Mon, Mar 9, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
New York Rangers 6, Philadelphia Flyers 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 312 | 312 | 03 | 627 |
| PHI | 08 | 113 | 113 | 234 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:04NYRNoah LabaAssists: Matthew Robertson, Tye Kartye · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–0
- P1 13:07NYRMika ZibanejadAssists: Alexis Lafrenière, Vladislav Gavrikov · Snap, 0.15 xG2–0
- P1 19:23NYRAlexis LafrenièrePPGWGAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Vincent Trocheck · Slap, 0.20 xG3–0
- P2 3:54PHIMatvei MichkovPPAssists: Jamie Drysdale, Trevor Zegras · Wrist, 0.18 xG3–1
- P2 6:40NYRGabe PerreaultPPAssists: Vincent Trocheck, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.19 xG4–1
- P2 18:40NYRMika ZibanejadPPAssists: Gabe Perreault, Vincent Trocheck · Wrist, 0.13 xG5–1
- P2 19:00NYRTye KartyeAssists: Vladislav Gavrikov, Noah Laba · Tip-in, 0.05 xG6–1
- P3 15:28PHISean CouturierAssists: Nikita Grebenkin, Luke Glendening · Snap, 0.18 xG6–2
Penalties (7)
- P1 14:27PHITrevor Zegras: Holding2 min
- P1 16:27NYRVladislav Gavrikov: Cross checking2 min
- P1 18:01PHIAlex Bump: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 3:03NYRAdam Fox: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P2 6:10PHITravis Konecny: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 17:39PHICam York: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 1:00NYRBraden Schneider: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dvorak won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestZibanejad – Lafrenière – Perreault11:10
xG 0.77–0.44 (64%)attempts 12–9goals 1–0
- Sheary – Kartye – Laba10:01
xG 0.27–0.21 (56%)attempts 10–8goals 2–0
- Trocheck – Brodzinski – Cuylle10:49
xG 0.07–0.38 (16%)attempts 3–11goals 0–0
- Parssinen – Edstrom – Chmelar9:59
xG 0.18–0.78 (18%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Robertson – Schneider16:29
xG 1.01–1.05 (49%)attempts 18–19goals 2–0
- Borgen – Vaakanainen11:32
xG 0.08–0.26 (23%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Fox16:22
xG 0.35–0.66 (34%)attempts 10–18goals 0–0
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestGrundstrom – Tippett – Zegras10:24
xG 0.50–0.13 (79%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Couturier – Glendening – Grebenkin8:19
xG 0.66–0.42 (61%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Dvorak – Konecny – Bump10:30
xG 0.42–0.48 (46%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Cates – Barkey – Michkov8:35
xG 0.12–0.33 (27%)attempts 8–7goals 0–3
Defence pairs
- bestRistolainen – Sanheim14:03
xG 0.97–0.47 (67%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
- Seeler – Juulsen15:02
xG 0.25–0.29 (46%)attempts 14–9goals 0–1
- York – Drysdale16:16
xG 0.69–0.90 (43%)attempts 19–16goals 1–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).