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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 10, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver

Edmonton Oilers 4, Colorado Avalanche 3

Away

Edmonton Oilers

4

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 62% of the time.

COL winsEDM wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:32Goal by Colton (Nelson)+11 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin, Toews, Colton · EDM Nurse, Draisaitl, Roslovic, Emberson, Podkolzin

  3. P1 1:41Shot by Malinski, saved by Ingram
  4. P1 4:22Shot by Toews, saved by Ingram
  5. P1 4:46Shot by Malinski, saved by Ingram
  6. P1 6:54Shot by McDavid, saved by Blackwood
  7. P1 7:33Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Blackwood5v6
  8. P1 7:34Kulak: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Kadri, Kulak, MacKinnon, Necas, Malinski · EDM Ekholm, Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  9. P1 8:13Goal by Nugent-Hopkins (McDavid, Bouchard)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Kelly, Drury · EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  10. P1 8:35Shot by Dickinson, saved by Blackwood
  11. P1 9:39Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Blackwood
  12. P1 11:08Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Ingram
  13. P1 11:34Shot by Nelson, saved by Ingram
  14. P1 14:17Murphy: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Toews, Makar, Drury, Kiviranta, Bardakov · EDM Murphy, Dickinson, Kapanen, Walman, Savoie

  15. P1 15:30Shot by Kadri, saved by Ingram5v4
  16. P1 15:37Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Ingram5v4
  17. P1 15:41Goal by Necas, unassisted5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kadri, Nelson, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, Emberson, Savoie

  18. P1 16:19Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Ingram
  19. P1 17:05Frederic: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Kulak, Roy, Colton, Kelly · EDM Ekholm, Frederic, Bouchard, Savoie, Samanski

  20. P1 17:05Roy: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Kulak, Roy, Colton, Kelly · EDM Ekholm, Frederic, Bouchard, Savoie, Samanski

  21. P1 17:53Shot by Makar, saved by Ingram
  22. P1 18:43Shot by Malinski, saved by Ingram
  23. P1 19:00Shot by Nurse, saved by Blackwood
  24. P1 19:35Goal by Roslovic (Draisaitl)+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Kadri, Manson, MacKinnon, Necas · EDM Nurse, Draisaitl, Roslovic, Bouchard, Podkolzin

  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 2:46Shot by Bardakov, saved by Ingram
  28. P2 3:25Shot by Makar, saved by Ingram
  29. P2 3:49Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Blackwood
  30. P2 4:15Goal by Nugent-Hopkins (Nurse, Hyman)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Toews, Roy, Colton, Necas, Makar · EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, McDavid, Bouchard

  31. P2 5:16Shot by Frederic, saved by Blackwood
  32. P2 7:05Shot by Bouchard, saved by Blackwood
  33. P2 9:42Shot by Podkolzin, saved by Blackwood
  34. P2 10:52Shot by Bouchard, saved by Blackwood
  35. P2 11:43Shot by Necas, saved by Ingram
  36. P2 14:34Nelson: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, Manson, Kulak, Nichushkin, Kiviranta · EDM Ekholm, Draisaitl, Walman, Roslovic, Podkolzin

  37. P2 15:28Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Ingram4v5
  38. P2 18:12Shot by Nelson, saved by Ingram
  39. P2 18:20Murphy: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, Manson, Kulak, Nichushkin, Bardakov · EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Murphy, Nurse, McDavid

  40. P2 18:32Shot by Necas, saved by Ingram5v4
  41. P2 18:37Shot by Bouchard, saved by Blackwood5v4
  42. P2 19:05Shot by McDavid, saved by Blackwood5v4
  43. P2 19:12Shot by Dickinson, saved by Blackwood5v4
  44. P2 19:25MacKinnon: Interference goalkeeper (5 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Kadri, Nelson, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · EDM Dickinson, Nurse, Kapanen, Walman

  45. P2 19:25MacKinnon: Game misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Kadri, Nelson, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · EDM Dickinson, Nurse, Kapanen, Walman

  46. P2 19:28Shot by Bouchard, saved by Blackwood4v4
  47. P2 19:44Shot by Nelson, saved by Jarry4v4
  48. P2 19:50Shot by Toews, saved by Jarry4v4
  49. P2 0:00Period end4v4
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:45Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Blackwood4v5
  52. P3 1:27Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Blackwood4v5
  53. P3 3:25Shot by McDavid, saved by Blackwood4v5
  54. P3 3:43Shot by McDavid, saved by Blackwood4v5
  55. P3 4:31Shot by Roslovic, saved by Blackwood
  56. P3 4:38Shot by Roslovic, saved by Blackwood
  57. P3 7:04Goal by Nichushkin (Malinski)+24 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Kulak, Nichushkin, Bardakov, Malinski · EDM Murphy, Draisaitl, Walman, Roslovic, Podkolzin

  58. P3 8:03Shot by Roy, saved by Jarry
  59. P3 8:20Roy: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Roy, Kelly, Drury · EDM Draisaitl, Walman, McDavid, Roslovic, Bouchard, Podkolzin

  60. P3 9:03Goal by McDavid (Draisaitl, Bouchard)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar · EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  61. P3 9:53Kapanen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Kulak, Kelly, Drury, Brindley, Malinski · EDM Ekholm, Kapanen, Walman, Frederic, Samanski

  62. P3 9:58Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Jarry5v4
  63. P3 10:55Shot by Necas, saved by Jarry5v4
  64. P3 11:18Shot by Roy, saved by Jarry5v4
  65. P3 11:19Shot by Roy, saved by Jarry5v4
  66. P3 12:22Shot by Kulak, saved by Jarry
  67. P3 12:51Shot by Kulak, saved by Jarry
  68. P3 15:02Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Jarry
  69. P3 15:33Shot by Malinski, saved by Jarry
  70. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  71. P3 0:00Final6v5