Wed, Feb 25, 2026·Delta Center, Salt Lake City
Colorado Avalanche 4, Utah Mammoth 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 59% of the time.
50%
8%
9%
33%
UTA winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 22:56 | 0.41 | 49.0% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:40 | 0.05 | 40.1% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:38 | 0.09 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:13 | 0.27 | 53.7% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:06 | 0.04 | 76.4% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:03 | 0.00 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:33 | 0.27 | 50.1% | +31.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.42 | 68.1% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:13 | 0.09 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.22 | 47.8% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:11 | 0.02 | 54.7% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.20 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.10 | 70.8% | +33.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:48 | 0.15 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 11:47 | 0.40 | 73.7% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:52 | 0.19 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 8:20 | 0.03 | 81.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:54 | 0.00 | 80.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 3.43 | +1.4 | 60:00 |
Utah Mammoth
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25:40 | 0.26 | 41.5% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 22:36 | 0.57 | 61.8% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:13 | 0.29 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:43 | 0.07 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:26 | 0.37 | 24.7% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:40 | 0.00 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.13 | 36.9% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.06 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.06 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 16:44 | 0.82 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:56 | 0.52 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:34 | 0.11 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.00 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.00 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:45 | 0.00 | 16.1% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:22 | 0.00 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:16 | 0.08 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:49 | 0.10 | 23.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 2.94 | −1.1 | 57:56 |