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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 2, 2026·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise

Buffalo Sabres 5, Florida Panthers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 65% of the time.

FLA winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:37Goal by Vilmanis (Greer, Mikkola)+11 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Greer, Mikkola, Schwindt, Vilmanis, Balinskis · BUF Krebs, Byram, Doan, Power, Ostlund

  3. P1 1:40Shot by Quinn, saved by Bobrovsky
  4. P1 3:52Shot by Bjornfot, saved by Lyon
  5. P1 5:54Goal by Rodrigues (Reinhart, Bjornfot)+12 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Petry, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Luostarinen, Bjornfot · BUF Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn

  6. P1 6:22Shot by Tuch, saved by Bobrovsky
  7. P1 6:24Shot by Benson, saved by Bobrovsky
  8. P1 7:36Shot by Kesselring, saved by Bobrovsky
  9. P1 7:57Shot by Petry, saved by Lyon
  10. P1 8:58Shot by Schwindt, saved by Lyon
  11. P1 10:29Shot by Reinhart, saved by Lyon
  12. P1 10:47Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Lyon
  13. P1 11:21Shot by Thompson, saved by Bobrovsky
  14. P1 15:03Goal by Thompson (Krebs, Dahlin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Petry, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Luostarinen, Bjornfot · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Krebs, Byram, Power

  15. P1 17:01Shot by Kunin, saved by Lyon
  16. P1 17:48Shot by Reinhart, saved by Lyon
  17. P1 17:59Shot by Zucker, saved by Bobrovsky
  18. P1 18:26Goal by Krebs (Dahlin, Tuch)+19 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Kesselring, Krebs

  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:10Shot by Vilmanis, saved by Lyon
  22. P2 0:43Shot by Greer, saved by Lyon
  23. P2 1:08Shot by Quinn, saved by Bobrovsky
  24. P2 1:15Shot by Quinn, saved by Bobrovsky
  25. P2 1:25Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Lyon
  26. P2 1:54Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Lyon
  27. P2 2:22Shot by Kunin, saved by Lyon
  28. P2 3:30Shot by Reinhart, saved by Lyon
  29. P2 3:36McLeod: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Reinhart, Rodrigues, Mikkola, Samoskevich, Balinskis · BUF Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Quinn, Metsa

  30. P2 3:41Shot by Reinhart, saved by Lyon5v4
  31. P2 3:48Shot by Balinskis, saved by Lyon5v4
  32. P2 3:49Shot by Reinhart, saved by Lyon5v4
  33. P2 3:52Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  34. P2 5:44Goal by Benson (McLeod, Power)+17 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Ekblad, Forsling, Tkachuk, Samoskevich, Vilmanis · BUF Tuch, McLeod, Dahlin, Byram, Benson

  35. P2 6:22Shot by Ekblad, saved by Lyon
  36. P2 7:44Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Lyon
  37. P2 11:31Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Lyon
  38. P2 12:10Shot by Schwindt, saved by Lyon
  39. P2 12:23Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Lyon
  40. P2 12:51Petry: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Petry, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Bjornfot, Samoskevich · BUF Malenstyn, Dahlin, Power, Kozak, Benson

  41. P2 13:00Shot by Thompson, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  42. P2 15:13Shot by Kozak, saved by Bobrovsky
  43. P2 17:11Quinn: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Rodrigues, Samoskevich · BUF Zucker, McLeod, Dahlin, Quinn, Metsa

  44. P2 17:19Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Lyon5v4
  45. P2 17:47Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Lyon5v4
  46. P2 18:21Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Lyon5v4
  47. P2 18:59Goal by Balinskis (Reinhart, Verhaeghe)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Tkachuk, Balinskis · BUF Malenstyn, Dahlin, Power, Benson

  48. P2 19:07Shot by Schwindt, saved by Lyon
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:35Ekblad: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Ekblad, Forsling, Greer, Schwindt, Vilmanis · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Krebs, Power

  52. P3 1:58Shot by Thompson, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  53. P3 2:16Shot by McLeod, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  54. P3 5:00Shot by Boqvist, saved by Lyon
  55. P3 5:18Shot by Dahlin, saved by Bobrovsky5v6
  56. P3 5:19Schwindt: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: FLA Ekblad, Forsling, Greer, Schwindt, Vilmanis · BUF Tuch, Thompson, McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs

  57. P3 5:31Goal by Zucker (Doan, Quinn)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Rodrigues · BUF Zucker, Thompson, Dahlin, Quinn, Doan

  58. P3 6:39Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Lyon
  59. P3 7:24Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Lyon
  60. P3 7:42Shot by Forsling, saved by Lyon
  61. P3 8:02Shot by Quinn, saved by Bobrovsky
  62. P3 10:19Shot by Ekblad, saved by Lyon
  63. P3 12:15Dahlin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Forsling, Tkachuk, Luostarinen · BUF Zucker, Thompson, Dahlin, Krebs, Power

  64. P3 12:50Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Lyon5v4
  65. P3 13:06Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Lyon5v4
  66. P3 13:08Byram: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Tkachuk, Balinskis · BUF Tuch, Samuelsson, Byram, Kozak

  67. P3 13:27Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Lyon5v3
  68. P3 13:53Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Lyon5v3
  69. P3 14:10Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Lyon5v3
  70. P3 15:09Shot by Ekblad, saved by Lyon
  71. P3 17:51Goal by Doan (Krebs, McLeod)+9 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Verhaeghe, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Tkachuk, Balinskis · BUF McLeod, Samuelsson, Krebs, Doan, Power

  72. P3 18:12Shot by Balinskis, saved by Lyon6v5
  73. P3 18:48Shot by Reinhart, saved by Lyon6v5
  74. P3 19:21Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Lyon6v5
  75. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  76. P3 0:00Final6v5