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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 5, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington

Nashville Predators 2, Washington Capitals 4

Away

Nashville Predators

2

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 68% of the time.

WSH winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:58Shot by Frank, saved by Annunen
  3. P1 4:03Shot by Protas, saved by Annunen
  4. P1 4:15Goal by Wilson (Dubois, Chychrun)+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Roy, Chychrun, Dubois, Protas · NSH Haula, Marchessault, Forsberg, Hague, Perbix

  5. P1 4:53Shot by Stamkos, saved by Thompson
  6. P1 7:15Shot by Bunting, saved by Thompson
  7. P1 7:17Shot by Bunting, saved by Thompson
  8. P1 8:22Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Thompson
  9. P1 9:40Shot by Marchessault, saved by Thompson
  10. P1 9:45Shot by Barron, saved by Thompson
  11. P1 10:44Shot by Chychrun, saved by Annunen6v5
  12. P1 10:54Wiesblatt: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Wilson, Strome, Chychrun, Protas · NSH Josi, Bunting, Jost, Smith, Barron

  13. P1 11:49Shot by Haula, saved by Thompson5v4
  14. P1 12:48Goal by Dubois (Strome, Carlson)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Dubois, Fehérváry · NSH Skjei, McCarron, Perbix, Smith

  15. P1 13:38Shot by Josi, saved by Thompson
  16. P1 14:34Shot by Duhaime, saved by Annunen
  17. P1 14:57Shot by Chychrun, saved by Annunen
  18. P1 15:06Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Annunen
  19. P1 15:07Shot by Dubois, saved by Annunen
  20. P1 15:08Shot by Carlson, saved by Annunen
  21. P1 15:14Shot by Roy, saved by Annunen
  22. P1 15:35Ovechkin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Roy, Chychrun, Frank · NSH McCarron, Bunting, Hague, Perbix, Smith

  23. P1 15:41Shot by Stamkos, saved by Thompson4v5
  24. P1 15:57Shot by Josi, saved by Thompson4v5
  25. P1 16:28Shot by Marchessault, saved by Thompson4v5
  26. P1 17:47Skjei: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Beauvillier, Chychrun, Sandin, Protas · NSH Haula, Skjei, Bunting, Barron, Evangelista

  27. P1 18:18Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Annunen5v4
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:23Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Thompson
  31. P2 0:43Shot by Chychrun, saved by Annunen
  32. P2 2:52Leonard: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Beauvillier, Roy, Chychrun, Sourdif, Leonard · NSH Skjei, Bunting, Jost, Wiesblatt, Wilsby

  33. P2 3:39Marchessault: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Dowd, van Riemsdyk, Fehérváry, Protas · NSH Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Marchessault, Forsberg

  34. P2 5:45Shot by Marchessault, saved by Thompson
  35. P2 6:33Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Annunen
  36. P2 6:48Shot by Wilson, saved by Annunen
  37. P2 7:42Shot by Dowd, saved by Annunen
  38. P2 8:42Goal by Chychrun, unassisted+7 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Chychrun, Fehérváry, Frank · NSH Skjei, Bunting, Jost, Wiesblatt, Wilsby

  39. P2 9:39Shot by Leonard, saved by Annunen
  40. P2 9:44Shot by Duhaime, saved by Annunen
  41. P2 11:22Shot by Chychrun, saved by Annunen
  42. P2 11:31Shot by McCarron, saved by Thompson
  43. P2 11:40Shot by Skjei, saved by Thompson
  44. P2 12:13Shot by Forsberg, saved by Thompson
  45. P2 12:54Shot by Chychrun, saved by Annunen
  46. P2 13:30Shot by Barron, saved by Thompson
  47. P2 14:40Shot by Jost, saved by Thompson
  48. P2 14:42Shot by Schaefer, saved by Thompson
  49. P2 15:15Haula: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Chychrun, Fehérváry, Sourdif, Frank · NSH Haula, Marchessault, Forsberg, Hague, Perbix

  50. P2 15:19Sourdif: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Dubois, Sandin, Sourdif, Frank · NSH Skjei, McCarron, Perbix, Smith

  51. P2 17:16Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Annunen4v5
  52. P2 17:40Goal by Marchessault (Haula, Wilsby)+5 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Strome, Beauvillier, Roy, Fehérváry, Sourdif · NSH Haula, Marchessault, Bunting, Barron, Wilsby

  53. P2 18:01Shot by Frank, saved by Annunen
  54. P2 19:04Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Thompson
  55. P2 19:51Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Annunen
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 1:14Shot by McCarron, saved by Thompson
  59. P3 1:16Shot by McCarron, saved by Thompson
  60. P3 1:17Goal by McCarron (Smith, Wilsby)+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Roy, Chychrun, Frank · NSH Skjei, McCarron, Bunting, Smith, Wilsby

  61. P3 4:45Shot by Sandin, saved by Annunen
  62. P3 7:05Shot by Wilsby, saved by Thompson
  63. P3 7:37Shot by Evangelista, saved by Thompson
  64. P3 9:44Shot by Dowd, saved by Annunen
  65. P3 10:14Skjei: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Beauvillier, Chychrun, Sandin, Sourdif, Leonard · NSH Stamkos, Skjei, Jost, Wiesblatt, Wilsby

  66. P3 10:55Shot by Strome, saved by Annunen5v4
  67. P3 11:32Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Annunen5v4
  68. P3 13:03Marchessault: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Dowd, van Riemsdyk, Dubois, Duhaime, Fehérváry · NSH Stamkos, O'Reilly, Marchessault, Barron, Evangelista

  69. P3 13:11Goal by Chychrun (Strome, Ovechkin)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Wilson, Strome, Chychrun, Leonard · NSH Skjei, McCarron, Perbix, Smith

  70. P3 14:49Shot by Sourdif, saved by Annunen
  71. P3 15:26Sandin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Dowd, Chychrun, Sandin, Protas, Frank · NSH McCarron, Jost, Hague, Smith, Wilsby

  72. P3 15:42Shot by Josi, saved by Thompson4v5
  73. P3 18:23Shot by Haula, saved by Thompson5v6
  74. P3 19:20Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Thompson5v6
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final