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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 25, 2026·Delta Center, Salt Lake City

Colorado Avalanche 4, Utah Mammoth 2

Away

Colorado Avalanche

4

Final

Home

Utah Mammoth

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 59% of the time.

UTA winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:03Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Vejmelka
  3. P1 4:36Shot by Yamamoto, saved by Wedgewood
  4. P1 7:22Shot by Sergachev, saved by Wedgewood
  5. P1 8:23Shot by Nelson, saved by Vejmelka
  6. P1 8:25Shot by Landeskog, saved by Vejmelka
  7. P1 8:26Shot by Necas, saved by Vejmelka
  8. P1 9:48Shot by Hayton, saved by Wedgewood
  9. P1 10:22Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Vejmelka
  10. P1 11:02Shot by Nelson, saved by Vejmelka
  11. P1 11:10Shot by Manson, saved by Vejmelka
  12. P1 13:35Shot by Burns, saved by Vejmelka
  13. P1 13:43Shot by DeSimone, saved by Wedgewood
  14. P1 14:52Shot by Tanev, saved by Wedgewood
  15. P1 16:41Shot by Keller, saved by Wedgewood
  16. P1 18:18Shot by Nelson, saved by Vejmelka
  17. P1 18:49Shot by Keller, saved by Wedgewood
  18. P1 18:54Toews: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Schmaltz, Crouse, Keller, Sergachev, Durzi · COL Nelson, Landeskog, Toews, Necas, Makar

  19. P1 19:54Shot by Keller, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  20. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:35Shot by Sergachev, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  23. P2 2:18Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Vejmelka
  24. P2 2:23Shot by Makar, saved by Vejmelka
  25. P2 2:32Shot by Crouse, saved by Wedgewood
  26. P2 2:48Shot by Drury, saved by Vejmelka
  27. P2 3:26Goal by Kelly (Burns, Manson)+17 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Marino, Yamamoto, Hayton, Peterka · COL Burns, Manson, Olofsson, Colton, Kelly

  28. P2 4:00Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vejmelka
  29. P2 5:03Shot by Toews, saved by Vejmelka
  30. P2 5:32Shot by Sergachev, saved by Wedgewood
  31. P2 7:59Shot by Keller, saved by Wedgewood
  32. P2 8:23Shot by Durzi, saved by Wedgewood
  33. P2 9:13Goal by Olofsson (Malinski, Kelly)+16 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Kerfoot, Stenlund, Tanev, Sergachev, Durzi · COL Kulak, Olofsson, Kelly, Brindley, Malinski

  34. P2 9:44Shot by Hayton, saved by Wedgewood
  35. P2 9:53Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Wedgewood
  36. P2 10:23Landeskog: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Schmaltz, Crouse, Marino, Keller · COL Burns, Nelson, Landeskog, Necas, Makar

  37. P2 10:49Goal by Guenther (Sergachev, Keller)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Hayton, Guenther · COL Toews, Makar, Kelly, Drury

  38. P2 11:37Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Vejmelka
  39. P2 12:20Goal by Nelson (Landeskog, Necas)+16 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Schmaltz, Crouse, Marino, Keller · COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Landeskog, Necas

  40. P2 13:20Goal by Guenther (McBain, Cooley)+16 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Cole, Sergachev, McBain, Guenther, Cooley · COL Lehkonen, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar, Drury

  41. P2 14:58Shot by Nelson, saved by Vejmelka
  42. P2 15:51Shot by Colton, saved by Vejmelka
  43. P2 16:14McBain: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Marino, McBain, Guenther, Cooley · COL Lehkonen, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar, Drury

  44. P2 16:37Shot by Makar, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  45. P2 17:17Goal by Necas (Makar, Nichushkin)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Cole, Kerfoot, Stenlund, Sergachev · COL Nelson, Landeskog, Nichushkin, Necas, Makar

  46. P2 18:26Shot by Colton, saved by Vejmelka
  47. P2 19:24Necas: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Cole, Marino, McBain, Guenther, Cooley · COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Landeskog, Necas

  48. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:18Manson: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Hayton, Guenther · COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin

  51. P3 1:00Shot by Keller, saved by Wedgewood5v3
  52. P3 1:09Shot by Sergachev, saved by Wedgewood5v3
  53. P3 2:18Shot by Crouse, saved by Wedgewood
  54. P3 2:19Shot by Crouse, saved by Wedgewood
  55. P3 2:31Shot by Schmidt, saved by Wedgewood
  56. P3 3:41Shot by Toews, saved by Vejmelka
  57. P3 3:43DeSimone: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Cole, DeSimone, McBain, Guenther, Cooley · COL Toews, Olofsson, Colton, Makar, Kelly

  58. P3 4:45Shot by Cole, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  59. P3 5:52Shot by Brindley, saved by Vejmelka
  60. P3 12:10Shot by Schmidt, saved by Wedgewood
  61. P3 14:20Colton: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: UTA DeSimone, Durzi, Hayton, Peterka, Guenther · COL Nelson, Manson, Landeskog, Necas, Makar

  62. P3 14:41Shot by Hayton, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  63. P3 14:42Shot by Hayton, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  64. P3 15:15Schmaltz: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Hayton, Guenther · COL Nelson, Lehkonen, Toews, Makar

  65. P3 17:13Shot by Necas, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  66. P3 17:22Shot by Hayton, saved by Wedgewood
  67. P3 18:33Shot by Guenther, saved by Wedgewood6v5
  68. P3 19:03Shot by Sergachev, saved by Wedgewood6v5
  69. P3 19:34Shot by Cooley, saved by Wedgewood6v5
  70. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  71. P3 0:00Final6v5