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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 4, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver

San Jose Sharks 2, Colorado Avalanche 4

Away

San Jose Sharks

2

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 86% of the time.

COL winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:37Shot by Manson, saved by Askarov
  3. P1 1:00Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Askarov
  4. P1 1:19Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Askarov
  5. P1 1:50Shot by Olofsson, saved by Askarov
  6. P1 3:57Kelly: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Girard, Kelly, Drury, Kiviranta, Malinski · SJS Orlov, Klingberg, Sherwood, Smith, Celebrini

  7. P1 4:01Shot by Toffoli, saved by Blackwood4v5
  8. P1 7:25Shot by Bardakov, saved by Askarov
  9. P1 7:39Shot by Burns, saved by Askarov
  10. P1 8:45Shot by Eklund, saved by Blackwood
  11. P1 8:52Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Askarov
  12. P1 10:07Shot by Graf, saved by Blackwood
  13. P1 10:09Nelson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar · SJS Wennberg, Ferraro, Liljegren, Celebrini, Graf

  14. P1 11:29Wennberg: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Toews, Girard, Kiviranta · SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Sherwood, Eklund, Smith

  15. P1 11:32Shot by Malinski, saved by Askarov4v4
  16. P1 12:43Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Askarov5v4
  17. P1 15:25Shot by Orlov, saved by Blackwood
  18. P1 15:37Shot by Liljegren, saved by Blackwood
  19. P1 17:30Shot by Manson, saved by Askarov
  20. P1 17:38Sherwood: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Kelly, Drury, Brindley · SJS Ferraro, Liljegren, Sherwood, Smith, Celebrini

  21. P1 18:52Shot by Nelson, saved by Askarov5v4
  22. P1 19:33Shot by Toews, saved by Askarov5v4
  23. P1 19:35Shot by Drury, saved by Askarov5v4
  24. P1 19:51Shot by Brindley, saved by Askarov
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:59Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Askarov
  28. P2 1:02Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Askarov
  29. P2 1:05Goal by Lehkonen (Nichushkin, Makar)+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar · SJS Orlov, Klingberg, Wennberg, Smith, Graf

  30. P2 1:18Shot by Celebrini, saved by Blackwood
  31. P2 2:32Shot by Colton, saved by Askarov
  32. P2 2:33Shot by Nelson, saved by Askarov
  33. P2 2:41Shot by Nelson, saved by Askarov
  34. P2 2:42Shot by Nelson, saved by Askarov
  35. P2 2:50Shot by Malinski, saved by Askarov
  36. P2 4:08Kurashev: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Toews, Makar, Bardakov, Makar, Brindley · SJS Orlov, Klingberg, Wennberg, Kurashev, Graf

  37. P2 5:48Shot by Brindley, saved by Askarov5v4
  38. P2 8:39Shot by Eklund, saved by Blackwood
  39. P2 8:58Shot by Burns, saved by Askarov
  40. P2 9:34Shot by Burns, saved by Askarov
  41. P2 10:05Shot by Graf, saved by Blackwood
  42. P2 10:41Bardakov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Toews, Olofsson, Makar, Bardakov, Brindley · SJS Ferraro, Liljegren, Sherwood, Smith, Celebrini

  43. P2 12:43Shot by Kurashev, saved by Blackwood
  44. P2 13:09Shot by Colton, saved by Askarov
  45. P2 13:41Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Askarov
  46. P2 15:47Goal by Lehkonen (MacKinnon, Nichushkin)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin · SJS Orlov, Toffoli, Klingberg, Eklund, Misa

  47. P2 16:51Shot by Goodrow, saved by Blackwood
  48. P2 17:00Shot by Goodrow, saved by Blackwood
  49. P2 17:01Shot by Goodrow, saved by Blackwood
  50. P2 17:02Shot by Goodrow, saved by Blackwood
  51. P2 17:45Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Askarov
  52. P2 17:47Shot by Kelly, saved by Askarov
  53. P2 18:04Shot by Burns, saved by Askarov
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:43Goal by Liljegren (Wennberg, Klingberg)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Toews, Makar, Kelly, Drury, Kiviranta · SJS Wennberg, Ferraro, Liljegren, Sherwood, Kurashev

  57. P3 1:02Shot by Smith, saved by Blackwood
  58. P3 2:31Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Askarov
  59. P3 3:20Shot by Colton, saved by Askarov
  60. P3 3:34Goal by Kurashev, unassisted+33 pts WP

    On ice: COL Girard, Kelly, Drury, Kiviranta, Malinski · SJS Orlov, Wennberg, Liljegren, Kurashev, Graf

  61. P3 3:50Shot by Kelly, saved by Askarov
  62. P3 4:22Shot by Kelly, saved by Askarov
  63. P3 6:21Shot by Manson, saved by Askarov
  64. P3 7:15Shot by Drury, saved by Askarov
  65. P3 7:24Shot by Smith, saved by Blackwood
  66. P3 8:42Shot by Sherwood, saved by Blackwood
  67. P3 8:58Shot by Graf, saved by Blackwood
  68. P3 11:50Burns: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Olofsson, Kelly, Drury · SJS Desharnais, Ferraro, Kurashev, Smith, Celebrini, Graf

  69. P3 11:50Celebrini: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Olofsson, Kelly, Drury · SJS Desharnais, Ferraro, Kurashev, Smith, Celebrini, Graf

  70. P3 12:04Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Askarov4v4
  71. P3 12:44Goal by Manson (Nichushkin, MacKinnon)4v4+40 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews · SJS Ferraro, Liljegren, Eklund, Misa

  72. P3 13:01Shot by Orlov, saved by Blackwood4v4
  73. P3 14:39Shot by Toews, saved by Askarov
  74. P3 14:51Shot by Toffoli, saved by Blackwood
  75. P3 14:54Shot by Orlov, saved by Blackwood
  76. P3 15:01Shot by Toffoli, saved by Blackwood
  77. P3 15:36Shot by Olofsson, saved by Askarov
  78. P3 17:40Shot by Wennberg, saved by Blackwood
  79. P3 17:44Shot by Celebrini, saved by Blackwood5v6
  80. P3 18:43Goal by Nelson, unassisted5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar · SJS Klingberg, Wennberg, Sherwood, Eklund, Smith, Celebrini

  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final