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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 1, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont

Florida Panthers 4, New York Islanders 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 81% of the time.

NYI winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Mikkola, saved by Rittich
  3. P1 2:56Shot by Mayfield, saved by Bobrovsky
  4. P1 3:44Goal by Vilmanis (Greer, Bobrovsky)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Duclair, DeAngelo, Gatcomb · FLA Ekblad, Forsling, Greer, Boqvist, Vilmanis

  5. P1 5:22Shot by Barzal, saved by Bobrovsky
  6. P1 14:19Shot by Boqvist, saved by Rittich
  7. P1 14:20Shot by Vilmanis, saved by Rittich
  8. P1 14:48Pulock: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Pulock, Holmstrom, Schaefer · FLA Kulikov, Bennett, Mikkola, Tkachuk, Samoskevich

  9. P1 14:54Goal by Bennett (Ekblad, Tkachuk)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech, Holmstrom · FLA Marchand, Ekblad, Reinhart, Bennett, Tkachuk

  10. P1 16:13Shot by Horvat, saved by Bobrovsky
  11. P1 16:18Shot by Barzal, saved by Bobrovsky
  12. P1 18:01Goal by Schaefer (Pulock, Barzal)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palat, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal, Schaefer · FLA Petry, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk, Samoskevich

  13. P1 18:13Shot by Forsling, saved by Rittich
  14. P1 18:20Shot by Forsling, saved by Rittich
  15. P1 18:55Shot by Pageau, saved by Bobrovsky
  16. P1 18:56Shot by Pageau, saved by Bobrovsky
  17. P1 19:35Shot by Bennett, saved by Rittich
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 4:02Shot by Palat, saved by Bobrovsky
  21. P2 4:40Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Rittich
  22. P2 6:04Sebrango: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pelech, Duclair, DeAngelo, Heineman, Ritchie · FLA Petry, Verhaeghe, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Sebrango

  23. P2 6:28Schaefer: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYI Horvat, Barzal, Holmstrom, Ritchie, Schaefer · FLA Ekblad, Forsling, Luostarinen, Lundell

  24. P2 7:28Goal by Soucy (Holmstrom, DeAngelo)4v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Soucy, DeAngelo, Holmstrom · FLA Kulikov, Reinhart, Bennett, Forsling

  25. P2 9:37Shot by Barzal, saved by Bobrovsky
  26. P2 10:09Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Rittich
  27. P2 11:09Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Rittich
  28. P2 11:23Shot by Mikkola, saved by Rittich
  29. P2 12:04Goal by Bennett (Tkachuk)+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palat, Pelech, Horvat, DeAngelo, Barzal · FLA Petry, Bennett, Tkachuk, Sebrango, Samoskevich

  30. P2 12:22Shot by Petry, saved by Rittich
  31. P2 13:35Shot by Forsling, saved by Rittich
  32. P2 13:58Shot by Duclair, saved by Bobrovsky
  33. P2 14:33Shot by Barzal, saved by Bobrovsky
  34. P2 17:14Goal by Horvat (Schaefer)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palat, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal, Schaefer · FLA Kulikov, Verhaeghe, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Mikkola

  35. P2 19:21Shot by Kulikov, saved by Rittich
  36. P2 0:00Period end
  37. P3 0:00Period start
  38. P3 0:24Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Rittich
  39. P3 0:33Ritchie: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYI Mayfield, Soucy, Duclair, Heineman, Ritchie · FLA Marchand, Kulikov, Mikkola, Tkachuk, Luostarinen, Lundell

  40. P3 1:41Shot by Marchand, saved by Rittich4v5
  41. P3 1:44Shot by Reinhart, saved by Rittich4v5
  42. P3 2:18Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Rittich4v5
  43. P3 2:45Shot by Schaefer, saved by Bobrovsky
  44. P3 2:52Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Rittich
  45. P3 3:09Shot by Greer, saved by Rittich
  46. P3 3:12Shot by Sebrango, saved by Rittich
  47. P3 5:00Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Bobrovsky
  48. P3 5:11Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Rittich
  49. P3 5:35Shot by Schaefer, saved by Bobrovsky
  50. P3 6:23Shot by Mayfield, saved by Bobrovsky
  51. P3 6:31Shot by Mayfield, saved by Bobrovsky
  52. P3 8:01Shot by Palat, saved by Bobrovsky
  53. P3 8:36Shot by Ekblad, saved by Rittich
  54. P3 9:05Shot by Schaefer, saved by Bobrovsky
  55. P3 10:29Goal by Schaefer (Palat)+38 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palat, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal, Schaefer · FLA Petry, Rodrigues, Tkachuk, Sebrango, Samoskevich

  56. P3 11:20Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Bobrovsky
  57. P3 12:26Shot by Mayfield, saved by Bobrovsky
  58. P3 13:46Shot by Barzal, saved by Bobrovsky
  59. P3 14:13Shot by Horvat, saved by Bobrovsky
  60. P3 15:49Shot by Reinhart, saved by Rittich
  61. P3 16:06Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Rittich
  62. P3 16:08Shot by Reinhart, saved by Rittich
  63. P3 16:22Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Rittich
  64. P3 17:31Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Rittich
  65. P3 18:02Goal by Reinhart (Ekblad, Tkachuk)5v6+48 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Horvat, Pulock, DeAngelo, Holmstrom · FLA Marchand, Ekblad, Reinhart, Bennett, Tkachuk, Lundell

  66. P3 18:57Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Rittich
  67. P3 19:09Shot by Bennett, saved by Rittich
  68. P3 19:28Goal by Lee (DeAngelo, Pelech)+51 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Pulock, Holmstrom, Schaefer · FLA Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, Tkachuk

  69. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  70. P3 0:00Final5v6