Mon, Feb 2, 2026·United Center, Chicago
San Jose Sharks 3, Chicago Blackhawks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 01 | 212 | 114 | 327 |
| CHI | 14 | 49 | 14 | 617 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:00CHIConnor BedardPPAssists: Teuvo Teravainen, Tyler Bertuzzi · Snap, 0.08 xG0–1
- P2 2:14CHIConnor MurphyAssists: Matt Grzelcyk, Ryan Donato · Wrist, 0.01 xG0–2
- P2 9:35CHIRyan DonatoAssists: Ilya Mikheyev, Jason Dickinson · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–3
- P2 10:36CHISam RinzelGWGAssists: Ilya Mikheyev · Slap, 0.13 xG0–4
- P2 12:05SJSWill SmithAssists: Macklin Celebrini, Collin Graf · Snap, 0.08 xG1–4
- P2 12:41CHIIlya MikheyevAssists: Jason Dickinson, Ryan Donato · Tip-in, 0.14 xG1–5
- P2 15:11SJSMacklin CelebriniAssists: Tyler Toffoli, William Eklund · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–5
- P3 2:13SJSShakir MukhamadullinAssists: Philipp Kurashev, Vincent Desharnais · Backhand, 0.14 xG3–5
- P3 14:41CHIRyan DonatoAssists: Ilya Mikheyev, Connor Murphy · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–6
Penalties (8)
- P1 1:42CHISam Rinzel: Interference2 min
- P1 5:34SJSWill Smith: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P1 11:35SJSMichael Misa: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:56SJSAlexander Wennberg: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:51SJSPavol Regenda: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:19CHILouis Crevier: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 2:42CHIConnor Bedard: Hooking2 min
- P3 11:20CHIMatt Grzelcyk: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Celebrini won the faceoff against Nazar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestToffoli – Smith – Celebrini12:56
xG 0.90–0.56 (62%)attempts 23–7goals 1–2
- Gaudette – Kurashev – Misa3:45
xG 0.40–0.09 (81%)attempts 6–1goals 1–0
- Kurashev – Regenda – Misa4:32
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Reaves – Goodrow – Gaudette2:54
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestFerraro – Dickinson8:36
xG 0.77–0.24 (76%)attempts 10–6goals 2–2
- Desharnais – Mukhamadullin5:38
xG 0.31–0.20 (61%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Desharnais – Dickinson3:24
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDickinson – Donato – Mikheyev8:37
xG 0.59–0.39 (60%)attempts 9–9goals 4–0
- Slaggert – Dach – Moore5:44
xG 0.11–0.02 (88%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Mikheyev – Slaggert2:07
xG 0.25–0.22 (53%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Nazar – Bedard9:50
xG 0.29–0.39 (43%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKaiser – Rinzel13:32
xG 0.59–0.37 (61%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Murphy – Grzelcyk5:15
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 2–0
- Murphy – Kaiser2:23
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).