Tue, Mar 10, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver
Edmonton Oilers 4, Colorado Avalanche 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 62% of the time.
31%
8%
53%
COL winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 27:21 | 0.12 | 87.2% | +35.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 23:57 | 1.09 | 58.1% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 22:51 | 0.49 | 70.9% | +42.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:22 | 0.03 | 84.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:42 | 0.13 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:02 | 0.40 | 58.7% | +17.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:17 | 0.48 | 50.4% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:00 | 0.01 | 81.9% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:21 | 0.00 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:14 | 0.14 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:36 | 0.05 | 80.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:22 | 0.66 | 76.8% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:33 | 0.00 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:16 | 0.16 | 84.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:49 | 0.02 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:10 | 0.00 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:35 | 0.00 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:35 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 12 | 11 | 1 | .917 | 1.51 | +0.5 | 20:26 | |
| – | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 1.61 | −0.4 | 39:07 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 26:58 | 0.10 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 22:52 | 0.30 | 41.2% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 22:25 | 0.23 | 40.7% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:06 | 0.23 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:55 | 0.24 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:58 | 0.63 | 20.1% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:59 | 0.00 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:06 | 0.00 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:04 | 0.04 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:04 | 0.09 | 17.3% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.28 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:13 | 0.13 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:45 | 0.00 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 | 0.00 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:30 | 0.57 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:36 | 0.13 | 96.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:15 | 0.04 | 7.1% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:15 | 0.11 | 10.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 3.25 | −0.7 | 57:50 |