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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 1, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont

Florida Panthers 4, New York Islanders 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 81% of the time.

NYI winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Verhaeghe–Reinhart–RodriguesBennett–Tkachuk–SamoskevichMarchand–Luostarinen–LundellGreer–Boqvist–VilmanisEkblad–ForslingKulikov–MikkolaPetry–SebrangoForsling–Mikkola
Palat–Horvat–Barzal3:460.30–0.104:150.16–0.511:480.00–0.000:520.01–0.004:320.20–0.465:080.32–0.110:500.09–0.041:420.01–0.16
Lee–Pageau–Holmstrom5:170.18–0.185:200.16–0.490:350.00–0.005:550.34–0.555:050.18–0.221:100.00–0.00
Duclair–Heineman–Ritchie2:200.00–0.276:420.06–0.171:010.01–0.364:180.22–0.073:460.04–0.422:140.00–0.31
Cizikas–MacLean–Gatcomb0:330.00–0.001:490.00–0.082:200.02–0.032:200.00–0.073:070.00–0.081:480.00–0.012:470.02–0.10
Horvat–Barzal–MacLean0:350.07–0.00
Pulock–Schaefer6:550.23–0.745:070.20–0.242:180.00–0.001:370.02–0.057:460.46–0.226:300.03–0.691:440.09–0.02
Pelech–DeAngelo3:420.27–0.144:210.13–0.132:450.00–0.001:290.00–0.415:310.06–0.325:580.47–0.151:510.00–0.351:230.01–0.16
Mayfield–Soucy1:320.03–0.001:510.00–0.025:500.05–0.202:010.07–0.004:050.02–0.022:580.04–0.174:310.12–0.03
DeAngelo–Schaefer0:590.00–0.460:320.00–0.070:520.00–0.461:110.04–0.000:310.00–0.07
Mayfield–Schaefer0:530.18–0.00
Mayfield–Pelech0:350.00–0.240:500.00–0.27
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHolmstrom FLee FPageau FPalat FHorvat FBarzal FDuclair FHeineman FCizikas FRitchie FMacLean FGatcomb FSoucy DMayfield DPulock DSchaefer DPelech DDeAngelo DRittich GBennett FSamoskevich FTkachuk FMarchand FLundell FLuostarinen FReinhart FRodrigues FVerhaeghe FGreer FBoqvist FVilmanis FKulikov DMikkola DEkblad DForsling DSebrango DPetry DBobrovsky G
NYIFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Aaron EkbladFLA2926:240:551:5063
Gustav ForslingFLA2726:110:581:4043
Matthew SchaeferNYI2923:170:481:3444
Niko MikkolaFLA3323:030:421:5144
Ryan PulockNYI3122:120:431:3237
Tony DeAngeloNYI2621:340:501:3825
Adam PelechNYI2920:580:431:2738
Sam ReinhartFLA2520:340:491:5081
Dmitry KulikovFLA2920:270:421:5053
Bo HorvatNYI2820:240:441:3864
Sam BennettFLA2319:580:521:5462
Matthew TkachukFLA2319:160:501:5762
Mathew BarzalNYI2417:450:441:2554
Anton LundellFLA2517:300:421:2134
Carter VerhaegheFLA2017:140:522:0271
Evan RodriguesFLA1917:110:541:5061
Scott MayfieldNYI2317:090:451:3313
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2316:280:431:0217
Simon HolmstromNYI2416:170:411:0926
Brad MarchandFLA2216:140:441:4623
Mackie SamoskevichFLA2015:430:471:1542
Eetu LuostarinenFLA2315:240:401:1134
Ondrej PalatNYI2415:160:381:1164
Anders LeeNYI2015:000:451:1414
Carson SoucyNYI2314:570:391:3232
Emil HeinemanNYI2014:280:431:1031
Anthony DuclairNYI2113:220:381:0931
Calum RitchieNYI2113:200:381:0230
Casey CizikasNYI1811:550:401:1414
Kyle MacLeanNYI1410:470:461:0913
Marc GatcombNYI1410:450:461:2713
Donovan SebrangoFLA1610:290:391:1321
Jeff PetryFLA159:500:391:1831
A.J. GreerFLA127:570:401:2430
Sandis VilmanisFLA127:450:391:1830
Jesper BoqvistFLA127:440:391:1420