shot by Lee, saved by Saros
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:38Shot by Heineman, saved by Saros
  29. P2 1:08Shot by Perbix, saved by Sorokin
  30. P2 1:09Shot by McCarron, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 1:34Shot by Duclair, saved by Saros
  32. P2 1:39Shot by Shabanov, saved by Saros
  33. P2 2:17Shot by Lee, saved by Saros
  34. P2 2:19Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Saros
  35. P2 3:29Shot by Wood, saved by Sorokin
  36. P2 3:33Shot by Skjei, saved by Sorokin
  37. P2 3:58Shot by Cizikas, saved by Saros
  38. P2 4:43Shot by Wilsby, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 6:13Shot by Bunting, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 6:14Shot by Skjei, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 6:52Shot by Wilsby, saved by Sorokin
  42. P2 7:04Shot by Josi, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 7:21Goal by Pageau (Lee, Holmstrom)+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Pelech, DeAngelo, Holmstrom · NSH Josi, Skjei, Jost, Evangelista, Wood

  44. P2 8:15Shot by McCarron, saved by Sorokin
  45. P2 8:25Shot by MacLean, saved by Saros
  46. P2 8:53Shot by Josi, saved by Sorokin
  47. P2 9:05Shot by Josi, saved by Sorokin
  48. P2 9:52Shot by Skjei, saved by Sorokin
  49. P2 10:25Shot by Evangelista, saved by Sorokin
  50. P2 11:15Shot by Marchessault, saved by Sorokin
  51. P2 11:22Shot by Perbix, saved by Sorokin
  52. P2 11:25Shot by Forsberg, saved by Sorokin
  53. P2 14:11Goal by Forsberg (Wood)+27 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Soucy, Holmstrom · NSH Josi, Skjei, Forsberg, Jost, Wood

  54. P2 14:29Shot by Schaefer, saved by Saros
  55. P2 15:07Shot by Shabanov, saved by Saros
  56. P2 15:44Shot by Bunting, saved by Sorokin
  57. P2 15:46Shot by Bunting, saved by Sorokin
  58. P2 16:12Shot by Barzal, saved by Saros
  59. P2 18:01Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Saros
  60. P2 18:07Shot by Pageau, saved by Saros
  61. P2 18:33Shot by Marchessault, saved by Sorokin
  62. P2 18:40Shot by Bunting, saved by Sorokin
  63. P2 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 1:10MacLean: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pelech, Duclair, DeAngelo, Barzal, Shabanov · NSH Haula, Bunting, Perbix, Evangelista, Wilsby

  66. P3 1:17Shot by Marchessault, saved by Sorokin4v5
  67. P3 2:15Shot by Marchessault, saved by Sorokin4v5
  68. P3 2:16Shot by Marchessault, saved by Sorokin4v5
  69. P3 2:35Shot by Forsberg, saved by Sorokin4v5
  70. P3 5:25Shot by Heineman, saved by Saros
  71. P3 5:30Shot by Pulock, saved by Saros
  72. P3 7:49Shot by Barron, saved by Sorokin
  73. P3 8:07Shot by Wiesblatt, saved by Sorokin
  74. P3 8:10McCarron: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Mayfield, Soucy, Duclair, Barzal, Shabanov · NSH McCarron, Englund, Smith, Wiesblatt, Barron

  75. P3 8:10Mayfield: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Mayfield, Soucy, Duclair, Barzal, Shabanov · NSH McCarron, Englund, Smith, Wiesblatt, Barron

  76. P3 10:17Shot by Schaefer, saved by Saros
  77. P3 11:25Shot by Horvat, saved by Saros
  78. P3 12:17Shot by Horvat, saved by Saros
  79. P3 12:19Wilsby: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palat, Mayfield, Soucy, Horvat, Holmstrom · NSH Josi, O'Reilly, Marchessault, Bunting, Wilsby

  80. P3 13:24Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Sorokin5v4
  81. P3 15:38Shot by Stamkos, saved by Sorokin
  82. P3 17:49Pelech: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Pelech, DeAngelo, Holmstrom · NSH Josi, Haula, Smith, Wiesblatt, Wilsby

  83. P3 17:49Smith: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Pelech, DeAngelo, Holmstrom · NSH Josi, Haula, Smith, Wiesblatt, Wilsby

  84. P3 18:46Goal by Josi (Wilsby, Haula)4v4+39 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Soucy, DeAngelo, Barzal, Heineman · NSH Stamkos, Josi, Haula, Wilsby

  85. P3 19:46Shot by Barzal, saved by Saros5v4
  86. P3 19:49Shot by Heineman, saved by Saros6v5
  87. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  88. P3 0:00Final6v5