Sun, Mar 8, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Edmonton Oilers 4, Vegas Golden Knights 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 63% of the time.
27%
9%
8%
55%
VGK winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darnell NurseD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:14 | 0.05 | 19.3% | 0.0 |
 Connor MurphyD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:33 | 0.02 | 29.6% | 0.0 |
 Evan BouchardD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:51 | 0.08 | 75.3% | +17.1 |
 Connor McDavidC · #97 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 21:37 | 0.24 | 21.3% | +23.4 |
 Leon DraisaitlC · #29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:59 | 0.30 | 50.0% | +15.2 |
 Jake WalmanD · #96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:23 | 0.00 | 44.3% | 0.0 |
 Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:11 | 0.20 | 22.1% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.23 | 31.1% | 0.0 |
 Ty EmbersonD · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.01 | 20.3% | 0.0 |
 Kasperi KapanenRW · #42 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:56 | 0.91 | 44.6% | +8.2 |
 Jason DickinsonC · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:33 | 0.15 | 45.7% | 0.0 |
 Vasily PodkolzinRW · #92 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.16 | 60.7% | +21.7 |
 Mattias EkholmD · #14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 14:12 | 0.00 | 77.9% | +8.2 |
 Matt SavoieC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:27 | 0.00 | 40.3% | 0.0 |
 Jack RoslovicC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:14 | 0.16 | 53.0% | 0.0 |
 Trent FredericC · #10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:59 | 0.59 | 65.4% | +17.1 |
 Josh SamanskiC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:39 | 0.00 | 66.7% | 0.0 |
 Colton DachC · #34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 5:05 | 0.23 | 84.8% | +17.1 |
 Connor Ingram#39 | W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.55 | +0.6 | 60:00 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jack EichelC · #9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 21:40 | 0.33 | 70.1% | +10.2 |
 Shea TheodoreD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:36 | 0.10 | 72.2% | 0.0 |
 Noah HanifinD · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:15 | 0.04 | 81.0% | +19.3 |
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:25 | 0.02 | 37.6% | 0.0 |
 Brayden McNabbD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.08 | 73.9% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #93 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:29 | 0.15 | 49.6% | +29.5 |
 Ivan BarbashevLW · #49 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:11 | 0.24 | 80.0% | +19.3 |
 Pavel DorofeyevRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 17:04 | 0.39 | 65.1% | 0.0 |
 Tomas HertlC · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 15:49 | 0.38 | 39.7% | 0.0 |
 Colton SissonsC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.02 | 61.6% | 0.0 |
 Brett HowdenC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.00 | 42.6% | 0.0 |
 Braeden BowmanRW · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:27 | 0.39 | 93.1% | 0.0 |
 Kaedan KorczakD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:01 | 0.00 | 52.3% | 0.0 |
 Jeremy LauzonD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:41 | 0.00 | 19.2% | 0.0 |
 Nic DowdC · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:54 | 0.11 | 68.5% | 0.0 |
 Cole SmithRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:17 | 0.14 | 57.4% | 0.0 |
 Keegan KolesarRW · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:26 | 0.11 | 24.4% | 0.0 |
 Brandon SaadLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:36 | 0.04 | 20.1% | 0.0 |
 Adin Hill#33 | L | 18 | 15 | 3 | .833 | 2.55 | −0.5 | 59:24 |