Tue, Mar 10, 2026·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Vegas Golden Knights 1, Dallas Stars 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 68% of the time.
59%
9%
9%
24%
DAL winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:51 | 0.20 | 39.7% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:56 | 0.09 | 80.1% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:22 | 0.00 | 7.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:15 | 0.00 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:52 | 0.28 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:40 | 0.06 | 14.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:09 | 0.26 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:31 | 0.18 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.21 | 21.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.06 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.10 | 27.5% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:58 | 0.08 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:51 | 0.20 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:03 | 0.07 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:32 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:32 | 0.09 | 79.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:59 | 0.00 | 88.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:39 | 0.08 | 91.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 16 | 14 | 2 | .875 | 2.64 | +0.6 | 58:10 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 26:35 | 0.10 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 22:51 | 0.48 | 49.5% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:34 | 0.02 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:04 | 0.29 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:34 | 0.05 | 75.0% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:24 | 0.30 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.43 | 29.1% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.15 | 63.6% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.01 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:12 | 0.00 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:06 | 0.00 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:46 | 0.21 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:30 | 0.00 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:29 | 0.15 | 79.0% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:33 | 0.02 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:32 | 0.39 | 85.3% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:25 | 0.09 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:59 | 0.23 | 62.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 1.98 | +1.0 | 59:53 |