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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 8, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver

Minnesota Wild 2, Colorado Avalanche 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 77% of the time.

COL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:16Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Wedgewood
  3. P1 1:20Hughes: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, Manson, Kulak, Nichushkin, Colton · MIN Eriksson Ek, Hughes, Brink, Boldy, Faber

  4. P1 1:39Shot by Kadri, saved by Wallstedt5v4
  5. P1 1:40Shot by Kadri, saved by Wallstedt5v4
  6. P1 2:06Shot by Necas, saved by Wallstedt5v4
  7. P1 3:13Shot by Toews, saved by Wallstedt5v4
  8. P1 3:53Shot by Bogosian, saved by Wedgewood
  9. P1 4:29Shot by Roy, saved by Wallstedt
  10. P1 4:45Shot by Necas, saved by Wallstedt
  11. P1 4:55Shot by Yurov, saved by Wedgewood
  12. P1 4:56Shot by Yurov, saved by Wedgewood
  13. P1 6:20Shot by Malinski, saved by Wallstedt6v5
  14. P1 6:57Bogosian: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Kulak, MacKinnon, Drury, Kiviranta, Bardakov, Malinski · MIN Bogosian, Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Brink, Boldy

  15. P1 9:00Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Wallstedt
  16. P1 9:25Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Wallstedt
  17. P1 11:16Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Wallstedt
  18. P1 11:47Shot by McCarron, saved by Wedgewood
  19. P1 13:26Shot by Foligno, saved by Wedgewood
  20. P1 16:04Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Wallstedt
  21. P1 16:33Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Wallstedt
  22. P1 17:19Shot by Malinski, saved by Wallstedt
  23. P1 17:21Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Wallstedt
  24. P1 18:18Shot by Boldy, saved by Wedgewood
  25. P1 19:21Shot by Yurov, saved by Wedgewood
  26. P1 19:53Shot by McCarron, saved by Wedgewood
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:13Shot by Toews, saved by Wallstedt
  30. P2 0:32Shot by Necas, saved by Wallstedt
  31. P2 0:43Hartman: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Kadri, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar · MIN Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov, Hughes, Faber

  32. P2 3:31Shot by Bardakov, saved by Wallstedt
  33. P2 4:28Roy: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Roy, Kelly, Brindley, Malinski · MIN Bogosian, Tarasenko, Middleton, Trenin, Yurov

  34. P2 6:09Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  35. P2 6:47Shot by Kadri, saved by Wallstedt
  36. P2 7:56Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Wedgewood
  37. P2 7:57Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Wedgewood
  38. P2 7:58Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Wedgewood
  39. P2 8:31Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Wedgewood
  40. P2 8:55Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Wallstedt
  41. P2 9:45Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Wedgewood
  42. P2 9:50Shot by Brodin, saved by Wedgewood
  43. P2 11:20Shot by Manson, saved by Wallstedt
  44. P2 11:32Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Wallstedt
  45. P2 11:36Shot by Colton, saved by Wallstedt
  46. P2 12:19Goal by MacKinnon (Kadri)+26 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kadri, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar · MIN Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov, Hughes, Faber

  47. P2 12:28Shot by Brindley, saved by Wallstedt
  48. P2 12:57Shot by Hartman, saved by Wedgewood
  49. P2 13:57Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Wedgewood
  50. P2 14:57Shot by Colton, saved by Wallstedt
  51. P2 15:31Shot by Boldy, saved by Wedgewood
  52. P2 17:20Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Wedgewood
  53. P2 17:31Shot by Faber, saved by Wedgewood
  54. P2 18:41Shot by Hartman, saved by Wedgewood
  55. P2 19:00Shot by Trenin, saved by Wedgewood
  56. P2 19:01Shot by Yurov, saved by Wedgewood
  57. P2 19:39Shot by Toews, saved by Wallstedt
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:51Shot by Boldy, saved by Wedgewood
  61. P3 1:33Shot by Bogosian, saved by Wedgewood
  62. P3 2:10Shot by Roy, saved by Wallstedt
  63. P3 3:02Shot by McCarron, saved by Wedgewood
  64. P3 4:13Colton: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Kulak, Drury, Kiviranta, Bardakov, Malinski · MIN Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Hughes, Boldy, Faber

  65. P3 4:17Goal by Kaprizov (Hughes, Eriksson Ek)4v5+33 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Kelly, Drury · MIN Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov, Hughes, Boldy

  66. P3 4:28Shot by Brodin, saved by Wedgewood
  67. P3 5:17Trenin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Kadri, Nelson, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · MIN Trenin, Hughes, Brink, Faber, Yurov

  68. P3 6:28Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Wallstedt5v4
  69. P3 6:33Shot by Necas, saved by Wallstedt5v4
  70. P3 7:01Goal by Sturm (Faber)5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Nichushkin, Toews, Colton, Brindley · MIN Foligno, Middleton, Sturm, Faber

  71. P3 9:29Kaprizov: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Kadri, Nelson, Manson, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · MIN Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov, Hughes, Faber

  72. P3 9:44Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Wallstedt5v4
  73. P3 10:01Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Wallstedt5v4
  74. P3 10:37Shot by Necas, saved by Wallstedt5v4
  75. P3 11:16Shot by Necas, saved by Wallstedt5v4
  76. P3 12:39Goal by Roy (Kulak, Kiviranta)+28 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kulak, Roy, Drury, Kiviranta, Malinski · MIN Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov, Hughes, Faber

  77. P3 14:58Nichushkin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Kulak, Nichushkin, Kelly, Drury, Malinski · MIN Bogosian, Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov, Hughes

  78. P3 15:24Shot by Boldy, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  79. P3 16:33Shot by Brink, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  80. P3 16:34Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. OT 0:00Period start
  83. OT 1:18Shot by Kadri, saved by Wallstedt3v3
  84. OT 1:44Shot by Kadri, saved by Wallstedt3v3
  85. OT 3:57MacKinnon: Interference (2 min)3v3

    On ice: COL Kadri, MacKinnon, Makar · MIN Tarasenko, Hartman, Faber

  86. OT 4:38Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Wedgewood3v4
  87. OT 5:00Period end3v4
  88. SO Period start
  89. SO Goal by Nichushkin, unassistedother
  90. SO Goal by Boldy, unassistedother
  91. SO Shot by Necas, saved by Wallstedtother
  92. SO Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Wedgewoodother
  93. SO Shot by Kadri, saved by Wallstedtother
  94. SO Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Wedgewoodother
  95. SO Goal by MacKinnon, unassistedother
  96. SO Period endother
  97. SO Finalother