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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 12, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh

St. Louis Blues 3, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 74% of the time.

CAR winsSTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:47Shot by Aho, saved by Binnington
  3. P1 1:48Shot by Aho, saved by Binnington
  4. P1 3:16Shot by Martinook, saved by Binnington
  5. P1 3:22Shot by Martinook, saved by Binnington
  6. P1 3:48Shot by Robinson, saved by Binnington
  7. P1 3:49Shot by Carrier, saved by Binnington
  8. P1 3:50Shot by Carrier, saved by Binnington
  9. P1 4:46Shot by Chatfield, saved by Binnington
  10. P1 5:37Shot by Stankoven, saved by Binnington
  11. P1 5:49Shot by Slavin, saved by Binnington
  12. P1 5:58Shot by Parayko, saved by Bussi
  13. P1 8:38Goal by Jankowski, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Reilly, Jankowski, Carrier, Robinson, Nikishin · STL Fowler, Walker, Toropchenko, Tucker, Finley

  14. P1 13:03Shot by Jarvis, saved by Binnington
  15. P1 13:49Shot by Reilly, saved by Binnington
  16. P1 14:16Shot by Suter, saved by Bussi
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:54Shot by Stenberg, saved by Bussi
  20. P2 3:31Shot by Snuggerud, saved by Bussi
  21. P2 3:53Goal by Snuggerud (Holloway, Fowler)+22 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Ehlers, Chatfield · STL Fowler, Thomas, Tucker, Holloway, Snuggerud

  22. P2 5:10Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Bussi
  23. P2 5:30Shot by Dvorsky, saved by Bussi
  24. P2 6:27Shot by Staal, saved by Binnington
  25. P2 6:28Shot by Staal, saved by Binnington
  26. P2 7:11Shot by Neighbours, saved by Bussi
  27. P2 7:13Shot by Lindstein, saved by Bussi
  28. P2 9:13Finley: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hall, Chatfield, Miller, Stankoven, Blake · STL Thomas, Holloway, Finley, Snuggerud, Lindstein

  29. P2 9:30Shot by Aho, saved by Binnington5v4
  30. P2 11:30Shot by Chatfield, saved by Binnington
  31. P2 12:58Shot by Staal, saved by Binnington
  32. P2 15:52Shot by Walker, saved by Binnington
  33. P2 16:35Lindstein: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Reilly, Jankowski, Carrier, Aho, Robinson, Nikishin · STL Parayko, Walker, Toropchenko, Finley, Lindstein

  34. P2 18:59Shot by Holloway, saved by Bussi
  35. P2 19:44Shot by Walker, saved by Binnington
  36. P2 19:46Shot by Staal, saved by Binnington
  37. P2 0:00Period end
  38. P3 0:00Period start
  39. P3 2:39Reilly: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Reilly, Jankowski, Carrier, Robinson, Nikishin · STL Fowler, Walker, Thomas, Tucker, Holloway, Snuggerud

  40. P3 4:07Shot by Aho, saved by Binnington4v5
  41. P3 4:56Shot by Holloway, saved by Bussi
  42. P3 6:26Shot by Reilly, saved by Binnington
  43. P3 6:42Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Binnington
  44. P3 7:26Shot by Carrier, saved by Binnington
  45. P3 9:17Shot by Lindstein, saved by Bussi
  46. P3 11:41Shot by Neighbours, saved by Bussi
  47. P3 11:54Shot by Miller, saved by Binnington
  48. P3 12:11Shot by Toropchenko, saved by Bussi
  49. P3 13:39Shot by Aho, saved by Binnington
  50. P3 13:40Shot by Aho, saved by Binnington
  51. P3 15:12Goal by Snuggerud (Holloway, Thomas)+31 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Ehlers, Chatfield · STL Fowler, Thomas, Tucker, Holloway, Snuggerud

  52. P3 16:01Shot by Nikishin, saved by Binnington
  53. P3 16:37Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Bussi
  54. P3 17:18Shot by Jarvis, saved by Binnington6v5
  55. P3 17:48Shot by Staal, saved by Binnington6v5
  56. P3 18:08Shot by Aho, saved by Binnington6v5
  57. P3 19:09Goal by Buchnevich (Finley, Toropchenko)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis, Nikishin, Blake · STL Buchnevich, Toropchenko, Broberg, Finley, Mailloux

  58. P3 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Final