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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 26, 2026·Madison Square Garden, New York

Philadelphia Flyers 3, New York Rangers 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 61% of the time.

NYR winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:27Shot by Fox, saved by Ersson
  3. P1 1:28Shot by Laba, saved by Ersson
  4. P1 1:30Shot by Brisson, saved by Ersson
  5. P1 2:53Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 3:16Shot by Borgen, saved by Ersson
  7. P1 3:40Shot by Schneider, saved by Ersson
  8. P1 3:51Shot by Iorio, saved by Ersson
  9. P1 5:58Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 7:45Shot by Borgen, saved by Ersson
  11. P1 9:56Goal by Carrick (Raddysh, Borgen)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Carrick, Borgen, Raddysh, Schneider, Othmann · PHI Ristolainen, Hathaway, Sanheim, Grundstrom, Grebenkin

  12. P1 10:55Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Ersson
  13. P1 13:38Shot by Cates, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 14:49Shot by Drysdale, saved by Shesterkin
  15. P1 15:20Shot by Sanheim, saved by Shesterkin
  16. P1 16:11Hathaway: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Carrick, Raddysh, Robertson, Othmann, Iorio · PHI Seeler, Hathaway, Grundstrom, Andrae, Grebenkin

  17. P1 16:11Carrick: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Carrick, Raddysh, Robertson, Othmann, Iorio · PHI Seeler, Hathaway, Grundstrom, Andrae, Grebenkin

  18. P1 16:11Hathaway: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Carrick, Raddysh, Robertson, Othmann, Iorio · PHI Seeler, Hathaway, Grundstrom, Andrae, Grebenkin

  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:35Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Ersson
  22. P2 1:23Goal by Lafrenière (Cuylle, Trocheck)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Borgen, Schneider, Lafrenière, Cuylle · PHI Cates, York, Brink, Drysdale, Michkov

  23. P2 3:03Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Shesterkin
  24. P2 3:04Shot by Drysdale, saved by Shesterkin
  25. P2 3:29Othmann: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Carrick, Borgen, Raddysh, Schneider, Othmann · PHI Konecny, Grundstrom, York, Brink, Drysdale, Grebenkin

  26. P2 3:37Shot by Drysdale, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  27. P2 4:40Shot by Konecny, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  28. P2 5:02Shot by Tippett, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  29. P2 5:03Shot by Cates, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  30. P2 6:16Shot by Robertson, saved by Ersson
  31. P2 8:27Sheary: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Sheary, Borgen, Schneider, Brisson, Laba · PHI Ristolainen, Hathaway, Sanheim, Cates, Zegras, Michkov

  32. P2 8:54Shot by Brink, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  33. P2 10:25Goal by Michkov (Cates, Tippett)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Borgen, Gavrikov, Othmann, Laba · PHI Sanheim, Tippett, Cates, York, Michkov

  34. P2 11:53Zegras: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Schneider, Lafrenière, Cuylle, Iorio · PHI Seeler, Dvorak, Konecny, Zegras, Andrae

  35. P2 12:21Shot by Fox, saved by Ersson5v4
  36. P2 13:17Trocheck: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Fox, Cuylle · PHI Seeler, Ristolainen, Hathaway, Cates

  37. P2 14:19Shot by York, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  38. P2 16:18Shot by Raddysh, saved by Ersson
  39. P2 18:04Shot by Cates, saved by Shesterkin
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 0:39Goal by Zegras (Konecny, Sanheim)+31 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Gavrikov, Fox, Perreault · PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Dvorak, Konecny, Zegras

  43. P3 2:58Shot by Hathaway, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P3 3:01Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Shesterkin
  45. P3 5:06Shot by Robertson, saved by Ersson
  46. P3 5:26Shot by Schneider, saved by Ersson
  47. P3 7:28Lafrenière: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Sheary, Borgen, Schneider, Lafrenière · PHI Ristolainen, Hathaway, Sanheim, Grundstrom, Grebenkin

  48. P3 7:51Shot by Schneider, saved by Ersson4v5
  49. P3 10:31Shot by Laba, saved by Ersson
  50. P3 11:42Shot by Seeler, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P3 14:11Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Shesterkin
  52. P3 14:40Gavrikov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Carrick, Gavrikov, Raddysh, Schneider, Othmann · PHI Hathaway, Grundstrom, York, Drysdale, Grebenkin

  53. P3 15:49Shot by Cuylle, saved by Ersson4v5
  54. P3 16:00Shot by Cates, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  55. P3 16:01Shot by Cates, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  56. P3 17:02Shot by Robertson, saved by Ersson
  57. P3 17:07Shot by Robertson, saved by Ersson
  58. P3 17:44Shot by Grebenkin, saved by Shesterkin
  59. P3 19:48Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Ersson6v5
  60. P3 19:51Michkov: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Gavrikov, Fox, Lafrenière · PHI Couturier, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Tippett, Grebenkin

  61. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  62. OT 0:00Period start
  63. OT 1:54Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Ersson4v4
  64. OT 1:55Shot by Trocheck, saved by Ersson4v4
  65. OT 2:10Goal by Michkov (Couturier, Seeler)4v4+49 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Gavrikov · PHI Seeler, Couturier, York, Michkov

  66. OT 2:10Period end4v4
  67. OT 2:10Final