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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 2, 2026·Rogers Arena, Vancouver

Dallas Stars 6, Vancouver Canucks 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 95% of the time.

VAN winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:06Shot by Steel, saved by Tolopilo
  3. P1 1:27Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Tolopilo
  4. P1 3:42Shot by Kane, saved by Oettinger
  5. P1 3:56Shot by Steel, saved by Tolopilo
  6. P1 5:17Shot by O'Connor, saved by Oettinger
  7. P1 7:55Shot by DeBrusk, saved by Oettinger
  8. P1 7:57Goal by Kane (DeBrusk, Pettersson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Kane, DeBrusk, Pettersson, Willander, Buium · DAL Robertson, Lundkvist, Harley, Bourque, Johnston

  9. P1 9:31Benn: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Blueger, Pettersson, Garland, Ohgren, Willander · DAL Benn, Duchene, Lindell, Steel, Heiskanen

  10. P1 9:58Shot by DeBrusk, saved by Oettinger5v4
  11. P1 10:57Shot by Rossi, saved by Oettinger5v4
  12. P1 15:22Shot by Blackwell, saved by Tolopilo
  13. P1 16:19Shot by Johnston, saved by Tolopilo
  14. P1 16:59Shot by Garland, saved by Oettinger
  15. P1 17:40Goal by Erne (Blackwell)+19 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Boeser, Joseph, O'Connor, Rossi, Buium · DAL Blackwell, Erne, Lundkvist, Harley, Hryckowian

  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 0:47Shot by Robertson, saved by Tolopilo
  19. P2 0:49Shot by Duchene, saved by Tolopilo
  20. P2 0:54Shot by Benn, saved by Tolopilo
  21. P2 1:12Shot by Lindell, saved by Tolopilo
  22. P2 2:33Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Tolopilo
  23. P2 4:53Shot by Robertson, saved by Tolopilo
  24. P2 7:16Shot by Pettersson, saved by Oettinger
  25. P2 7:42Shot by Johnston, saved by Tolopilo
  26. P2 8:31Goal by Bichsel (Lyubushkin, Steel)+18 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Blueger, Pettersson, DeBrusk, Ohgren, Willander · DAL Benn, Duchene, Steel, Lyubushkin, Bichsel

  27. P2 8:48Hronek: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Boeser, Hronek, O'Connor, Rossi, Pettersson · DAL Blackwell, Lindell, Erne, Heiskanen, Hryckowian

  28. P2 9:41Goal by Robertson (Duchene, Heiskanen)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Pettersson, Garland, Kampf, Pettersson · DAL Benn, Duchene, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston

  29. P2 11:17Shot by Hronek, saved by Oettinger
  30. P2 13:10Shot by Bourque, saved by Tolopilo
  31. P2 13:14Shot by Blackwell, saved by Tolopilo
  32. P2 13:27Shot by Blackwell, saved by Tolopilo
  33. P2 16:59Shot by Harley, saved by Tolopilo
  34. P2 17:12Shot by Hoglander, saved by Oettinger
  35. P2 18:08Shot by Duchene, saved by Tolopilo
  36. P2 18:43Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Tolopilo
  37. P2 18:59Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Tolopilo
  38. P2 19:59Shot by Rossi, saved by Oettinger
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 1:33Goal by Duchene (Steel, Heiskanen)+7 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Pettersson, Boeser, Hronek, O'Connor, Rossi · DAL Benn, Duchene, Lindell, Steel, Heiskanen

  42. P3 2:43Shot by Ohgren, saved by Oettinger
  43. P3 4:39Shot by Kane, saved by Oettinger
  44. P3 5:40Goal by Blackwell, unassisted+2 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Boeser, O'Connor, Rossi, Willander, Buium · DAL Blackwell, Erne, Lundkvist, Harley, Hryckowian

  45. P3 6:16Shot by Hyry, saved by Tolopilo
  46. P3 7:09Shot by Bourque, saved by Tolopilo
  47. P3 8:34Shot by Garland, saved by Oettinger
  48. P3 11:32Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Tolopilo
  49. P3 11:34Shot by Steel, saved by Tolopilo
  50. P3 11:36Shot by Steel, saved by Tolopilo
  51. P3 11:38Shot by Hyry, saved by Tolopilo
  52. P3 12:06Willander: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Boeser, O'Connor, Rossi, Willander, Buium · DAL Bastian, Bäck, Lundkvist, Harley, Hyry

  53. P3 12:07Shot by Johnston, saved by Tolopilo4v5
  54. P3 12:25Shot by Robertson, saved by Tolopilo4v5
  55. P3 12:45Benn: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: VAN Blueger, Pettersson, Garland, Hronek · DAL Benn, Duchene, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston

  56. P3 13:34Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Tolopilo4v4
  57. P3 15:41Goal by Bichsel (Bourque, Robertson)0 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Blueger, Pettersson, Karlsson, Hoglander, Willander · DAL Robertson, Heiskanen, Bourque, Johnston, Bichsel

  58. P3 16:37Shot by Duchene, saved by Tolopilo
  59. P3 17:52Shot by Hyry, saved by Tolopilo
  60. P3 18:43Shot by Erne, saved by Tolopilo
  61. P3 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Final