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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 9, 2026·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia

New York Rangers 6, Philadelphia Flyers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 52% of the time.

PHI winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:01Shot by Robertson, saved by Vladar
  3. P1 1:04Goal by Laba (Robertson, Kartye)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Cates, York, Drysdale, Barkey, Michkov · NYR Sheary, Robertson, Kartye, Schneider, Laba

  4. P1 1:13Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 1:26Shot by Juulsen, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 6:19Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Vladar
  7. P1 6:21Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Vladar
  8. P1 6:42Shot by Schneider, saved by Vladar
  9. P1 7:50Shot by Seeler, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 8:29Shot by Kartye, saved by Vladar
  11. P1 9:03Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 10:51Shot by Bump, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 11:07Shot by York, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 11:19Shot by Tippett, saved by Shesterkin
  15. P1 13:07Goal by Zibanejad (Lafrenière, Gavrikov)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Cates, York, Drysdale, Barkey, Michkov · NYR Zibanejad, Robertson, Schneider, Lafrenière, Perreault

  16. P1 14:13Shot by Chmelar, saved by Vladar
  17. P1 14:27Zegras: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Grundstrom, Tippett, Zegras · NYR Zibanejad, Borgen, Vaakanainen, Parssinen, Chmelar

  18. P1 15:56Shot by Sheary, saved by Vladar4v5
  19. P1 16:27Gavrikov: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Konecny, Juulsen, Tippett · NYR Brodzinski, Sheary, Gavrikov, Schneider, Cuylle

  20. P1 16:56Shot by Zegras, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  21. P1 18:01Bump: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Dvorak, Cates, York, Bump, Barkey · NYR Zibanejad, Vaakanainen, Schneider, Cuylle

  22. P1 18:49Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Vladar4v5
  23. P1 19:19Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vladar4v5
  24. P1 19:23Goal by Lafrenière (Zibanejad, Trocheck)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Ristolainen, Dvorak, York · NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Fox, Lafrenière, Perreault

  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:25Shot by Tippett, saved by Shesterkin
  28. P2 2:12Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Vladar
  29. P2 2:44Shot by Seeler, saved by Shesterkin
  30. P2 3:03Fox: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Dvorak, Konecny, Juulsen, Bump · NYR Gavrikov, Fox, Parssinen, Edstrom, Chmelar

  31. P2 3:41Shot by Tippett, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  32. P2 3:51Shot by Drysdale, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  33. P2 3:54Goal by Michkov (Drysdale, Zegras)5v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Konecny, Tippett, Zegras, Drysdale, Michkov · NYR Zibanejad, Robertson, Schneider, Cuylle

  34. P2 4:22Shot by Bump, saved by Shesterkin
  35. P2 4:31Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Vladar
  36. P2 5:35Shot by Bump, saved by Shesterkin
  37. P2 6:10Konecny: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PHI Dvorak, Konecny, York, Drysdale, Bump · NYR Zibanejad, Sheary, Robertson, Kartye, Schneider, Laba

  38. P2 6:38Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vladar4v5
  39. P2 6:40Goal by Perreault (Trocheck, Fox)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Sanheim, Dvorak, York · NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Fox, Lafrenière, Perreault

  40. P2 8:52Shot by Bump, saved by Shesterkin
  41. P2 9:58Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Shesterkin
  42. P2 10:34Shot by Vaakanainen, saved by Vladar
  43. P2 10:57Shot by Couturier, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P2 11:22Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Vladar
  45. P2 12:40Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Vladar
  46. P2 14:30Shot by Dvorak, saved by Shesterkin
  47. P2 14:34Shot by Drysdale, saved by Shesterkin
  48. P2 14:59Shot by Konecny, saved by Shesterkin
  49. P2 17:04Shot by Chmelar, saved by Vladar
  50. P2 17:39York: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Glendening, York, Drysdale, Grebenkin · NYR Sheary, Fox, Vaakanainen, Edstrom, Laba

  51. P2 18:15Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vladar4v5
  52. P2 18:40Goal by Zibanejad (Perreault, Trocheck)4v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Dvorak · NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Fox, Lafrenière, Perreault

  53. P2 19:00Goal by Kartye (Gavrikov, Laba)+1 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Juulsen, Cates, Barkey, Michkov · NYR Sheary, Borgen, Gavrikov, Kartye, Laba

  54. P2 19:30Shot by Edstrom, saved by Vladar
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 1:00Schneider: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI Konecny, Grundstrom, Tippett, Zegras, York, Drysdale · NYR Trocheck, Brodzinski, Robertson, Schneider, Cuylle

  58. P3 6:01Shot by Robertson, saved by Ersson
  59. P3 6:04Shot by Perreault, saved by Ersson
  60. P3 7:05Shot by Juulsen, saved by Shesterkin
  61. P3 8:17Shot by Juulsen, saved by Shesterkin
  62. P3 8:58Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Shesterkin
  63. P3 9:45Shot by Borgen, saved by Ersson
  64. P3 10:43Shot by York, saved by Shesterkin
  65. P3 11:23Shot by Seeler, saved by Shesterkin
  66. P3 11:46Shot by Glendening, saved by Shesterkin
  67. P3 11:49Shot by Glendening, saved by Shesterkin
  68. P3 12:29Shot by Michkov, saved by Shesterkin
  69. P3 15:28Goal by Couturier (Grebenkin, Glendening)0 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Glendening, York, Drysdale, Grebenkin · NYR Sheary, Borgen, Edstrom, Schneider, Laba

  70. P3 15:49Shot by Drysdale, saved by Shesterkin
  71. P3 15:53Shot by Barkey, saved by Shesterkin
  72. P3 17:30Shot by Seeler, saved by Shesterkin
  73. P3 19:56Shot by Konecny, saved by Shesterkin
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final